
Photo: Imagn Images
Let me start off by saying this article is likely going to ruffle some feathers. Like all things in life, there are winners and losers. And some of you homers are rooting for teams and players that simply suck.
Value-Based Drafting shows you that every player has value. But we all know that really isn't the case. You can't load up with players from Miami, Buffalo, and Tennessee (even if they are value picks) and expect to win your league. Suck In...equals guess what...Suck Out.
In an effort to eliminate the suck from my Top 300 players, I have chosen to implement the following rules:
- All players on the worst eight offenses have been eliminated. Worst offenses are calculated looking at my team projections using standard PPR scoring. These teams did not make the cut in 2019: Miami Dolphins, Buffalo Bills, Baltimore Ravens, Tennessee Titans, Jacksonville Jaguars, Washington Redskins, Denver Broncos, and the New York Jets. Conversely, the top eight offenses (New Orleans Saints, Kansas City Chiefs, Los Angeles Rams, Cleveland Browns, Pittsburgh Steelers, Atlanta Falcons, Philadelphia Eagles, and New England Patriots) keep their players on the abbreviated draft list.
- Of the remaining 16 teams, the four with the worst playoff matchups (Week 14-16) have been removed. Say goodbye to the Dallas Cowboys (who play at CHI, vs LAR and at PHI), Green Bay Packers (vs WAS, vs CHI, and at MIN), San Francisco 49ers (at NO, vs ATL, and vs LAR), and the Oakland Raiders (vs TEN, vs JAC, and at LAC) on the abbreviated cheatsheet.
- Players with average draft positions (ADP) 40+ points higher than my rank get the ax too. Let's face it, you were never getting these guys anyway so why clutter your mind with these overpriced options.
- Old players suck. They get hurt a lot and offer minimal upside. Some of these players are still pretending to have skills, but many will likely disappoint.
- Unless you are in a league that does not allow transactions, you should not be drafting multiple kickers and defenses. Go ahead and cross off kickers and defense outside of the top 12.
- I am going to add back any player where I rank him 50 points higher than his average draft position.
- And finally, the Top 20 players on my board are exempt. Even on bad teams and bad situations, the stars usually get their stats.
Instead of highlighting possible steals, I have grayed out those that suck.
Here's to not sucking on draft day...
