As we enter November, it is getting into crunch time both for teams putting the final touches on rosters for the fantasy playoffs and rebuilding teams hoping to position themselves for 2021. As a friendly reminder, 2021 rookie draft picks are only going to get more expensive to acquire over the next six months. Assess your contender status and be aggressive making moves for the future if you are not a lock for the playoffs.
The dynasty trade value chart is tailored to 12-team PPR leagues a starting lineup of one quarterback, two running backs, three wide receivers, one tight end, and one flex. It now also includes trade values for Superflex leagues in a separate column. The chart is meant to serve primarily as a guide for trades but can also be a great resource during startup drafts. If the players and picks on each side of the trade offer add up to approximately the same number, the trade would be considered even. If you receive a trade offer that sends you players with a higher total number value than the players you are giving up, the offer is worth strongly considering. Each league is different, so pay close attention to the scoring and starting roster requirements specific to your league.
Quarterback
|
Pos Rank
|
Player
|
Superflex
|
Single-QB
|
|
1
|
56
|
30
|
|
|
2
|
52
|
28
|
|
|
3
|
46
|
24
|
|
|
4
|
40
|
18
|
|
|
5
|
40
|
18
|
|
|
6
|
38
|
15
|
|
|
7
|
38
|
15
|
|
|
8
|
35
|
15
|
|
|
9
|
32
|
12
|
|
|
10
|
21
|
9
|
|
|
11
|
24
|
7
|
|
|
12
|
24
|
7
|
|
|
13
|
23
|
7
|
|
|
14
|
18
|
6
|
|
|
15
|
15
|
6
|
|
|
16
|
20
|
5
|
|
|
17
|
20
|
5
|
|
|
18
|
20
|
5
|
|
|
19
|
18
|
5
|
|
|
20
|
13
|
5
|
|
|
21
|
18
|
4
|
|
|
22
|
16
|
4
|
|
|
23
|
12
|
4
|
|
|
24
|
15
|
3
|
|
|
25
|
9
|
3
|
|
|
26
|
15
|
2
|
|
|
27
|
11
|
2
|
|
|
28
|
6
|
2
|
|
|
29
|
8
|
1
|
|
|
30
|
7
|
1
|
|
|
31
|
5
|
1
|
|
|
32
|
5
|
1
|
|
|
33
|
7
|
0
|
|
|
34
|
5
|
0
|
|
|
35
|
5
|
0
|
|
|
36
|
5
|
0
|
|
|
37
|
4
|
0
|
|
|
38
|
3
|
0
|
|
|
39
|
3
|
0
|
|
|
40
|
2
|
0
|
Top Tier
Kyler Murray is right there with Patrick Mahomes II and Lamar Jackson in terms of dynasty trade value. It has been interesting to see the development of his game in year two. He has made some improvements as a passer. However, more importantly for his fantasy value has been the massive leap he has made as a runner. Murray has more rushing fantasy points (85.7) through seven games than he had all of last season (78.8). While he is unlikely to keep up his current pace of 1.0 rushing touchdowns per game, Murray makes it look easy as a runner and should remain a major playmaker moving forward. This rushing ability is what had so many of us so excited about Murray last offseason and we are finally seeing it come to fruition.
Lamar Jackson’s trade value is headed in the opposite direction of Murray’s. He has regressed in nearly every facet of his game. The injury to star offensive tackle Ronnie Stanley is going to make Jackson’s job even harder the rest of the season. We are going to find out whether Jackson can put the team on his shoulders down the stretch.
The Ravens lost to their rival, watched their All-Pro left tackle suffer a season-ending injury and learned their top defensive player tested positive for COVID.
— Jamison Hensley (@jamisonhensley) November 3, 2020
It’s not time to push the panic button. It’s time for Lamar Jackson to rally the Ravens.https://t.co/WdrSwsiiln
Rookies Continue to Surge
We were somewhat aggressive in our valuations of rookies Joe Burrow and Justin Herbert in October but both exceeded expectations even further over the last month. Good luck trying to trade for either now if you are in a Superflex league. Both are firmly within the top eight at the position and could easily end up jumping up into that elite tier we talked about above if they continue on their current trajectory.
Joe Burrow has 221 completions this season, most by a player in his first eight career games in NFL history.
