What was a very eventful draft was uneventful in fantasy circles. What was already thought of as a subpar class of skill players only lost value when destinations and draft slots were revealed. Here’s my advice to take advantage:
Trade out of top five rookie picks except to take Josh Jacobs. The wide receiver and running back values are level through the top 15-20. When in doubt in the late first, take Murray, he can be a difference maker even at quarterback. Target the undersized wideouts with great spots like Mecole Hardman, Hollywood Brown, and Diontae Johnson in the second instead. The best running back value on the board is Darrell Henderson, who is also available in the second round in a lot of drafts. It’s too late to trade out of picks, everyone can see how poor this class is in terms of value across classes. You’ll have to dip into undrafted players to fill out four and five round offensive-only drafts. Bet on the quality of the team and openings on the depth chart as much as the player. Have fun with this draft, because it mostly lacks big impact upside players.
The Bloom 100 is ranked with the following type of dynasty fantasy football league in mind:
- Full IDP lineups including DT and CB
- PPR, start 3 WR
- Deep lineups and roster
Of course, depending on your league scoring and settings, the placement of some positions can change, but the tier breaks and rankings within position should be good to use across all league formats.
You might disagree with my assessments of draft outcome vs expectations, situation, and opportunity, and you should go with yours. Those attributes are presented more to frame how we should be thinking about how these players dynasty values changed during the draft.
I’ll be updating rankings here - and compiling the developments or what I’ve learned behind the moves in my rankings periodically through the offseason. I’m sure if I look at these long enough, I can talk myself into changing many rankings. Consider this a starting position to debate and clarify your own rankings more than a substitute for your own rankings.
(Pre-draft rank in parenthesis)
1(2). Josh Jacobs, RB, Oakland - Jacobs will get to be a three-down back at a time when true lead backs are going extinct. He’s the clear 1.01 by a large margin.
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Par
- Short-Term Opportunity: High
- Long-Term Opportunity: High
- Quality of Situation: Medium (Solid line, Antonio Brown, meh Carr)
- Quality of Offense Decision-Makers: Medium (Gruden is underrated)
2(19). Mecole Hardman, WR, Kansas City **TOP VALUE** - Hardman isn’t Tyreek Hill, but he does have a strong overlap in strengths of his game. A bet on Hardman is a bet on Patrick Mahomes II, which should give you the warm fuzzies.
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Eagle
- Short-Term Opportunity: High
- Long-Term Opportunity: High
- Quality of Situation: High
- Quality of Offense Decision Makers: High
3(3). D.K. Metcalf, WR, Seattle - Metcalf’s fall was more shocking than Butler’s to some. He was considered top 10-15 worth on some draft analyst boards, and the commodity he represents is clear and very useful in the NFL. If Doug Baldwin retires, Metcalf starts right away, and even though Russell Wilson is a low volume quarterback, he’s high efficiency. Metcalf’s injury history could interfere with his arrival, but this a good spot for him to preserve value despite fall to the end of the second. 5/10: Moved up from 4 to 3
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Double Bogey
- Short-Term Opportunity: High
- Long-Term Opportunity: High
- Quality of Situation: Medium (Low volume pass O, but great QB)
- Quality of Offense Decision Makers: Low (Run, run, run)
4(1). Hakeem Butler, WR, Arizona - I’m not as dismayed at Butler’s fall as I am excited about his destination and quarterback. Kliff Kingsbury will employ a hyper-aggressive, pass-heavy offense by all outward indications and Kyler Murray has a penchant for the big downfield pass. Butler should also get plenty of chances to show his run after catch prowess. Butler vs. Metcalf is a difficult decision, but both are values on rookie draft boards. I have Butler over Sanders, but if you have a late first or early second, you should trade down or take Sanders and target Butler with the later pick. 5/10: Moved down from 3 to 4
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Double Bogey
- Short-Term Opportunity: High
- Long-Term Opportunity: High
- Quality of Situation: Medium, potentially High (Air raid!)
- Quality of Offense Decision Makers: Unknown, potentially High
5(18). Miles Sanders, RB, Philadelphia - Sanders is good enough to be a three-down back, and he landed in a great offense. That offense has seemed hellbent on using three backs, but is that because they didn’t have a back like Sanders? He also will be running behind a terrific line. He gained as much value as any back during the draft.
