Below are some props that you should keep your eye on as you head into Week 1.
All props are coming from DraftKings Sportsbook lines and be sure to keep checking back throughout the weekend as props are added over the course of the 24 hours prior to the game. The number of props will largely depend on the recommended plays. We will not be forcing the number of props just to meet a number as if it is on here, it is deemed a good play
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Week 1 Recap 5-2:
Detroit Players to score + Detroit to win- Loss
Lamar Jackson over 219.5 Passing Yards- Win
Sam Darnold under 224.5 Passing Yards- Win
Josh Jacobs Over 78.5 Rushing Yards- Win
Odell Beckham Jr Over 4.5 Receptions- Loss
Mark Andrews Over 3.5 Receptions- Win
Alan Lazard more receiving yards than Justin Jefferson- Win
Week 2 Plays
Daniel Jones Over 16.5 Rushing Yards -110
Jones has ran for over 16.5 yards in 8 of his 14 games thus far as a starter in New York. What makes this prop especially intriguing is that the prop seems to be factoring in the stats for the 2019 Bears, but there is a big difference in that Eddie Goldman the star nose tackle opted out due to Covid-19 this season. While the ends are still elite in Khalil Mack and Akiem Hicks, it does leave a noticeable gap up the middle which partly led to Matthew Stafford rushing for 23 yards last week which was the most he has rushed for since Thanksgiving 2016.
D.J. Chark more receiving yards than Adam Humphries- Even
D.J. Chark had a tough matchup last week going up against Xavier Rhodes and the Colts defense as he was largely shut down last week. Don’t let that discourage you heading into this week as Chark will get to see a significant amount of Jonathan Joseph and Malcolm Butler which are significantly easier matchups than what he saw last week. Humphries is a fine player, but the prop here is largely assuming that due to A.J. Brown’s injury that he will receive the bulk of the volume which could happen, but seems like a less than 50% chance that it will as the team still has Corey Davis, Jonnu Smith, and Derrick Henry who should all see an uptick in volume. The prop is also factoring in that Parris Campbell had 71 yards out of the slot last week against D.J. Hayden, but that was with Philip Rivers as their quarterback who loves to target slot receivers, and Campbell is a more talented player than Humphries.
Ezekiel Elliott under 21.5 rushing attempts -110
This one is a bit tricky as it is taking the assumption that the Cowboys will struggle a little bit in this game. The big question for the Cowboys is what are they going to do at the tackle positions as both La’el Collins and Tyron Smith will miss this game for Dallas leaving them sizable holes on the roster in positions that they can not afford to lose. This could lead Dallas to more 3 and outs, and try to get Elliott involved in screen passes or other plays out of the backfield instead of a traditional handoff.
Ronald Jones II to Score a Touchdown -110
This is another special where DraftKings hasn’t fully reflected the lines and taking out Chris Godwin who appears unlikely to play this week. The Panthers defense has been the worst in the NFL at stopping the run dating back to last year. They have allowed two or more rushing touchdowns to opposing running backs in each of their last six games, and this should be a tremendous opportunity for Jones to solidify his starting role with Leonard Fournette still looking solidly like a backup.
Ryan Fitzpatrick over 215.5 Passing Yards -110
Fitzpatrick drew arguably the two most difficult matchups to start the season which unfortunately will not bode well for the calls for Tua to start for the Dolphins. Last season against Buffalo, Fitzpatrick was largely unphased by this elite secondary throwing for 323 and 282 yards games in which the Dolphins lost by 17 and 10. It is largely expected that the Dolphins will lose this game which may not be a bad thing as over his last seven losses, Fitzpatrick has thrown for an average of 246 yards.
Added
Marquise Brown over 49.5
Brown at just 49.5 is just too low based on expectations that we have at Footballguys for him this season. With the limited to non-existent pass rush for the Texans, expect Brown to have plenty of time to complete routes and we saw the Texans struggle with speed in Week 1 as Demarcus Robinson almost caught several deep passes. While Tyreek Hill was shut down by the Texans, the Ravens don't have that many options and should force the ball to Brown this week.
Saquon Barkley First Touchdown 6.5/1
Barkley was largely shut down this past week against the Steelers, but there is a significant difference between the Steelers and Bears defenses and this is a Bears team that struggled for three quarters against the Lions last week before amounting a tremendous comeback. Expect the Giants to score first, and Barkley has a great chance to do so.