— Gil Brandt (@Gil_Brandt) November 2, 2020
Justin Herbert joined Deshaun Watson as the only rookie quarterbacks with 3+ touchdown passes in four consecutive games in NFL history.
Running Back
|
Pos Rank
|
Player
|
Value
|
|
1
|
54
|
|
|
2
|
54
|
|
|
3
|
47
|
|
|
4
|
44
|
|
|
5
|
40
|
|
|
6
|
38
|
|
|
7
|
38
|
|
|
8
|
35
|
|
|
9
|
34
|
|
|
10
|
32
|
|
|
11
|
32
|
|
|
12
|
32
|
|
|
13
|
30
|
|
|
14
|
28
|
|
|
15
|
26
|
|
|
16
|
DAndre Swift
|
26
|
|
17
|
24
|
|
|
18
|
21
|
|
|
19
|
21
|
|
|
20
|
20
|
|
|
21
|
20
|
|
|
22
|
16
|
|
|
23
|
16
|
|
|
24
|
14
|
|
|
25
|
13
|
|
|
26
|
Melvin Gordon
|
13
|
|
27
|
13
|
|
|
28
|
12
|
|
|
29
|
Zach Moss
|
12
|
|
30
|
Darrell Henderson
|
12
|
|
31
|
10
|
|
|
32
|
10
|
|
|
33
|
10
|
|
|
34
|
9
|
|
|
35
|
9
|
|
|
36
|
9
|
|
|
37
|
9
|
|
|
38
|
A.J. Dillon
|
9
|
|
39
|
9
|
|
|
40
|
LeVeon Bell
|
8
|
|
41
|
8
|
|
|
42
|
7
|
|
|
43
|
7
|
|
|
44
|
6
|
|
|
45
|
KeShawn Vaughn
|
6
|
|
46
|
6
|
|
|
47
|
5
|
|
|
48
|
Mark Ingram
|
5
|
|
49
|
5
|
|
|
50
|
5
|
|
|
51
|
5
|
|
|
52
|
5
|
|
|
53
|
Benny Snell
|
4
|
|
54
|
4
|
|
|
55
|
4
|
|
|
56
|
4
|
|
|
57
|
Lamical Perine
|
4
|
|
58
|
3
|
|
|
59
|
3
|
|
|
60
|
3
|
|
|
61
|
2
|
|
|
62
|
2
|
Hardest to Value
There are many running backs where everyone basically agrees roughly on their trade value. There are also some where opinions seem to vary widely. These are some players whose price tags in trade are going to vary widely, which makes them potentially good targets to try to buy low. Or if you think the most optimistic takes on these players are unlikely to play out, now is a good time to sell high.
- James Robinson is the RB5 as we approach the midway point of the 2020 season. He is basically an every-down back who is excelling as both a runner and receiver. His value for the remainder of 2020 is extremely high but many remain unconvinced as to whether he has staying power or if this is just a “right place, right time” situation with a tanking franchise.
- Myles Gaskin is the RB17 despite some bad touchdown luck. He is in a similar boat to Robinson where the question is whether the team is committed to him long term or if they will use bountiful cap space or their extra draft capital to upgrade in the offseason.
- Antonio Gibson is the RB18. Unlike the two above, he was highly drafted and has an elite combination of size and speed. The arrow is again pointing up here and Gibson could see his dynasty trade value make a big leap forward with a strong second half.
Antonio Gibson has forced a missed tackle on 26% of runs
— PFF Fantasy Football (@PFF_Fantasy) October 30, 2020
Most among all RBs pic.twitter.com/h2YGh7aboW
- Chase Edmonds is the RB26 but has an opportunity to make his case for lead status while Kenyan Drake is out. While Drake is only expected to miss a game or two, Arizona will get a chance to see what the offense looks like with Edmonds as the main guy. Based on what we have seen to date, they may like what they see. This is a quintessential high-risk, high reward spot. We can imagine a scenario where Edmonds is fine but returns to a committee role in a couple of weeks and moving forward. On the other hand, it is also easy to envision Edmonds taking the bull by the horns and making Drake expendable (like what Drake did to David Johnson last year). If Edmonds is a fantasy star down the stretch and puts himself in a position to reprise the role in 2021, his dynasty value would skyrocket.
Cardinals running back Chase Edmonds is set for a bigger role after an ankle injury for starter Kenyan Drake.
