![14 Undervalued Quarterbacks](https://footballguys.imgix.net/nfl-action-photos/GoffJa00_H.jpg?auto=format,compress&w=730)
A fantasy draft is all about obtaining the most value with each selection. There is value available throughout a draft, and grabbing it is one of the most important keys to a successful fantasy team. In an attempt to point out this value, we asked our staff to look through the Top 150 and identify players that should outperform their draft position.
Player Receiving 7 Votes
Jared Goff, LA Rams
James Brimacombe: Goff is coming off a disappointing season by some, but when you look at the numbers he had his most completions at 394 and attempts at 626 and finished as the QB12. In the last three seasons, Goff has been QB12, QB6, and QB12, and now with the Rams parting ways with Todd Gurley, we could be in line for another 600+ passing attempt season from Goff once again. The Rams have a nice bunch of pass receivers in Robert Woods, Cooper Kupp at the receiver position and emerging Tyler Higbee and Gerald Everett at the tight end position.
Bob Henry: Goff is one of the least sexy picks at the position after regressing in 2019 along with Todd Gurley and an injured Brandin Cooks. However, there’s a solid case for positive regression for his TD rate. The play volume should continue to be favorable making Goff a good to continue producing 300+ fantasy points and finish with his fourth straight season as QB12 or higher. The Rams offense continues to be well-stocked with talent at running back, wide receiver and tight end. He’s one of the best wait-for-QB options because he’s cheap and expectations are low thanks to his mid-season slump last year with a slate of tough defenses (SF, Pittsburgh, Chicago, and Baltimore). After that, he threw 11 TDs over his last five games with three 300-yard games. Get him around QB19, but anticipate value from the drop as a borderline QB1 for the season with top-five weekly upside and volume.
Ryan Hester: After his 2018 breakout, Goff’s 2019 season was considered a bust by many. But he passed for only 49 fewer yards last year. It was the 10 fewer touchdowns that spelled disaster for his fantasy production. In fact, Goff threw a touchdown pass on only 3.5% of his attempts last season, the lowest rate of any top-24 seasonal finisher at quarterback. Touchdowns aren’t the most sticky statistic, which could mean that Goff’s touchdown production should at least find the middle of his 2018 and 2019 bookends. That makes him a fringe QB1 who should be especially attractive to the Rent-a-Quarterback types who don’t place a draft priority on the position.
Jordan McNamara: Jared Goff finished as QB12 in 2019. He threw the third-most passing yards in the NFL last season while tying for the league-high in attempts at 626. The reason he is a discount? A 3.5% touchdown rate pushed down his stats. The good news is that stat is fickle year over year, so he should rebound in 2020. Add in a good offensive mind in Sean McVay with Robert Woods, Cooper Kupp, Tyler Higbee, Cam Akers, and Darrell Henderson and you have a situation that can bounce back quickly in 2020. If league mates are passing on Goff for flashier options like Drew Lock, Goff is a great value.
Chad Parsons: One of the easier bets to make for fantasy quarterbacks is when a productive profile is going for a discount. Enter Jared Goff in 2020. Brandin Cooks is gone, but the rest of the passing game is intact, plus they added dynamic running back Cam Akers and Van Jefferson with second-round selections. Goff has three straight seasons in the top-15 of the position, including a mid-QB1 level finish in his profile. Goff is one of the easier later-quarterback selections for 2020 drafts.
Jeff Pasquino: Goff and the Rams had a down year in 2019, but even with an offense that scored far less than in 2018 or 2017, Goff finished as a Top 12 fantasy quarterback for the third season in a row. Yes, Brandin Cooks and Todd Gurley are gone, but Cooks was minimized last year in favor of shorter route runners Cooper Kupp and Robert Woods along with two big tight ends (Tyler Higbee, Gerald Everett). Los Angeles loves to throw the ball, as Goff attempted 626 passes last year and only the Bengals lined up more in three-wide receiver sets. Second rounder Van Jefferson will contend with Josh Reynolds for the WR3 role and to hopefully stretch defenses with an improved offensive line. Goff looks to me as a very safe QB2 with QB1 upside if the Rams get their passing game back to 2017 and 2018 production levels.