Rank
|
Pos
|
Player
|
Team/Bye
|
ADP
|
Diff
|
Rule
|
1
|
RB
|
Saquon Barkley
|
NYG/11
|
1
|
0
|
Exempt - Rule 7
|
2
|
RB
|
Christian McCaffrey
|
CAR/7
|
2
|
0
|
Exempt - Rule 7
|
3
|
RB
|
Alvin Kamara
|
NO/9
|
3
|
0
|
Exempt - Rule 7
|
4
|
RB
|
David Johnson
|
ARI/12
|
6
|
2
|
Exempt - Rule 7
|
5
|
WR
|
DeAndre Hopkins
|
HOU/10
|
5
|
0
|
Exempt - Rule 7
|
6
|
RB
|
Le'Veon Bell
|
NYJ/4
|
7
|
1
|
Exempt - Rule 7
|
7
|
WR
|
Julio Jones
|
ATL/9
|
9
|
2
|
Exempt - Rule 7
|
8
|
WR
|
Davante Adams
|
GB/11
|
8
|
0
|
Exempt - Rule 7
|
9
|
RB
|
Ezekiel Elliott
|
DAL/8
|
4
|
-5
|
Exempt - Rule 7
|
10
|
WR
|
Odell Beckham Jr
|
CLE/7
|
12
|
2
|
Exempt - Rule 7
|
11
|
TE
|
Travis Kelce
|
KC/12
|
13
|
2
|
Exempt - Rule 7
|
12
|
RB
|
Joe Mixon
|
CIN/9
|
17
|
5
|
Exempt - Rule 7
|
13
|
WR
|
Michael Thomas
|
NO/9
|
10
|
-3
|
Exempt - Rule 7
|
14
|
WR
|
Tyreek Hill
|
KC/12
|
14
|
0
|
Exempt - Rule 7
|
15
|
RB
|
Nick Chubb
|
CLE/7
|
18
|
3
|
Exempt - Rule 7
|
16
|
WR
|
JuJu Smith-Schuster
|
PIT/7
|
16
|
0
|
Exempt - Rule 7
|
17
|
RB
|
Dalvin Cook
|
MIN/12
|
19
|
2
|
Exempt - Rule 7
|
18
|
RB
|
James Conner
|
PIT/7
|
11
|
-7
|
Exempt - Rule 7
|
19
|
WR
|
Mike Evans
|
TB/7
|
21
|
2
|
Exempt - Rule 7
|
20
|
RB
|
Todd Gurley
|
LAR/9
|
15
|
-5
|
Exempt - Rule 7
|
21
|
WR
|
Adam Thielen
|
MIN/12
|
24
|
3
|
|
22
|
RB
|
Damien Williams
|
KC/12
|
30
|
8
|
|
23
|
TE
|
George Kittle
|
SF/4
|
33
|
10
|
Eliminated - Rule 2
|
24
|
WR
|
Keenan Allen
|
LAC/12
|
25
|
1
|
|
25
|
RB
|
Aaron Jones
|
GB/11
|
35
|
10
|
Eliminated - Rule 2
|
26
|
WR
|
Antonio Brown
|
OAK/6
|
22
|
-4
|
Eliminated - Rule 2
|
27
|
TE
|
Zach Ertz
|
PHI/10
|
26
|
-1
|
|
28
|
WR
|
Stefon Diggs
|
MIN/12
|
34
|
6
|
|
29
|
RB
|
Kerryon Johnson
|
DET/5
|
23
|
-6
|
|
30
|
QB
|
Patrick Mahomes II
|
KC/12
|
20
|
-10
|
|
31
|
WR
|
Amari Cooper
|
DAL/8
|
32
|
1
|
Eliminated - Rule 2
|
32
|
RB
|
Leonard Fournette
|
JAX/10
|
28
|
-4
|
Eliminated - Rule 1
|
33
|
WR
|
Julian Edelman
|
NE/10
|
38
|
5
|
Eliminated - Rule 4
|
34
|
RB
|
Devonta Freeman
|
ATL/9
|
31
|
-3
|
|
35
|
RB
|
Marlon Mack
|
IND/6
|
37
|
2
|
|
36
|
WR
|
Kenny Golladay
|
DET/5
|
45
|
9
|
|
37
|
RB
|
Chris Carson
|
SEA/11
|
42
|
5
|
|
38
|
WR
|
Tyler Lockett
|
SEA/11
|
49
|
11
|
|
39
|
RB
|
Josh Jacobs
|
OAK/6
|
36
|
-3
|
Eliminated - Rule 2
|
40
|
WR
|
T.Y. Hilton
|
IND/6
|
29
|
-11
|
|
41
|
WR
|
Brandin Cooks
|
LAR/9
|
39
|
-2
|
|
42
|
RB
|
Derrick Henry
|
TEN/11
|
40
|
-2
|
Eliminated - Rule 1
|
43
|
RB
|
Austin Ekeler