— AP NFL (@AP_NFL) November 1, 2020
Arizona is confident Edmonds can handle anything the offense needs.
by @davidbrandtAP
https://t.co/XkG9sZ7UXW
Rookie Running Back Question Marks
Even after Travis Etienne and Najee Harris went back to school, this was supposed to be an above-average rookie running back class. We had some ultra-productive backs from big schools, most of who tested really well. Six of them went in the first two rounds of the NFL Draft. Let’s check in on some of these highly-drafted rookie backs to take stock of where they are at.
- Clyde Edwards-Helaire has averaged 7.5 carries and 3.5 targets per game since LeVeon Bell arrived in Kansas City. A big part of that was due to pass-heavy game plans but you have to be disappointed at the direction this is heading for Edwards-Helaire.
- DAndre Swift’s share of the snaps is starting to creep up and he has been productive as a pass catcher and is on pace for over 50 receptions. He has had just one game with 10+ carries all season, however. In Week 8, Swift had 60% of the backfield touches. That sounds good until you realize the Lions entire team had just 13 carries.
- Jonathan Taylor was badly outplayed by Jordan Wilkins in Week 8 and seems to be stuck in neutral. There was some talk of an ankle injury after the game but this season is not going how Taylor believers expected or hoped.
- Cam Akers Akers had 10 touches in Week 8 and made one highlight-reel catch. This is still a full-blown three-man committee with Akers, Brown, and Henderson each getting 9+ touches.
- J.K. Dobbins took advantage of Mark Ingram’s absence by rushing for 113 yards in Week 8, nearly doubling his season total. He was still just third on the team in carries with both Lamar Jackson and Gus Edwards getting slightly more work.
Answer to J.K. Dobbins or Gus Edwards without Mark Ingram (ankle) is both:
— John Daigle (@notJDaigle) November 2, 2020
Dobbins 54-of-82 snaps, 15 carries, 2 targets, 7.5 yards per touch
Edwards 26 snaps, 16 carries, 1 target, only RB carry inside 10
What do we do with these guys? If not now, when can we expect a fantasy impact?
The way dynasty players are valuing each of these rookie backs seems to be all over the board. You are no longer able to get almost whoever you want for Edwards-Helaire or Taylor anymore. That ship has sailed for now. There are still bound to be some in each league extremely high on each of those guys, however. Despite the slow starts, Swift, Akers, and Dobbins have retained nearly all of their trade value. That fact goes to show how highly-drafted young players are a much safer dynasty commodity than given credit for.
It is equally scary to trade for or trade away one of these touted young backs. With each having such a wide range of outcomes still, this is a spot where rebuilding teams should probably be trying to build low. Especially those who have rosters where they need to take some swings at the fences to get their teams back on track.
Wide Receiver
|
Pos Rank
|
Player
|
Value
|
|
1
|
50
|
|
|
2
|
48
|
|
|
3
|
44
|
|
|
4
|
42
|
|
|
5
|
40
|
|
|
6
|
36
|
|
|
7
|
35
|
|
|
8
|
35
|
|
|
9
|
D.J. Moore
|
34
|
|
10
|
34
|
|
|
11
|
33
|
|
|
12
|
33
|
|
|
13
|
30
|
|
|
14
|
30
|
|
|
15
|
29
|
|
|
16
|
28
|
|
|
17
|
28
|
|
|
18
|
Allen Robinson
|
26
|
|
19
|
26
|
|
|
20
|
25
|
|
|
21
|
25
|
|
|
22
|
22
|
|
|
23
|
22
|
|
|
24
|
21
|
|
|
25
|
21
|
|
|
26
|
20
|
|
|
27
|
20
|
|
|
28
|
20
|
|
|
29
|
Will Fuller
|
20
|
|
30
|
19
|
|
|
31
|
Henry Ruggs
|
17
|
|
32
|
D.J. Chark
|
17
|
|
33
|
17
|
|
|
34
|
Odell Beckham
|
16
|
|
35
|
16
|
|
|
36
|
16
|
|
|
37
|
Laviska Shenault
|
15
|
|
38
|
Robby Anderson
|
15
|
|
39
|
14
|
|
|
40
|
14