Jason Wood: Jared Goff isn't someone to target as a starter, but he should be on the short-list for No. 2 options and is a viable every-week starter in deeper leagues. Fantasy managers appear to be overreacting to his disappointing 2019. Goff's completion rate (62.9%), yards (4,639), yards per attempt (7.4), touchdowns (22), and interceptions (16) all worsened from 2018, as the Rams' inability to run effectively made it easier for defenses to key on the passing game. Yet, in spite of his declines, Goff still finished as the No. 12 fantasy quarterback. How many quarterbacks have job security and a top-12 floor?
Player Receiving 5 Votes
Carson Wentz, Philadelphia
James Brimacombe: The Eagles passing offense was completely banged up during the second half of last season as Wentz really only had his two tight ends to rely on getting the ball to. Even with all the injuries to the wide receiver position, Wentz still found a way to lead the Eagles to the NFC East title and finish as the QB8 last season with over 600 passing attempts for 4,039 yards and 27 passing touchdowns. Heading into the 2020 season, the Eagles have been trying to build up the receiving talent for Wentz, adding Jalen Reagor, John Hightower, Quez Watkins in the draft and trading for Marquise Goodwin to help give him some much needed downfield speed. Add in Alshon Jeffery and DeSean Jackson coming back from injury along with J.J. Arcega-Whiteside with a potential rebound season. Don't forget about the emergence of Miles Sanders who caught 50 passes for 509 yards and 3 touchdowns and the best duo of tight ends in the league in Zach Ertz and Dallas Goedert. Wentz has all the weapons heading into the year and has a great shot at finishing as a top-five quarterback this season.
Andrew Davenport: Considering what Wentz had to work with in 2019, his season was somewhat remarkable. His touchdown rate was only 4.4%, but he threw for 27 touchdowns, with a passing score in all 16 of his games, while tacking on another 237 yards rushing with a score. Despite the Eagles suffering a bevy of injuries, particularly in the wide receiver corps, Wentz continued to produce. That is largely because he has the luxury that not many quarterbacks have and that is the presence of two very good pass-catching tight ends in Zach Ertz and Dallas Goedert. With the wide receiver corps missing in action, the tight ends piled up over 1,500 yards receiving and 11 touchdowns. Wentz continues to mature as a quarterback and now he has his weapons back to start the year. His upside stretches to the top 3 at the position, so grabbing him at his current ADP is an excellent value play.
David Dodds: Carson Wentz threw for 4,039 yards and 27 touchdowns and finished as QB8 in 2019 despite getting just 490 yards from his leading wide receiver. The Eagles invested in a first-round pick (WR Jalen Reagor) and return a cast of veterans that missed games last season due to injuries. In 2017, with a full suite of weapons, Wentz finished with the 8th most quarterback fantasy points despite missing three games with an injury. He is a high-reward / low-risk player that should be on everyone's radar this season.
Chad Parsons: Wentz has two top-eight finishes over the past three years and yet the weapons still have not been ideal for the Eagles quarterback. Wentz has two of the best tight ends in the NFL with Zach Ertz and Dallas Goedert, ideally a more healthy version of Alshon Jeffery and DeSean Jackson from a year ago, but the theme of the offseason was speed. Philadelphia splashed Round 1 of the draft with Jalen Reagor and then followed with John Hightower and Quez Watkins. J.J. Arcega-Whiteside was notably absent from a 2019 rookie season impact as well with a lingering injury. Plus Wentz has Miles Sanders entering his second season. Wentz is poised to make another top-8 (or better run) for a discounted sticker price.
Jason Wood: Carson Wentz has finished as the No. 8 fantasy quarterback in two of the last three seasons and was a No. 1 option in 2018 before getting hurt. When healthy, he's the perfect combination of a high floor and high upside. Although his injury history cannot be ignored, it's a misnomer to think any quarterback is a lock to play 16 games. Last year, Wentz was QB8 in spite of having the least productive receiving corps in the NFL over the last five seasons. The front office understandably made improving the receiving group a priority. First-round pick Jalen Reagor should start immediately. DeSean Jackson is healthy. Speedy Marquise Goodwin was acquired via trade. And the team added three other rookie receivers who will fight for roster spots. The bar is so low, it's a guarantee the 2020 receivers are better than the 2019 unit. Yet, the team also has the most productive tight end duo in the league (Zach Ertz and Dallas Goedert) and an excellent receiving back in Miles Sanders.
