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Monkey Knife Fight is one of the fastest-growing daily fantasy sites and offers a unique product that is a lot of fun. There are no salary caps and you do not have to compete against DFS pros. Instead, you simply find the combination of player props you are most confident in and pick more or less. Since each combination (two or more players) are playing in the same game, we can use correlation to our advantage. For example, if we know that one starting quarterback throws for more yards than projected, the opposing quarterback is more likely to throw for more yards also.
In this weekly article, we will count down the five best props of the week, saving the best for last.
Looking back at last week
Last Week: +7 units
Full Season: +44 units
We opened the playoffs with yet another big week. Our long shot three-man prop in the Rams-Seahawks game did not hit and we missed the over on Allen Robinson by 3.0 fantasy points. However, we hit on everything else and cashed on three of our five parlays.
Hits
- We went with the passing yardage overs for Philip Rivers (266.5) and Josh Allen (299.5). Rivers (309) and Allen (324) both topped 300 passing yards.
- We were correct about the possibility of a shootout in the Cleveland-Pittsburgh game, taking the over on 15.5 fantasy points for both Baker Mayfield and Diontae Johnson. Mayfield had 22.8 and Johnson had 22.7 fantasy points.
- We went with a Tom Brady-Mike Evans team stack against Washington, with Brady (-6.5) outscoring Terry McLaurin by 9.5 points and Mike Evans easily outscoring Alex Smith. This is a spot where getting our money in early in the week paid off as Smith was taken off of the board on Friday night.
Misses
- We were correct in taking the under of 13.5 fantasy points for Emmanuel Sanders, who managed just 2.3 fantasy points. On the other side, Allen Robinson (6-55-0) did not quite get there. We needed over 14.5 fantasy points from him.
- Our longshot three-player prop did not come close to paying off. While we were right to have the receiving yardage over for DK Metcalf, Cooper Kupp (4-78-0) did not hit his over om receptions (5.5) with the Rams going ball control in the second half, and Russell Wilson (174 passing yards) did not come close to his yardage over. We are not going to get against this Rams pass defense again.
Number 5: Defense and Running Games in Green Bay