|
LAC/12
|
74
|
31
|
|
44
|
WR
|
Tyler Boyd
|
CIN/9
|
57
|
13
|
|
45
|
RB
|
Phillip Lindsay
|
DEN/10
|
50
|
5
|
Eliminated - Rule 1
|
46
|
WR
|
Robert Woods
|
LAR/9
|
41
|
-5
|
|
47
|
RB
|
Duke Johnson Jr
|
HOU/10
|
108
|
61
|
Exempt - Rule 6
|
48
|
WR
|
Calvin Ridley
|
ATL/9
|
54
|
6
|
|
49
|
WR
|
Chris Godwin
|
TB/7
|
48
|
-1
|
|
50
|
RB
|
Sony Michel
|
NE/10
|
46
|
-4
|
|
51
|
RB
|
Melvin Gordon III
|
LAC/12
|
27
|
-24
|
|
52
|
WR
|
Robby Anderson
|
NYJ/4
|
73
|
21
|
Eliminated - Rule 1
|
53
|
TE
|
Evan Engram
|
NYG/11
|
55
|
2
|
|
54
|
RB
|
Tevin Coleman
|
SF/4
|
65
|
11
|
Eliminated - Rule 2
|
55
|
WR
|
Cooper Kupp
|
LAR/9
|
51
|
-4
|
|
56
|
TE
|
Hunter Henry
|
LAC/12
|
67
|
11
|
|
57
|
RB
|
James White
|
NE/10
|
52
|
-5
|
|
58
|
WR
|
A.J. Green
|
CIN/9
|
58
|
0
|
|
59
|
QB
|
Deshaun Watson
|
HOU/10
|
44
|
-15
|
|
60
|
RB
|
Mark Ingram II
|
BAL/8
|
43
|
-17
|
Eliminated - Rule 1
|
61
|
WR
|
D.J. Moore
|
CAR/7
|
60
|
-1
|
|
62
|
WR
|
Mike Williams
|
LAC/12
|
66
|
4
|
|
63
|
RB
|
Kenyan Drake
|
MIA/5
|
71
|
8
|
Eliminated - Rule 1
|
64
|
TE
|
Vance McDonald
|
PIT/7
|
92
|
28
|
|
65
|
WR
|
Allen Robinson
|
CHI/6
|
72
|
7
|
|
66
|
WR
|
Jarvis Landry
|
CLE/7
|
64
|
-2
|
|
67
|
QB
|
Aaron Rodgers
|
GB/11
|
47
|
-20
|
Eliminated - Rule 2
|
68
|
RB
|
David Montgomery
|
CHI/6
|
53
|
-15
|
|
69
|
TE
|
Jared Cook
|
NO/9
|
70
|
1
|
Eliminated - Rule 4
|
70
|
QB
|
Baker Mayfield
|
CLE/7
|
59
|
-11
|
|
71
|
WR
|
Alshon Jeffery
|
PHI/10
|
63
|
-8
|
|
72
|
RB
|
Tarik Cohen
|
CHI/6
|
61
|
-11
|
|
73
|
WR
|
Corey Davis
|
TEN/11
|
87
|
14
|
Eliminated - Rule 1
|
74
|
RB
|
Peyton Barber
|
TB/7
|
111
|
37
|
|
75
|
WR
|
Dede Westbrook
|
JAX/10
|
96
|
21
|
Eliminated - Rule 1
|
76
|
RB
|
Latavius Murray
|
NO/9
|
93
|
17
|
|
77
|
TE
|
O.J. Howard
|
TB/7
|
56
|
-21
|
|
78
|
WR
|
Marvin Jones Jr
|
DET/5
|
95
|
17
|
|
79
|
RB
|
Royce Freeman
|
DEN/10
|
101
|
22
|
Eliminated - Rule 1
|
80
|
WR
|
Sammy Watkins
|
KC/12
|
83
|
3
|
|
81
|
WR
|
Christian Kirk
|
ARI/12
|
80
|
-1
|
|
82
|
QB
|
Matt Ryan
|
ATL/9
|
62
|
-20
|
Eliminated - Rule 4
|
83
|
TE
|
Austin Hooper
|
ATL/9
|
106
|
23
|
|
84
|
RB
|
Kareem Hunt
|
CLE/7
|
112
|
28
|
|
85
|
WR
|
Sterling Shepard
|
NYG/11
|
91
|
6
|
|
86
|
RB
|
Derrius Guice
|
WAS/10
|
76
|
-10
|
Eliminated - Rule 1
|
87
|
QB
|
Carson Wentz
|
PHI/10
|
79
|
-8
|
|
88
|
WR
|
Courtland Sutton
|
DEN/10
|
100
|
12
|
Eliminated - Rule 1
|
89
|
WR
|
Larry Fitzgerald
|
ARI/12
|
90
|
1
|
Eliminated - Rule 4
|
90
|
QB
