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Monkey Knife Fight is one of the fastest-growing daily fantasy sites and offers a unique product that is a lot of fun. There are no salary caps and you do not have to compete against DFS pros. Instead, you simply find the combination of player props you are most confident in and pick more or less. Since each combination (two or more players) are playing in the same game, we can use correlation to our advantage. For example, if we know that one starting quarterback throws for more yards than projected, the opposing quarterback is more likely to throw for more yards also.
In this weekly article, we will count down the five best props of the week, saving the best for last.
Looking back at last week
Last Week: -1 unit
Full Season: +43 units
We came out slightly behind last week but are still up huge on the season. We hit on only one of our five parlays with a couple of near misses and a couple that were not real close.
Hits
- We noted the over on Jarvis Landry's fantasy points (12.5) was our favorite prop of the week and he got there fairly easily (16.0 points) with seven catches and a touchdown. We narrowly hit the over on Tyreek Hill's fantasy points (19.5) on the other side. He had eight catches and 118 total yards (19.8 fantasy points).
Misses
- We were correct in taking the under on Jared Goff's passing yards (220.5) and the under for Aaron Rodgers (275.5 yards) was looking solid until he hit Allen Lazard for the long touchdown late.
- We had the over on John Brown receiving yards (54.5). He hit the over quickly and had 11 targets in the game. But we also had over 65.5 rushing yards for J.K. Dobbins, who had 93 total yards but did over half of his damage on receptions.
- We badly underestimated the impact the weather would have in Buffalo. Neither Josh Allen nor Lamar Jackson came anywhere near hitting the over on their fantasy points.
- We had too much faith in Drew Brees. He came nowhere near hitting his passing yardage over against the Buccaneers. We also narrowly missed on the under for Ronald Jones II rushing yards. He only played 29% of the snaps but hit his 59.5 yard over in large part due to getting loose for one long run.
Number 5: Riding with the Hall of Famers