Which matchups are your favorite for team offenses to 'get well' from either a poor recent stretch or Week 12? Is there a stack or go-to player for your lineups?
- Packers stifled against 49ers but against Giants in Week 13
- Eagles struggling on offense but at Miami in Week 13
- Jaguars against Tampa Bay after blowout loss to Tennessee
- Raiders draw potential shootout and suspect defense in Kansas City
James Brimacombe
Packers stifled against 49ers but against Giants in Week 13 – I think if you are chasing low ownership plays for tournaments you have to look in the direction of the Packers. Rodgers, Jones, and Adams all could be in a good spot to rebound with big numbers against the Giants. Jones might be the lowest owned of the three as he has been on more of a split with Williams lately so I like taking some shots on him in tournaments if I had to pick one. I also don’t mind going with all three of the Packers stars in a super stack type of team and running it back with Barkley on the other side of this game.
Phil Alexander
- Packers at Giants - Green Bay sleepwalked through their primetime trip to the West Coast last week, but the Giants -- even on the road -- are the perfect get-right opponent. Aaron Rodgers-Davante Adams is an intriguing stack, but I plan on taking it a step further in GPPs. If Rodgers and Adams help the Packers get out to an early lead, Aaron Jones could dominate second-half touches. Rodgers-Jones-Adams run back with Saquon Barkley (Green Bay struggles to defend the run) has tremendous upside and won't appear together in many of your opponents' lineups.
- Jaguars vs. Tampa Bay - Matt Ryan disappointed last week against the Buccaneers, but prior to Week 12, Tampa Bay had allowed at least three passing touchdowns in each of their previous four games. Nick Foles is in a great spot as a short home favorite and Vegas likes this game to approach 50 total points. The crowd will be all over D.J. Chark in GPPs, making Chris Conley an excellent pivot. Conley is only $4,500 (DraftKings) and has at least seven targets (nine last week) in each of Foles' three starts this year.
Dan Hindery
I am buying into the Eagles bouncing back this week against Miami. The Dolphins have allowed 78 points over the last two weeks and on the season are allowing 8.0 yards per passing attempt and 4.7 yards per carry. The Dolphins are dead last in the NFL in defensive DVOA (by a good margin). This is especially notable because of how difficult the schedule has been for the Eagles of late. Philadelphia hasn’t faced a defense that ranks lower than 19th in DVOA since September. It has been especially tough sledding of late. Philadelphia has the #1, #6, #9, and #16 DVOA defenses over their last four. Carson Wentz has gone five straight games without throwing for more than one touchdown. All but two quarterbacks Miami has faced this season have thrown for multiple touchdowns. I agree with James that if Alshon Jeffery is cleared and we have some positive reports on his health, he is a great play this weekend, especially on DraftKings.
Playing quarterbacks and wide receivers against the Tampa Bay defense has regularly been a profitable move this season. It isn’t surprising that we currently project D.J. Chark as the highest-owned wide receiver on FanDuel and third-highest on DraftKings. However, the Buccaneers' defense has shown signs of improvement since cutting Vernon Hargreaves. Tampa Bay held Drew Brees to 228 passing yards in Week 11 and Matt Ryan to 271 passing yards last week. The Buccaneers defense certainly isn’t one we need to avoid but sometimes these narratives about “funnel defenses” and start to think of certain matchups as slam dunk plays. It ends up leading to higher than justified ownership. We can find a similar upside with players who don’t have the same narratives pushing their ownership up.