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Birdie
- Short-Term Opportunity: Medium
- Long-Term Opportunity: High
- Quality of Situation: Medium to High
- Quality of Offense Decision Makers: High
6(13). Marquise Brown, WR, Baltimore **TOP VALUE** - Many see this as fantasy death after the Ravens offense abandoned the pass after Lamar Jackson last year, but Jackson has a lot of room to grow as a passer and Brown can be his favorite target after the play breaks down. The first round draft status was an excellent endorsement of the state of his foot, and it sounded like more than one team was willing to take him in the first in the leadup to the draft.
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Birdie
- Short-Term Opportunity: High
- Long-Term Opportunity: High
- Quality of Situation: Low, with room to grow
- Quality of Offense Decision Makers: Medium
7(5). Darrell Henderson, RB, Los Angeles Rams **TOP VALUE** - Don’t focus on Todd Gurley’s presence. Henderson landed in a good offense with an innovative mind at the helm. They will use him a lot even if Gurley’s knee is sound. If it’s not, Henderson could inherit a lead back spot in an offense that is poised to be one of the best in the league for a long time. I’m keeping Henderson over Montgomery despite Gurley because of the chance for this situation to return league-tilting value. 5/10: Moved up from 9 to 7
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Par
- Short-Term Opportunity: Low to Medium
- Long-Term Opportunity: Medium, potentially High
- Quality of Situation: High
- Quality of Offense Decision Makers: High
8(10). Kyler Murray, QB, Arizona **TOP VALUE** - The Cardinals committed to Murray - and therefore Kliff Kingsbury’s vision on offense - and then doubled down by taking Andy Isabella and Hakeem Butler. The line is an issue, but Murray will quickly encourage mush rushes from his opponents, and the league is going to be a step behind what will hopefully be a more fully-realized Air Raid offense. The size of the offensive pie could be big here, and Murray has the ability to add a lot of value as a runner. Buy, buy, buy. 5/10: Moved down from 7 to 8
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Par
- Short-Term Opportunity: High
- Long-Term Opportunity: High
- Quality of Situation: Medium to High (Ideal except for offensive line)
- Quality of Offense Decision Makers: High (So willing to embrace his game)
9(8). NKeal Harry, WR, New England **OVERDRAFTED** - The Patriots get the most out of players, there’s no doubt, although Harry doesn’t fit their typical mold at wide receiver unless they see him as similar to Josh Gordon - but Harry lacks Gordon’s speed. Harry wins when the ball is in the air and he’s a handful after the catch, but it’s hard to picture Tom Brady throwing a lot of back-shoulder and jump balls and the Pats have been hit and miss on wide receiver fits despite being the best-managed organization in the league. I’m not anti-Harry, but with him going so high in rookie drafts, he’s basically an avoid at this rank. 5/10: Moved down from 8 to 9
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Birdie
- Short-Term Opportunity: Medium, potentially High
- Long-Term Opportunity: High
- Quality of Situation: High
- Quality of Offense Decision Makers: High
10(15). Devin Bush, LB, Pittsburgh - A home run night for Bush. The Steelers haven’t made a move up the board like this since Troy Polamalu. Fasten your seatbelts.
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Par
11(11). Devin White, LB, Tampa Bay - White has a chance to be a top 10 fantasy linebacker and can check all the boxes for creating IDP value. He’s an easy call in the second half of the first round of mixed drafts.
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Par
13(32). Parris Campbell, WR, Indianapolis - Lots of Colts fans were happy with this pick. Campbell gets open on crossing patterns, and he’s a speed threat after the catch, although the Colts probably see him as a deep threat too. He’s a similar prospect to Curtis Samuel but in a better situation. 5/10: Moved up from 13 to 12
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Par
- Short-Term Opportunity: Medium
- Long-Term Opportunity: High
- Quality of Situation: High
- Quality of Offense Decision Makers: High
12(7). Deebo Samuel, WR, San Francisco - Samuel got the respect he deserves from a draft position standpoint, although the landing spot is probably not a net positive, even though it’s not a negative. George Kittle, Dante Pettis, and Marquise Goodwin are all going to get theirs as receivers, and we’re not sure Jimmy Garoppolo is a plus yet even though Kyle Shanahan definitely is. This isn’t that much more than they spent on Pettis last year, and the two may limit each other’s weekly and season-long upside while growing the potential for the offense. Pettis and Goodwin haven’t been the most durable, so Samuel has injury upside out of the gate. 5/10: Moved down from 12 to 13
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Birdie
- Short-Term Opportunity: Medium
- Long-Term Opportunity: Medium
- Quality of Situation: Medium to High
- Quality of Offense Decision Makers: High
14(36). Andy Isabella, WR, Arizona - The Cardinals turned Rosen into Isabella, who should be a big play creator on extended plays and run after catch threat as an inside receiver in an aggressive Air Raid attack. This landing spot should maximize his upside and gloss over some of his negatives.