Players Receiving 4 Votes
Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh
Ryan Hester: The case for Roethlisberger is simple. It’s recency bias and risk aversion that is driving his price down. His weapons aren’t as good as they were in his most productive seasons. But JuJu Smith-Schuster and Vance McDonald offer solid-to-above-average presences at their positions; Eric Ebron was brought in and will help in the red zone; and 2019 rookie Diontae Johnson emerged as a big-play threat in a lousy offense last season. Additionally, Roethlisberger knows how to diagnose and manipulate defenses well enough to get the best out of those around him. Don’t forget that Roethlisberger led the NFL in passing in 2018 with over 5,100 yards. If he can play 14 games, he’ll outpace this draft price easily.
Dan Hindery: The last we really saw of Ben Roethlisberger was his 2018 season in which he threw for 5,129 yards and 37 total touchdowns. Those numbers were good for a QB3 overall finish. Roethlisberger is now two years older (38), coming back from an elbow injury, and without Antonio Brown. However, he does have a lot of talent at his disposal. JuJu Smith-Schuster and Diontae Johnson should be a strong duo and the depth behind them (Chase Claypool, James Washington, Eric Ebron, and Vance McDonald) is also a potential strength. It is rare to have the opportunity to draft a player with such obvious 5,000-yard upside so deep in drafts.
Jeff Pasquino: How much does Ben Roethlisberger have left in the tank? That is the question as we enter the 2020 season. Coming off of a significant injury (elbow) that cost him nearly the entire 2019 season, Roethlisberger comes back as the clear starter for the Steelers. Can he regain the form that had him tossing 34 touchdowns and over 5,000 yards just two years ago, or is the 38-year-old closing in on retirement? JuJu Smith-Shuster, Diontae Johnson, James Washington, and Eric Ebron (along with rookie Chase Claypool) should give Roethlisberger enough options to push for fantasy QB1 status and a potential Comeback Player of the Year award.
Matt Waldman: The Steelers have young receivers and that was a problem last year, but the fact they had to play with a pair of inexperienced quarterbacks compounded the issues with the passing game. Roethlisberger's return is not the only massive difference for this offense in 2020--so is the return of JuJu Smith-Schuster. The rapport they share will generate far more efficiency in the passing game that doesn't stress out a good offensive line. They will also help get the younger receivers more prepared to execute in games. James Conner's return to health will also provide more offensive versatility that aids the cause. Think of last year as a blip on the radar for the Steelers' passing game and expect a productive unit that also adds Eric Ebron's big-play potential. Roethlisberger should easily earn 4,500 passing yards and 25 touchdowns and have a legitimate shot at 5,000 yards and 30 scores.
Matt Ryan, Atlanta
James Brimacombe: Ryan is the top of my list when it comes to value quarterbacks this year. He is coming off back to back seasons with over 600 passing attempts and finished as the QB2 and QB7 in those two seasons. The Falcons brought in Todd Gurley at running back along with Hayden Hurst at tight end who both could help out Ryan in the passing game. He also has probably the best duo in the league at wide receiver with Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley who alone should boost up the value of Ryan. I expect the Falcons to be a high powered passing offense and it all starts with Ryan at the quarterback position.
Andrew Davenport: Matt Ryan threw 616 passes in 2019 despite missing one and a half games with an ankle injury. He threw the ball 43 or more times in 8 of his 14 full games and ranked third in the league in attempts despite playing two fewer games than the two guys ahead of him. When he went down in Week 7 his 6 game pace was 43 attempts per game, for 335 yards, and 2.5 touchdowns per outing. That's an eye-popping 16 game pace of 688 attempts, 5,360 yards passing, and 40 touchdowns. Obviously those numbers are a bit of a stretch but there is no indication that any of the factors that led to Ryan's prolific amount of attempts will be any different this year. Their running game may improve marginally, but their defense looks to be bottom tier, they play in a very strong division, and the coaching staff is largely still in place. The signing of Todd Gurley is a nice boost to the offense but is likely to provide the added benefit of keeping Ryan more upright and healthy while not putting an appreciable dent in Ryan's numbers. His current ADP leaves plenty of room for him to outperform where he's being drafted.
Jeff Haseley: Matt Ryan has finished seventh and second in fantasy scoring over the last two years and he is expected to be a top-eight quarterback once again. The Falcons have an assortment of strong weapons for Ryan to utilize and the NFC South is expected to put up a ton of points. This all points in the direction of Ryan as a solid starter for your weekly lineup that you can draft after the top five quarterbacks are off the board.