|
Lamar Jackson
|
BAL/8
|
120
|
30
|
Eliminated - Rule 1
|
91
|
RB
|
Miles Sanders
|
PHI/10
|
75
|
-16
|
|
92
|
WR
|
Emmanuel Sanders
|
DEN/10
|
105
|
13
|
Eliminated - Rule 1
|
93
|
QB
|
Russell Wilson
|
SEA/11
|
94
|
1
|
|
94
|
RB
|
LeSean McCoy
|
BUF/6
|
102
|
8
|
Eliminated - Rule 1
|
95
|
WR
|
Golden Tate
|
NYG/11
|
139
|
44
|
Exempt - Rule 6
|
96
|
RB
|
Dion Lewis
|
TEN/11
|
128
|
32
|
Eliminated - Rule 1
|
97
|
QB
|
Cam Newton
|
CAR/7
|
81
|
-16
|
|
98
|
WR
|
Will Fuller V
|
HOU/10
|
78
|
-20
|
|
99
|
RB
|
Rashaad Penny
|
SEA/11
|
85
|
-14
|
|
100
|
WR
|
Michael Gallup
|
DAL/8
|
151
|
51
|
Exempt - Rule 6
|
101
|
QB
|
Drew Brees
|
NO/9
|
82
|
-19
|
Eliminated - Rule 4
|
102
|
TE
|
David Njoku
|
CLE/7
|
88
|
-14
|
|
103
|
RB
|
Adrian Peterson
|
WAS/10
|
133
|
30
|
Eliminated - Rule 1
|
104
|
QB
|
Jared Goff
|
LAR/9
|
97
|
-7
|
|
105
|
WR
|
Tyrell Williams
|
OAK/6
|
140
|
35
|
Eliminated - Rule 2
|
106
|
RB
|
Chris Thompson
|
WAS/10
|
169
|
63
|
Exempt - Rule 6
|
107
|
QB
|
Kyler Murray
|
ARI/12
|
98
|
-9
|
|
108
|
TE
|
Kyle Rudolph
|
MIN/12
|
141
|
33
|
|
109
|
WR
|
Josh Gordon
|
NE/10
|
135
|
26
|
|
110
|
RB
|
Matt Breida
|
SF/4
|
122
|
12
|
Eliminated - Rule 2
|
111
|
QB
|
Ben Roethlisberger
|
PIT/7
|
104
|
-7
|
|
112
|
RB
|
Jalen Richard
|
OAK/6
|
193
|
81
|
Exempt - Rule 6
|
113
|
TD
|
Chicago Bears
|
CHI/6
|
86
|
-27
|
|
114
|
WR
|
Keke Coutee
|
HOU/10
|
129
|
15
|
|
115
|
QB
|
Jameis Winston
|
TB/7
|
107
|
-8
|
|
116
|
WR
|
Marquez Valdes-Scantling
|
GB/11
|
109
|
-7
|
Eliminated - Rule 2
|
117
|
RB
|
Giovani Bernard
|
CIN/9
|
191
|
74
|
Exempt - Rule 6
|
118
|
WR
|
Curtis Samuel
|
CAR/7
|
99
|
-19
|
|
119
|
QB
|
Josh Allen
|
BUF/6
|
164
|
45
|
Exempt - Rule 6
|
120
|
RB
|
Darrell Henderson
|
LAR/9
|
103
|
-17
|
|
121
|
RB
|
Nyheim Hines
|
IND/6
|
143
|
22
|
|
122
|
WR
|
Donte Moncrief
|
PIT/7
|
123
|
1
|
|
123
|
WR
|
Dante Pettis
|
SF/4
|
89
|
-34
|
Eliminated - Rule 2
|
124
|
QB
|
Kirk Cousins
|
MIN/12
|
137
|
13
|
|
125
|
RB
|
Justin Jackson
|
LAC/12
|
161
|
36
|
|
126
|
TE
|
Delanie Walker
|
TEN/11
|
117
|
-9
|
Eliminated - Rule 1
|
127
|
RB
|
Ito Smith
|
ATL/9
|
167
|
40
|
Exempt - Rule 6
|
128
|
QB
|
Dak Prescott
|
DAL/8
|
118
|
-10
|
Eliminated - Rule 2
|
129
|
TE
|
Trey Burton
|
CHI/6
|
146
|
17
|
|
130
|
WR
|
DK Metcalf
|
SEA/11
|
130
|
0
|
|
131
|
TE
|
Jordan Reed
|
WAS/10
|
136
|
5
|
Eliminated - Rule 1
|
132
|
WR
|
Mohamed Sanu
|
ATL/9
|
179
|
47
|
Exempt - Rule 6
|
133
|
QB
|
Mitchell Trubisky