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Birdie
- Short-Term Opportunity: High
- Long-Term Opportunity: High
- Quality of Situation: Medium, potentially High (Air raid!)
- Quality of Offense Decision Makers: Unknown, potentially High
15(6). David Montgomery, RB, Chicago **OVERDRAFTED** - I’m not sure Montgomery will look decisively better than Mike Davis at first, although Davis is only a short-term obstacle to Montgomery’s opportunity. He’ll share passing downs with Tarik Cohen, but it’s easy to picture him leading this team in carries for multiple years at his peak, and his offense is good and getting better. The Bears under Nagy have been known to neglect the run, and Montgomery doesn’t have top 10-15 in his range of outcomes here without injury.
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Par
- Short-Term Opportunity: Low to Medium
- Long-Term Opportunity: Medium
- Quality of Situation: Medium
- Quality of Offense Decision Makers: High
16(57). Diontae Johnson, WR, Pittsburgh **TOP VALUE** - Trust the Steelers when it comes to receivers. Johnson resembles Antonio Brown and Emmanuel Sanders at the time they were drafted in terms of strengths. He can mix into this offense right away.
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Eagle
- Short-Term Opportunity: Medium
- Long-Term Opportunity: Medium to High
- Quality of Situation: High
- Quality of Offense Decision Makers: Medium
17(4). A.J. Brown, WR, Tennessee **OVERDRAFTED** - Brown did okay from a draft position investment as indicator point of view, but his landing spot is a negative. The Titans have been an underachieving pass offense under Marcus Mariota and Corey Davis is already the alpha, with Adam Humphries just brought on to hoover easy targets. Brown is easy to bet on as a player, but his surroundings are not fertile solid for fantasy.
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Par
- Short-Term Opportunity: High
- Long-Term Opportunity: High
- Quality of Situation: Low
- Quality of Offense Decision Makers: Unknown
18(16). Nick Bosa, DE, San Francisco - Bosa will be rushing offensive lines thinking about DeForest Buckner, Arik Armstead, and Dee Ford (and maybe Solomon Thomas? sometimes?). Everything went according to plan for him, and he kept the defensive end designation, which is important for IDP leagues.
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Par
19(9). Noah Fant, TE, Denver **OVERDRAFTED** - Fant landed in the first, but it’s difficult to like this destination. Late career Joe Flacco, Drew Lock, and the Broncos pass offense might not be the best creators of the value here. Fant oozes physical potential but is still rough around the edge as a receiver in some ways. This feels like an underachieve spot unless Lock surprises us. It’s bitterly disappointing for fantasy when Green Bay and New England were in the mix pre-draft.
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Par
- Short-Term Opportunity: Medium
- Long-Term Opportunity: High
- Quality of Situation: Low
- Quality of Offense Decision Makers: Unknown
20(12). T.J. Hockenson, TE, Detroit **OVERDRAFTED** - Hockenson went high, not just top 10, but over a trade down from #20, #52, and a future third. He’s a high floor player, but it is a bit concerning that he went to an organization that can’t get enough running on offense. Kenny Golladay has emerged and Marvin Jones is still there, so he’s not likely to hit the ground running as a fantasy option. The feeling here is lukewarm even though it’s not about the player. Maybe this team will follow the young offensive-minded head coach trend and revitalize Stafford’s career. Shrug,
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Par
- Short-Term Opportunity: Medium
- Long-Term Opportunity: High
- Quality of Situation: Low to Medium
- Quality of Offense Decision Makers: Low
21(37). J.J. Arcega-Whiteside, WR, Philadelphia **OVERDRAFTED** - I’m a skeptic about Arcega-Whiteside’s ability to separate, but you have to defer to the Eagles organization when they make this kind of investment. We’ll see if they move on from Nelson Agholor.