Jordan McNamara: The Falcons are an embarrassment of riches on offense with the possibility to start first-rounders at every position. Atlanta’s defense is suspect, and in the NFC South, Matt Ryan will get the opportunity to play Tampa Bay, New Orleans, and Carolina twice. Tampa Bay and New Orleans each project to be very good to elite offenses, while Carolina is going through a rebuilding phase on their defense without much time to gel, so there is plenty of shoot-out potential. Another schedule perk: Kansas City in week 16 which could be one of the highest-scoring games of the season. Ryan has thrown for less than 4,446 yards once since 2012, so he presents a solid floor with what could be an elite ceiling in 2020.
Matthew Stafford, Detroit
Andrew Davenport: Matthew Stafford underwent a transformation last year before succumbing to a back injury. A guy who previously was unexciting for fantasy for anything but deep superflex leagues suddenly turned into a fantasy powerhouse. His yards per attempt shot up to second in the league at 8.6 yards per throw, and he scored three or more touchdowns in five of his eight starts. By any measure, Stafford was having a renaissance year and when the gun sounded on Week 9 Stafford was the 6th most prolific fantasy quarterback. Don't ignore his possibilities this draft season as he represents immense value where he's being selected.
Jeff Haseley: Before injuring his back in Week 9 last year, Stafford was turning corners and playing efficiently with a QB6 ranking. He is fully healed from his back injury and appears to be ready to pick up where he left off, plus he has a potential elite fantasy wide receiver in Kenny Golladay at his disposal. Stafford is an excellent target as a QB2 to pair with someone like Drew Brees or Tom Brady, or a single starter if you elect to wait at the position. Don't wait too long though.
Bob Henry: Stafford threw more deep balls than ever last year, thanks to the influence of offensive coordinator Darrell Bevell. He crushed his career-high for yards per attempt and was well on his way to finishing among the top fantasy quarterbacks of 2019 before his season was lost with a back injury. His durability is a concern, but if you wait on your signal caller, Stafford is one of the best options to grab late and package with another high upside guy like Joe Burrow. Stafford’s array of talent as the skill positions is among the best he’s had with the addition of D’Andre Swift at running back and second-year tight end T.J. Hockenson returning from injury.
Matt Waldman: Stafford was on track to earn 4,998 passing yards last year before fractures in his back sidelined him for the second half of the season. Marvin Jones and Kenny Golladay are excellent contested-catch receivers and T.J. Hockenson flashed his elite potential as a pass-catching tight end. Expect a fully-healthy Stafford to build on his 2019 campaign in 2020, especially with a better supporting cast of depth at wide receiver that includes Geronimo Allison and rookie Quintez Cephus--both capable of playing in the slot and working as flankers. This depth will help later in games when the Lions have to spread the field and should add another layer of efficiency to Stafford's production.
Player Receiving 3 Votes
Joe Burrow, Cincinnati
Phil Alexander: The Bengals have the makings of an underrated offense with Burrow at the helm. The No. 1 overall pick in this year's draft has great command of the pocket and proven ability reading pro-style defenses. He'll be an upgrade on Andy Dalton in year-one and Cincinnati has no shortage of helpful pass-catching weapons in A.J. Green, Tyler Boyd, Joe Mixon, and dynamic rookie Tee Higgins. Burrow also ran the ball surprisingly well last year at LSU adding another fantasy-friendly dimension to his game.
David Dodds: The Bengals might have the worst defense in the entire NFL so their opportunity to win games will need to come from outscoring their opponent. The Bengals threw the ball 616 times in 2019; They just didn't manage much production in those attempts. Burrow is a rookie, but he has a strong arsenal of wide receivers to throw to. The Bengals added the electric Tee Higgins with their first pick in the second round of the NFL Draft and get A.J. Green back from injury. All yards and touchdowns count in fantasy, and Joe Burrow looks poised to have games where he is forced to sling it as the team plays catchup football.
Bob Henry: Burrow’s ADP has been climbing lately and I’m seeing him go as early as round 10 and 11, so if you play the long game at quarterback, be prepared to grab him earlier. Burrow’s one of the top-rated rookies coming into the league over the past few years. If we look back at other rookies taken at or near the top of the draft like Burrow and look at those who played right away as rookies, then our comps are Andrew Luck, Baker Mayfield, Cam Newton, Jameis Winston, Robert Griffon. All but Mayfield finished QB5 or higher except for Mayfield (QB8). Burrow is coming off the board 19th, but he’s going to lead a Bengals offense with Zac Taylor calling plays with A.J. Green on the rebound, John Ross playing for a contract and Joe Mixon on the verge of his own potential breakout. The Bengals tempo should be fantasy friendly with plenty of game scripts to give Burrow a healthy floor, especially if he contributes with his legs as he did in college. A top 10 finish is well within his range of outcomes and much likelier than his ADP reflects.