|
CHI/6
|
147
|
14
|
|
134
|
RB
|
C.J. Anderson
|
DET/5
|
190
|
56
|
Exempt - Rule 6
|
135
|
WR
|
DeSean Jackson
|
PHI/10
|
121
|
-14
|
Eliminated - Rule 4
|
136
|
RB
|
Jordan Howard
|
PHI/10
|
84
|
-52
|
Eliminated - Rule 3
|
137
|
QB
|
Tom Brady
|
NE/10
|
110
|
-27
|
Eliminated - Rule 4
|
138
|
WR
|
Jamison Crowder
|
NYJ/4
|
160
|
22
|
Eliminated - Rule 1
|
139
|
TD
|
Los Angeles Rams
|
LAR/9
|
119
|
-20
|
|
140
|
TE
|
Jimmy Graham
|
GB/11
|
155
|
15
|
Eliminated - Rule 2
|
141
|
RB
|
Kalen Ballage
|
MIA/5
|
116
|
-25
|
Eliminated - Rule 1
|
142
|
WR
|
Anthony Miller
|
CHI/6
|
144
|
2
|
|
143
|
QB
|
Jimmy Garoppolo
|
SF/4
|
153
|
10
|
Eliminated - Rule 2
|
144
|
TE
|
Mark Andrews
|
BAL/8
|
154
|
10
|
Eliminated - Rule 1
|
145
|
RB
|
Jaylen Samuels
|
PIT/7
|
126
|
-19
|
|
146
|
TD
|
Jacksonville Jaguars
|
JAX/10
|
124
|
-22
|
Eliminated - Rule 1
|
147
|
WR
|
Kenny Stills
|
MIA/5
|
189
|
42
|
Exempt - Rule 6
|
148
|
RB
|
Tony Pollard
|
DAL/8
|
166
|
18
|
Eliminated - Rule 2
|
149
|
QB
|
Philip Rivers
|
LAC/12
|
127
|
-22
|
Eliminated - Rule 4
|
150
|
TE
|
Eric Ebron
|
IND/6
|
77
|
-73
|
Eliminated - Rule 3
|
151
|
WR
|
John Brown
|
BUF/6
|
158
|
7
|
Eliminated - Rule 1
|
152
|
WR
|
Zay Jones
|
BUF/6
|
221
|
69
|
Exempt - Rule 6
|
153
|
TE
|
Dallas Goedert
|
PHI/10
|
186
|
33
|
|
154
|
QB
|
Derek Carr
|
OAK/6
|
171
|
17
|
Eliminated - Rule 2
|
155
|
RB
|
Devin Singletary
|
BUF/6
|
145
|
-10
|
Eliminated - Rule 1
|
156
|
WR
|
Quincy Enunwa
|
NYJ/4
|
265
|
109
|
Exempt - Rule 6
|
157
|
PK
|
Greg Zuerlein
|
LAR/9
|
113
|
-44
|
Eliminated - Rule 3
|
158
|
RB
|
Mike Davis
|
CHI/6
|
200
|
42
|
Exempt - Rule 6
|
159
|
TD
|
Los Angeles Chargers
|
LAC/12
|
142
|
-17
|
|
160
|
TE
|
Jack Doyle
|
IND/6
|
184
|
24
|
|
161
|
WR
|
Geronimo Allison
|
GB/11
|
114
|
-47
|
Eliminated - Rule 2
|
162
|
TD
|
Minnesota Vikings
|
MIN/12
|
132
|
-30
|
|
163
|
QB
|
Matthew Stafford
|
DET/5
|
181
|
18
|
|
164
|
WR
|
James Washington
|
PIT/7
|
125
|
-39
|
|
165
|
RB
|
Justice Hill
|
BAL/8
|
175
|
10
|
Eliminated - Rule 1
|
166
|
QB
|
Jacoby Brissett
|
IND/6
|
265
|
99
|
Exempt - Rule 6
|
167
|
TE
|
Greg Olsen
|
CAR/7
|
148
|
-19
|
Eliminated - Rule 4
|
168
|
WR
|
Tre'Quan Smith
|
NO/9
|
199
|
31
|
|
169
|
RB
|
Alexander Mattison
|
MIN/12
|
170
|
1
|
|
170
|
WR
|
Paul Richardson Jr
|
WAS/10
|
265
|
95
|
Exempt - Rule 6
|
171
|
PK
|
Harrison Butker
|
KC/12
|
138
|
-33
|
|
172
|
TD
|
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