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Birdie
- Short-Term Opportunity: Low
- Long-Term Opportunity: High
- Quality of Situation: High
- Quality of Offense Decision Makers: High
22(26). Devin Singletary, RB, Buffalo - In some ways, Singletary wasn’t that different than Trayveon Williams, but in others, he wasn’t that different than David Montgomery. He could start for Buffalo next year and lands in a great running back room to learn his craft.
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Par
- Short-Term Opportunity: Low
- Long-Term Opportunity: High
- Quality of Situation: Low to Medium
- Quality of Offense Decision Makers: Medium
23(29). Miles Boykin, WR, Baltimore - Boykin, like Hollywood Brown, will take a big hit immediately in some eyes because of what happened to the Ravens receivers last year, but Lamar Jackson will grow. He is a very athletically gifted big receiver and will be underrated in rookie drafts.
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Par
- Short-Term Opportunity: High
- Long-Term Opportunity: High
- Quality of Situation: Low, with room to grow
- Quality of Offense Decision Makers: Medium
24(42). Jace Sternberger, TE, Green Bay - Step aside Jimmy Graham. Sternberger projects as a skilled seam ripper, and he’s got Aaron Rodgers as his quarterback with little established in the passing game beyond Davante Adams
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Par
- Short-Term Opportunity: Low to Medium
- Long-Term Opportunity: High
- Quality of Situation: High
- Quality of Offense Decision Makers: Unknown, potentially high
25(27). Damien Harris, RB, New England - Harris is such a solid all-around back and the Patriots stamp of approval on the second day probably adds value. Sony Michel’s knee has already flared up once, and he has had fumble problems in the past. This backfield produces fantasy value with the best of them. It’s a great spot even though it’s crowded.
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Par
- Short-Term Opportunity: Low
- Long-Term Opportunity: Medium
- Quality of Situation: High
- Quality of Offense Decision Makers: High
26(24). Bryce Love, RB, Washington - Love’s knee didn’t keep him from getting drafted in a spot that should give him a nicely defined role that Chris Thompson has turned into RB1 numbers at times in PPR leagues. There’s still some risk with his ACL recovery, and Derrius Guice isn’t going anywhere, but Dwayne Haskins’ arrival helps spruce up this situation long term
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Birdie
- Short-Term Opportunity: Low
- Long-Term Opportunity: Medium
- Quality of Situation: Medium
- Quality of Offense Decision Makers: Medium to High
27(47). Justice Hill, RB, Baltimore - Hill landed in a run-heavy offense and he has the speed and acceleration to figure in as a strong change of pace to Mark Ingram right away, with a chance to have a bigger role down the line.
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Birdie
- Short-Term Opportunity: Medium
- Long-Term Opportunity: High
- Quality of Situation: High
- Quality of Offense Decision Makers: Medium
28(22). Josh Allen, EDGE, Jacksonville - Will Allen be classified as a defensive end or linebacker? The team says he’ll move into Dante Fowler’s old role, which would indicate end as a final designation for him, although linebacker could still be in his future.
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Par
29(23). Ed Oliver, DL, Buffalo - Congrats Buffalo, you got a baller. Congrats fantasy teams that take Oliver, you got a baller.
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Par
30(UR). Darwin Thompson, RB, Kansas City - A Matt Waldman favorite, a depth chart that lacks oomph, and a situation that creates RB1 numbers routinely? Sign me up in the late rounds. 4/30: Moved up from 41
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Par
- Short-Term Opportunity: Low
- Long-Term Opportunity: High
- Quality of Situation: High
- Quality of Offense Decision Makers: High
31(77). Ryquell Armstead, RB, Jacksonville - This pick is eyebrow-raising if only because Armstead runs hard with good speed and might embody the kind of back Jacksonville wants off of the field more than Leonard Fournette right now. He should be the backup soon.
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Birdie
- Short-Term Opportunity: Medium
- Long-Term Opportunity: High
- Quality of Situation: Medium
- Quality of Offense Decision Makers: Low
32(31). Terry McLaurin, WR, Washington - Can there be many other better outcomes for a wide receiver than landing with his college quarterback? McLaurin should be ushered into a starting role sooner than later.