Players Receiving 2 Votes
Daniel Jones, NY Giants
Phil Alexander: Jones is your Josh Allen arbitrage in early drafts. Currently available multiple rounds later than Allen, Jones has a high ceiling (four weekly top-5 finishes in 12 starts as a rookie), and the ability to generate fantasy points with his legs. If Jones can show some semblance of pocket awareness in year-two, his supporting cast of Saquon Barkley, Golden Tate, Sterling Shepard, Darius Slayton, and Evan Engram is good enough to boost him inside the top-10 quarterbacks. Just be sure to pair Jones with a solid QB2. You'll probably need one for the first three weeks as the Giants open with a brutal schedule (Pittsburgh, at Chicago, San Francisco).
Jeff Pasquino: It took all of 2019 for Daniel Jones to establish himself as the starting quarterback for the Giants, as veteran Eli Manning did not want to yield to the younger Jones easily. Jones stepped up in his rookie year, starting 12 games beginning in Week 3 (he missed two due to injury) and produced strong numbers as a rookie. By season's end, Jones was a Top 12 quarterback in fantasy points per game despite 12 interceptions. Jones will still rely on Saquon Barkley and TE Evan Engram as the wide receivers are still a bit below league average, but there is plenty to like for Jones in his second season. The young starter has more offensive line help (the Giants spent a first- and a third-rounder on lineman in April), offers additional running ability (279 yards, 2 TDs), and should be able to lower his interception numbers.
Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay
Jeff Haseley: From 2008 to 2012, Aaron Rodgers held a fantasy ranking of No. 1 or No. 2. He has since done it again twice more. The last three years he was 31st, 7th, and last year, he finished 11th. Rodgers has more than proven his stay as a fantasy juggernaut, but does his tank have enough gas to finish in the top 10 in 2020? As long as he stays free of lingering injuries, he should be a top 12 quarterback and possibly higher. Davante Adams' injury played a factor in Rodgers drop-off from the top 8, and now he'll be looking to make a statement after Green Bay drafted his possible replacement Jordan Love. At worst, Rodgers will be looking to get the most of his opportunity to sell other teams that he can still play at a high level if the Packers decide to move on from him after this season.
Andy Hicks: The talk of the offseason has been Jordan Love and the lack of help for Aaron Rodgers at wide receiver. An alternative view is that the Packers rate the four receivers who have been carried over with Davante Adams in Allen Lazard, Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Jake Kumerow, and Equanimeous St.Brown. At least one should make that leap in 2020. Devin Funchess in free agency arrives as well. He’s only 26 and an excellent red-zone threat. By seasons end the Packers will have managed fine. Onto to Rodgers and his career touchdown to interception ratio will be a record that stands for decades. 20 interceptions and zero touchdowns this year and he would still be in front. From a fantasy perspective, he was less than one point a game from finishing sixth in 2019 and that’s despite Aaron Jones stealing practically all the short-yardage touchdowns Rodgers usually acquires.
Ryan Tannehill, Tennessee
Matt Waldman: It's understandable that the general public and fantasy analysts expect Tannehill's production to experience some regression. However, Tannehill is an experienced starter who has had better seasons in Miami than what he displayed for half of 2019 in Tennessee. I don't expect A.J. Brown to earn 20 yards per catch or Tannehill to deliver 9 yards per attempt as they did last year, but both players will be more familiar with each other and the system. Brown is one of the brightest young talents in the NFL and should build on his production in 2020. As long as Derrick Henry stays healthy and rookie linemen Isaiah Wilson plays well enough to start for the Titans, Tannehill's play-making aggression as a downfield thrower and runner should at least generate low-end QB1 production as a fantasy option.