|
|
|
41
|
13
|
|
|
42
|
12
|
|
|
43
|
Mecole Hardman
|
12
|
|
44
|
12
|
|
|
45
|
12
|
|
|
46
|
11
|
|
|
47
|
11
|
|
|
48
|
Darius Slayton
|
10
|
|
49
|
10
|
|
|
50
|
10
|
|
|
51
|
9
|
|
|
52
|
Michael Pittman
|
9
|
|
53
|
9
|
|
|
54
|
9
|
|
|
55
|
9
|
|
|
56
|
9
|
|
|
57
|
NKeal Harry
|
7
|
|
58
|
7
|
|
|
59
|
7
|
|
|
60
|
6
|
|
|
61
|
6
|
|
|
62
|
6
|
|
|
63
|
6
|
|
|
64
|
K.J. Hamler
|
6
|
|
65
|
6
|
|
|
66
|
Gabriel Davis
|
6
|
|
67
|
Scott Miller
|
6
|
|
68
|
6
|
|
|
69
|
5
|
|
|
70
|
TreQuan Smith
|
5
|
|
71
|
5
|
|
|
72
|
Marvin Jones
|
5
|
|
73
|
4
|
|
|
74
|
4
|
|
|
75
|
4
|
|
|
76
|
Keelan Cole
|
4
|
|
77
|
4
|
|
|
78
|
4
|
|
|
79
|
4
|
|
|
80
|
4
|
|
|
81
|
4
|
|
|
82
|
3
|
|
|
83
|
3
|
|
|
84
|
3
|
|
|
85
|
2
|
|
|
86
|
2
|
|
|
87
|
2
|
|
|
88
|
2
|
Quarterbacks Matter
Many of the biggest gains in dynasty trade value at the wide position are almost as much about improved situation as talent.
- Keenan Allen has seen his dynasty trade value steadily increase this season as it has become increasingly clear that Justin Herbert is an outstanding young talent. Allen is a strong WR1 option in the medium term with Herbert slinging it and that certainly would not have been the case if he was still catching passes from Tyrod Taylor.
- The Bengals top two wide receivers both get solid boosts from Burrow’s quick emergence as a star. Tyler Boyd is the WR8 overall entering November and Tee Higgins is the WR23. Higgins especially is a big riser considering he was a little bit of a forgotten man when it came to the wide receivers people were most excited about in this rookie class. What he has done as a 21-year old rookie and the growing rapport he has shown with Burrow bode very well for his long-term future.
Bengals QB-WR duo in Wk 8
— PFF College (@PFF_College) November 2, 2020
🔥 Joe Burrow: 80.1 (4th among QBs)
🔥 Tee Higgins: 80.6 (6th among WRs) pic.twitter.com/oKbCkePMm6
- DK Metcalf is now the most valuable dynasty wide receiver in part due to how amazing Russell Wilson has been performing. With Russ cooking and Metcalf making spectacular plays on a regular basis, Metcalf has separated from the pack a bit amongst the group of top young wide receivers.
Rookies Making Instant Impact
Interestingly, many of the top rookie wide receivers are bunched closely together. CeeDee Lamb (WR20), Justin Jefferson (WR21), Chase Claypool (WR22), and Tee Higgins (WR23) are all right next to each other in PPR scoring as instant fantasy WR2s. Brandon Aiyuk (WR26) is not too far behind. These early production totals are remarkable, especially in a year where there was no offseason and the transition to the pros was supposed to be harder than normal. This class has more than delivered on the hype.
Part of what is so exciting about the group is the depth. Even beyond the five who have already established themselves as weekly fantasy starters, there is a big group of rookie wide receivers with a realistic chance of developing into fantasy starters by the end of this year:
- Jerry Jeudy is off to a relatively slow start but is still on pace for over 800 receiving yards, which is just fine for a 21-year old rookie.
Nice slant by Jerry Jeudy #BroncosCountry pic.twitter.com/mpdR4PuOxF
— Matt Waldman (@MattWaldman) November 2, 2020
- Henry Ruggs has been slowed by injuries but we have seen flashes of the playmaking ability that made him the top wide receiver drafted.
- Jalen Reagor has had multiple injuries but has also given plenty of reason to be excited about his future.
- Laviska Shenault also looks like he could be on the cusp of a fantasy breakout, though it may have to wait until the Jaguars improve the rest of the offense.