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Birdie
- Short-Term Opportunity: Medium
- Long-Term Opportunity: High
- Quality of Situation: Low, with room to grow
- Quality of Offense Decision Makers: Medium to High
33(33). Jalen Hurd, WR, San Francisco - Hurd is an interesting fantasy prospect with the ability to be a short yardage runner and more as a back and a lot of room to grow, albeit in a very crowded and young wide receiver group
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Birdie
- Short-Term Opportunity: Low
- Long-Term Opportunity: Low to Medium
- Quality of Situation: Medium to High
- Quality of Offense Decision Makers: High
34(14). Kelvin Harmon, WR, Washington - It was a disastrous weekend for Harmon. His 40 time killed his stock even though he plays faster and separates as well as Harry and Arcega-Whiteside. He landed with a good pocket passer and on a weak outside receiver depth chart. The draft position doesn’t mean as much once teams watch these guys play.
- Draft Position vs Expectations: In the Water
- Short-Term Opportunity: Medium
- Long-Term Opportunity: High
- Quality of Situation: Low, with room to grow
- Quality of Offense Decision Makers: Medium to High
35(51). Clelin Ferrell, DE, Oakland - Ferrell will be classified at end, and he projects as a very active player, even if his sack upside might be lower than some of his peers.
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Double Eagle
36(43). Quinnen Williams, DT, New York Jets - Williams is a wrecking ball might not have quite the range of influence as Ed Oliver, but still is a blue chip pick in leagues that start a defensive tackle, and he’s rosterable in leagues that blend all defensive linemen together.
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Par
37(UR). Darnell Savage, S, Green Bay - This Bob Sanders type safety will make his impact felt in more ways than one and should be a target if you have an immediate need at safety.
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Birdie
38(44). Irv Smith, TE, Minnesota - It looks like Kyle Rudolph is going to hang around, and Smith ended up on a run-happy team with two great wide receivers, which hurts when he is a good two-way tight end.
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Par
- Short-Term Opportunity: Low (for now)
- Long-Term Opportunity: High
- Quality of Situation: Low
- Quality of Offense Decision Makers: Medium
39(79). Benny Snell, RB, Pittsburgh - The Steelers love Snell. While he looked like a pedestrian physical talent in NFL terms to me, that kind of talent can be productive in Pittsburgh. He might not overtake James Conner, but the landing spot can’t be ignored as a value-adder.
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Birdie
- Short-Term Opportunity: Low
- Long-Term Opportunity: Low
- Quality of Situation: High
- Quality of Offense Decision Makers: Medium to High
40(66). Jachai Polite, DE, New York Jets - Polite had first-round tape and a third day postseason. He’ll get to rush the edge from defensive end in Gregg Williams with a very strong interior group to put a stress on protection schemes.
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Par
41(40). Brian Burns, DE, Carolina - Some had Burns as a high first, some as a low first, the final slot (16) split the difference. He might like his current running mate, Bruce Irvin, and contribute little vs. the run. At least he gets the defensive end designation.
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Par
42(55). Dwayne Haskins, QB, Washington - Haskins gets to be a franchise quarterback and for a head coach who has gotten a lot out of Kirk Cousins and Andy Dalton. He won’t add much as a runner, and won’t arrive for fantasy for at least two to three years.
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Par
- Short-Term Opportunity: High
- Long-Term Opportunity: High
- Quality of Situation: Low, with room to grow
- Quality of Offense Decision Makers: Medium to High
43(41). Montez Sweat, LB, Washington - Who can say what his real medical concern level is, but Washington was pleased to jump up for him. The linebacker designation hurts, but he can still be fantasy relevant in this spot.
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Bogey
44(99). Jonathan Abram, S, Oakland - Abram is a Kam Chancellor type and the team has the personnel to deploy him in his most ideal role, one that should also result in a lot of tackle opportunity behind a weak linebacker group.
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Birdie
45(38). Riley Ridley, WR, Chicago - Ridley’s weak combine knocked him down the board a bit and while he’s in a good situation, it couldn’t be more crowded in terms of depth chart obstacles
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Bogey
- Short-Term Opportunity: None
- Long-Term Opportunity: Low
- Quality of Situation: High
- Quality of Offense Decision Makers: High
46(60). Alexander Mattison, RB, Minnesota - The choice of Mattison wasn’t strongly noted, but he’s a Matt Waldman favorite, and he can take over the Latavius Murray role right away, with Dalvin Cook injury upside.
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Eagle
- Short-Term Opportunity: Medium
- Long-Term Opportunity: Medium
- Quality of Situation: Low to Medium
- Quality of Offense Decision Makers: Medium
47(46). Rashad Gary, DE, Green Bay - Year one expectations are dampened because of fully stocked edge starter depth chart and a torn labrum, but Gary should keep a defensive end designation and can mix in a NASCAR style pass rush if Mike Pettine uses all of his assets to their fullest.