Jason Wood: Ryan Tannehill serves as a reminder for why we all love this game. After washing out in Miami, he signed for a run-heavy Titans team as Marcus Mariota's backup. By the end of the season, Tannehill led the Titans to the AFC Championship Game and was rewarded with a long-term contract as the Titans' new starter. Last year, Tannehill was QB11 on a per-game basis in spite of attempting a meager 24 passes per game (44th among quarterbacks). A.J. Brown emerged as a difference-making WR1 by the end of the season and is poised for eye-gouging numbers in 2020. While the Titans will continue running the ball behind Derrick Henry, Tannehill is a perfect fit for Arthur Smith's system and is an enticing late-round choice for No. 2 fantasy duties.
Deshaun Watson, Houston
Bob Henry: The way I look at the quarterback position, there are roughly six quarterbacks in the first tier, all capable of being QB1 if things fall right. Watson is the cheapest of them all – the impact of losing DeAndre Hopkins is real. Still, Watson will have plenty of weapons, and he’s proven to be resilient and an elite fantasy quarterback consistently throughout his young career. Take the discount, target Watson, and enjoy the extra running back, wide receiver, or tight end.
Dan Hindery: There is a tendency in fantasy to chase the next big thing and undervalue more proven commodities. However, that typically does not happen with a quarterback who is only 24 years old. Watson has thrown for 71 touchdowns and ran for 14 more scores in his 37 NFL starts. He has one of the highest fantasy floors in the league and has finished top-three in PPG at the quarterback position in each of his seasons. Do not expect the loss of DeAndre Hopkins to hurt Watson if Will Fuller and Brandin Cooks can stay healthy. The lack of pressure to force-feed it to one target and an increase in team speed may actually help Watson’s numbers.
Players Receiving 1 Vote
Drew Brees, New Orleans
Matt Waldman: The best performers at quarterback have at least three excellent weapons in the passing game. Brees had Michael Thomas, Jared Cook, and Alvin Kamara last year but Kamara missed multiple games and the Saints wide receivers outside of Thomas were old or raw. Enter Emmanuel Sanders, the ninth-most productive wide receiver in the NFL since 2010. Sanders has the athletic ability to stretch the field and he's a craftsman as a route runner. He's the reason the 49ers offense improved midway through the year. Sanders will open up this offense for Brees and make life easier for Brees to spread the ball around, especially in the red zone. The Saints quarterbacks earned 4,500 yards passing last year, expect Brees to close-in on 5,000 with this crew of receivers.
Kirk Cousins, Minnesota
Andy Hicks: Kirk Cousins attempted 160 fewer passes from 2018 to 2019 and saw his lowest career passing yardage as a full-time starter. He also lost Stefon Diggs and it was the least productive year as a rusher for Cousins. Why then should there be optimism in 2020? Missing one game, the meaningless finale of the season had a devastating effect on his end of year numbers. An average game sees him finish as a borderline QB1 despite all the relatively low numbers. Minnesota was able to dictate the offense through the run game relentlessly last year and even a slight move towards the passing game boosts his numbers significantly. The addition of Justin Jefferson in the draft and further development of Olabisi Johnson and Irv Smith should all help make a more balanced offense and push Cousins back toward being a low-end WR1.
Drew Lock, Denver
Andy Hicks: Fantasy football isn’t always about statistics or past performance. Future projection and instinct are key ingredients in success. Drew Lock isn’t considered a starting fantasy quarterback in 2020. Why? Denver has gone all-in on helping Lock succeed. Joe Flacco was cut, while Melvin Gordon was signed to partner Phillip Lindsay giving Denver an excellent one-two punch. To accompany rising star Courtland Sutton at wide receiver, Denver used their early picks on Jerry Jeudy and K.J. Hamler. At tight end, Noah Fant was the 2019 first-rounder and had an excellent season. Locks favorite target in college, Albert Okwuegbunam was even drafted. All the pieces have been assembled, but the key was how Lock looked in his limited action. He looked like a franchise quarterback. Composed, all the throws in the book and leadership. Maybe 2020 is too soon, but draft Lock as your backup and it’s a no-lose situation.
Dak Prescott, Dallas
Jordan McNamara: The Dallas Cowboys led the league in total yards in 2019. This fact was not appreciated because they did not make the playoffs and Lamar Jackson had a historic year. Dallas’s offense lost 2019 bounce-back Randall Cobb but they replace him with first-round pick CeeDee Lamb. The loss of Jason Witten’s 6.37 yards per target, which was one of the worst performances by a full-time starter in the NFL last season, should also act as a positive. Add in Prescott finished as QB2 with a reasonable 5% touchdown rate in 2019, and Prescott has the formula to be the QB1 and a 2020 NFL MVP candidate.