![Prop Talk Week 9](https://footballguys.imgix.net/nfl-action-photos/RoetBe00_H.jpg?auto=format,compress&w=730)
BELOW ARE SOME PROPS THAT YOU SHOULD KEEP YOUR EYE ON HEADING INTO WEEK 9.
All props are coming from DraftKings Sportsbook lines and be sure to keep checking back throughout the weekend as props are added over the course of the 24 hours prior to the game. The number of props will largely depend on the recommended plays. We will not be forcing the number of props just to meet a number as if it is on here, it is deemed a good play
Check back each Sunday Morning as props will be added throughout the week.
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WEEK 8 RECAP- 2-3
Josh Jacobs Over 75.5 Rushing Yards-Win
Darrell Henderson Over 60.5 Rushing Yards- Loss
Denzel Mims Over 3.5 Receptions- Loss
Matthew Stafford Under 274.5 Passing Yards- Loss
Henry Ruggs Under 33.5 Receiving Yards- Win
Week |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
Total |
Record |
5-2 |
4-1 |
1-6 |
4-3 |
2-3 |
3-4 |
3-2 |
2-3 |
24-24 |
WEEK 9 PLAYS
Jonathan Taylor Under 50.5 Rushing Yards
The Colts are likely in for a tough game this week facing Baltimore and Jonathan Taylor appears to be falling out of favor a little bit in Indianapolis as he just does not look ready to take over the lead role. Taylor was on the field for just 34% of the snaps last week as Jordan Wilkins led the way with 51% of the snaps and led the team in carries. Taylor has not had more than 12 carries in his last three contests and it is reasonable to think that Jordan Wilkins with how great he looked last week and Nyheim Hines will continue to have a role in this game. The Ravens have been a dominant run defense outside of a few long runs from Miles Sanders, but they have largely shut down more elite running backs than Taylor as they held James Conner to just 47 yards on 15 carries, Joe Mixon to 59 yards on 24 carries, Clyde Edwards-Helaire to 64 yards on 20 carries. If Taylor is only getting 12 carries, this is a situation to avoid.
Kyle Allen Under 259.5 Passing Yards
This is a situation where Footballguys David Dodds has Allen projected at only 237 passing yards this week which is one of the largest discrepancies on the board. Allen looked great in the first meeting of these two teams which is likely driving up the prop as he threw the ball 42 times for 280 yards in a loss to the Giants. Part of the reason for this was that the Football Team fell behind by 10 points early in the game and were trailing for most of it. Expect a more balanced approach from Washington this week in a game they should win and grind it out with Antonio Gibson and the rushing attack.
Ben Roethlisberger Under 264.5 Passing Yards
Dallas’ defense surprisingly has been much better compared to the secondary that we saw in the first three weeks of the season. Since Week 4, they have not allowed an opposing quarterback to throw the ball for more than 222 yards and are averaging allowing just 180 yards per game passing. Now this has everything to do with the offense of the Cowboys essentially being non-existent as well as leading the league in turnovers. In games that the Steelers have won by 7 or more points, Roethlisberger has only averaged 216.8 passing yards. This common person is going to want to bet the Steelers and convince themselves that Roethlisberger has a big game, but the historical numbers don’t back that up.
Jake Luton Over 240.5 Passing Yards
Jake Luton’s first game should be in a tremendous spot for him as he is facing one of the weakest secondaries in the NFL. Luton is a prototypical pocket passer who has the ability to make all the throws an NFL quarterback needs to. The problem for Luton and why he fell so far in the draft is his lack of escapability and mobility outside the pocket. The good news for Luton is that the Texans are in the bottom-half of the league in sacks. In a game that the Jaguars should have a difficult time stopping Houston, expect 40+ throws for Luton this week.
Evan Engram Over 33.5 Receiving Yards
With the Giants deactivating Golden Tate, this should open up plenty of opportunity for Evan Engram. The Football Team has struggled against stopping tight ends as they have allowed 90 yards to Gerald Everett, 57 yards to Mark Andrews, and 101 yards to Dallas Goedert. This is a situation where Engram struggled the first time these two teams met, but the entire Giants offense only passed for 110 yards in that game. Expect the Giants to have a better output and with no Tate, Engram will be the primary check down receiver to compliment Slayton and Shepard on the outside.
Check back throughout the weekend for any additional props particularly this week as weather will play a significant factor in some late value that could pop up.