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Birdie
48(UR) Jahlani Tavai, LB, Detroit - Tavai was a favorite of some smart draftniks, and apparently Bob Quinn, too. He should start sooner than later and be very active and often around the ball.
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Eagle
49(50). Bruce Anderson, RB, Tampa Bay - It’s tough out there when you can’t get a combine invite, but I expect Anderson to stand out this summer for the Bucs and make the team.
- Draft Position vs Expectations: In the Water
- Short-Term Opportunity: Medium
- Long-Term Opportunity: High
- Quality of Situation: Low
- Quality of Offense Decision Makers: Medium to High
50(63). Preston Williams, WR, Miami - Williams went undrafted as expected, but landed somewhere that he can get on the future starter track very quickly and with a new young and accurate quarterback to build around.
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Par
- Short-Term Opportunity: Medium
- Long-Term Opportunity: High
- Quality of Situation: Low, with room to grow
- Quality of Offense Decision Makers: Unknown
51(20). Penny Hart, WR, Indianapolis - The Combine invite snub was a death knell for his stock, but then he landed with the Colts, where the team sorely needed a player of his skillset until they took Parris Campbell. I still see them as different players when it comes time to run the short and intermediate route tree and Hart should be able to at least stick on the practice squad. Andrew Luck is only good for his stock even though he’ll have an uphill battle to make the team.
- Draft Position vs Expectations: In the Water
- Short-Term Opportunity: Low
- Long-Term Opportunity: High
- Quality of Situation: High
- Quality of Offense Decision Makers: High
52(28). Devine Ozigbo, RB, New Orleans - Just like Penny Hart, Ozigbo’s combine snub probably sealed his draft fate, but there’s a happy ending because of the organization he landed with as an undrafted free agent.
- Draft Position vs Expectations: In the Water
- Short-Term Opportunity: Low
- Long-Term Opportunity: Medium
- Quality of Situation: High
- Quality of Offense Decision Makers: High
53(30). James Williams, RB, Kansas City - A sad draft weekend with a silver lining, part III - Williams is in one of the plug-and-play backfields, although he might have to spend time on the practice squad behind Matt Waldman favorite Darwin Thompson, who did get drafted.
- Draft Position vs Expectations: In the Water
- Short-Term Opportunity: Low
- Long-Term Opportunity: High
- Quality of Situation: High
- Quality of Offense Decision Makers: High
54(17). Rodney Anderson, RB, Cincinnati - I still love Anderson, but it’s obvious the league thinks his body is broken, and he landed behind Joe Mixon.
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Double Bogey
- Short-Term Opportunity: Low
- Long-Term Opportunity: Low
- Quality of Situation: Low to Medium
- Quality of Offense Decision Makers: Unknown
55(75). Josh Oliver, TE, Jacksonville - What will the Jaguars offense and passing game look like in a few years. He’s a ready-made for fantasy receiving tight end prospect and maybe he and Nick Foles could connect early on, but this isn’t a great organization to instill confidence in their offensive success or rational usage.
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Birdie
- Short-Term Opportunity: Low
- Long-Term Opportunity: Low to Medium
- Quality of Situation: Low
- Quality of Offense Decision Makers: Low
56(61). KeeSean Johnson, WR, Arizona - Johnson isn’t nearly as exciting as the other wide receiver choices, but he’ll be a very dependable route runner and get to learn from Larry Fitzgerald.
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Par
- Short-Term Opportunity: High
- Long-Term Opportunity: High
- Quality of Situation: Medium, potentially High (Air raid!)
- Quality of Offense Decision Makers: Unknown, potentially High
57(25). Trayveon Williams, RB, Cincinnati - Williams fall stunned his biggest supporters, but he is undersized and has good pass blocking skills, but was underutilized as a receiver, making that part of his game more of an unknown. Landing behind Joe Mixon is rough for fantasy value.
- Draft Position vs Expectations: Bogey
- Short-Term Opportunity: Low
- Long-Term Opportunity: Low
- Quality of Situation: Medium
- Quality of Offense Decision Makers: Unknown
58(39). Alex Barnes, RB, Tennessee - Barnes outstanding combine mattered little, as he went undrafted. At least he landed somewhere that he can make the roster as the third back.
- Draft Position vs Expectations: In the Water
- Short-Term Opportunity: Low
- Long-Term Opportunity: Low to Medium
- Quality of Situation: Low
- Quality of Offense Decision Makers: Unknown
59(21). Emanuel Hall, WR, Chicago - Hall fell out of the draft in part because of injuries. His deep speed is legit, but he’ll have to make it as a practice squad receiver because of the Bears crowded depth chart at wide receiver.
- Draft Position vs Expectations: In The Water
- Short-Term Opportunity: None
- Long-Term Opportunity: Low
- Quality of Situation: High
- Quality of Offense Decision Makers: High
60(35). Antoine Wesley, WR, Baltimore - Like the player, and he’s probably a better version of Jaleel Scott, who they took in the fifth round last year. He’s still ticketed for the practice squad at best in a tough wide receiver to feed more than one mouth.
- Draft Position vs Expectations: In the Water
- Short-Term Opportunity: High
- Long-Term Opportunity: High
- Quality of Situation: Low, with room to grow
- Quality of Offense Decision Makers: Medium
61(73). Emmanuel Butler, WR, New Orleans - Butler went undrafted, but that hasn’t stopped the Saints from making something out of players in their offense. He offers as much or more upside than Keith Kirkwood.
62(71). Ashton Dulin, WR, Indianapolis - Dulin is a size/speed prospect, who like Penny Hart will likely end up on the practice squad, but he’s a name to monitor among undrafted players for the indicators of an instant hit this spring and summer.
63(34). Tyre Brady, WR, Jacksonville - The Jaguars aren’t wide receiver heaven for fantasy value, but there isn’t a true alpha, and there could be room for him in time. He should make the practice squad.
64(48). Stanley Morgan Jr, WR, Cincinnati - Morgan is another Matt Waldman favorite with no clear weaknesses in his game, and the Bengals lack depth at outside receiver. He should push to make the team.
65(UR). Jeffery Simmons, DT, Tennessee - Is defensive tackle an important enough position in your scoring to carry a development prospect? If so, Simmons could easily be worth as much as Williams or Oliver in a year.
66(93). Christian Wilkins, DT, Miami- Wilkins has the game to be a DT1 in IDP leagues, and he’ll be on the field a lot.
67(UR). Germaine Pratt, LB, Cincinnati - Pratt is a beast against the run and he’ll have a chance to be a big part of the Bengals defense in the post-Burfict era.
68(UR). Marquise Blair, S, Seattle - Blair can rise up the depth chart quickly and play the run like a linebacker.
69(UR). L.J. Collier, DE, Seattle - Collier lacks upside as a sack artist, but he’s a glass eater who will devour snaps and be in on a decent share of plays as the best edge defender on the roster.
70(90). Mike Weber, RB, Dallas - Weber could be the backup in a Buckeye backfield, which would have sneaky injury upside, although Zeke is one of the most durable backs in the league.
71(54). Dexter Williams, RB, Green Bay - Williams heard his name called during the second half of day three, and he has two young backs ahead of him. He projects as solid depth, but not more.
72(59). DaMarkus Lodge, WR, Tampa Bay - Lodge ended up in the shadows of A.J. Brown and D.K. Metcalf, but he’s the type of receiver that fits well in a downfield passing scheme like Tampa’s.
73(72). Jazz Ferguson, WR, Seattle - Ferguson is a size/speed prospect who could be a reasonable replacement for D.K. Metcalf in time if Metcalf can’t stay healthy.
74(UR). Qadree Ollison, RB, Atlanta - Ollison is similar to Brian Hill, he can get it done as a downhill runner. The battle between him and Hill will be one to watch in camp.
75(UR). Gary Jennings, WR, Seattle - Jennings was highly productive and he’s good enough to make this team, but it’s a difficult situation to make relevant in fantasy leagues. He fits more as good depth than a potential showpiece in the offense.
76(98). Tony Pollard, RB, Dallas - The Cowboys obviously loved Pollard and might envision him as an RB/WR weapon, although he’s not necessarily in line for the backup job with Mike Weber also on the roster.
77(62). Terry Godwin, WR, Carolina - Godwin went well after his wide receiver teammates from Georgia, but he flashed enough during the postseason to make a name for himself. Carolina could offer him a roster spot soon.
78(49). Travis Homer, RB, Seattle - Homer will have to beat out J.D. McKissic to make the roster, which isn’t a given. But Homer can, and he has the goods to get a shot somewhere eventually.
79(84). Daniel Jones, QB, New York Giants - Jones will be the starting quarterback for the Giants eventually. He’s athletic enough to add some value as a runner. He has the stink of overinflated expectations and a bust, but a future starter always has value in dynasty leagues.
80(91). Nasir Adderley, S, Los Angeles Chargers - Adderley can be the playmaker roaming the back of the Chargers defense while Derwin James creates havoc all over the formation. That’s not a high ceiling fantasy role, but one that can be relevant.
81(64). Drew Lock, QB, Denver - Lock wasn’t a first rounder, but he should be considered the heir to Joe Flacco. He’s less likely to be rushed as a second-round pick, but he lacks the affirmative success indicator of being a first-round pick.
82(UR). Damarea Crockett, RB, Houston - Crockett is more physically talented than Karan Higdon, but he has more concerns and holes in his game. The last depth chart and practice squad spots at running back for the Texans will be ones to watch.
83(100). Karan Higdon, RB, Houston - Higdon will blend in with practice squad backs, but the Texans liked Alfred Blue, who matches that description. He’ll have a battle on his hands against UDFA Damarea Crockett.
84(UR). Cody Thompson, WR, Kansas City - Thompson is a refined slot receiver who might have an edge in the dogfight for the last spot on the roster at wide receiver on a very good offensive team.
85(UR). Foster Moreau, TE, Oakland - Moreau could grow as a receiver, and he projects as the long term starter in Oakland at this moment.
86(52). Greg Dortch, WR, New York Jets - Dortch’s underwhelming postseason doomed him to undrafted status, but at least he’s in an organization with a good young quarterback.
87(58). Anthony Johnson, WR, Tampa Bay - Johnson’s one-speed game made him fall out of the draft despite productivity and a great game at the catch point. The Tampa organization could have some opportunity coming up at outside receiver.
88(UR). Bobby Okereke, LB, Indianapolis - After the Colts had such a great success with Darius Leonard last year, it's hard to ignore the similarities between Okereke and the 2018 defensive rookie of the year. Anthony Walker was productive beside Leonard last year and Okereke could replace him in short order. 5/13 Update: Added to Bloom 100
89(69). Myles Gaskin, RB, Miami - Gaskin lands in a place that is brimming with opportunity, but he is unlikely to create more than the chance to be a third down back.
90(74). Dawson Knox, TE, Buffalo - Knox wasn’t a big factor at Ole Miss for good reason, but he has the inside track to be the starting tight end for Buffalo. What’s that worth? Until the offense comes together around Josh Allen, not all much.
91(78). Jakobi Meyers, WR, New England - Stop me if you've heard this one before - the Patriots got a good hands/routes productive prospect with minimal draft investment
92(82). Kahale Warring, TE, Houston - The Texans have a thing for athletic, moldable tight end prospects, but having three makes it tough to like holding any of them. Warring might have the highest ceiling, but it’s better to check it on him in a year or two.
93(97). Alize Mack, TE, New Orleans - Mack lands in a very good spot with Jared Cook possibly giving way to him in a few years if he can stick as a developmental prospect, although likely with the post Drew Brees Saints.
94(94). Travis Fulgham, WR, Detroit - Fulghum can win in the air and the Lions have very little competition on the depth chart for backup outside receiver.
95(95). Jamal Custis, WR, Kansas City - Custis is a bit one-dimensional, but he can win in the air and it’s the Kansas City offense.
96(81). Hunter Renfrow, WR, Oakland - So he didn’t end up a Patriot after all. He’ll be a dependable, but not very productive target.
97(UR). Anthony Ratliff-Williams, WR, Tennessee - A few excellent draft analysts loved Ratliff-Williams and he can make the Titans roster.
98(UR). Trevon Wesco, TE, New York Jets - Another Matt Waldman favorite to take very late, Wesco has to deal with Chris Herndon, but Adam Gase will love his blocking ability. No Mike Gesicki conversion time necessary.
99(UR). Johnnie Dixon, WR, Houston - Dixon is raw, but he can make the Texas roster on special teams prowess and be poised to play eventually if Keke Coutee and Will Fuller can’t stay healthy.
100(UR). Reggie White Jr, WR, New York Giants - Another Matt Waldman favorite, landing on a roster with a possible opening at the end of the depth chart.
