Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week. Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week. Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves. Let's take a look.
Updated on Saturday 1/6 @ 9 AM (EST)
| Team | Opponent | Away | Game Total | Team Total | Running | Pass | Team Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans | Carolina | -6.5 | 47.5 | 27 | +++ | ++ | |
| LA Rams | Atlanta | -5.5 | 48 | 26.75 | ++ | ++ | |
| Kansas City | Tennessee | -8.5 | 44.5 | 26.5 | +++ | ++ | + |
| Jacksonville | Buffalo | -8.5 | 39.5 | 24 | + | + | ++ |
| Atlanta | LA Rams | 5.5 | 48 | 21.25 | |||
| Carolina | New Orleans | 6.5 | 47.5 | 20.5 | |||
| Tennessee | Kansas City | 8.5 | 44.5 | 18 | |||
| Buffalo | Jacksonville | 8.5 | 39.5 | 15.5 |
SUMMARY
3-STARS
- Quarterback: None
- Running Back: Mark Ingram/Alvin Kamara (Saints), Kareem Hunt (Chiefs)
- Receivers: None
- Defense: None
2-STARS
- Quarterback: Drew Brees (Saints), Jared Goff (Rams), Alex Smith (Chiefs)
- Running Back: Todd Gurley (Rams)
- Receivers: Michael Thomas/Ted Ginn Jr/Josh Hill (Saints), Robert Woods/Sammy Watkins/Cooper Kupp (Rams), Tyreek Hill/Albert Wilson/Travis Kelce (Chiefs)
- Defense: Jaguars
1-STAR
- Quarterback: Alex Smith (Chiefs), Blake Bortles (Jaguars)
- Running Back: Leonard Fournette (Jaguars)
- Receivers: Marqise Lee/Allen Hurns/Dede Westbrook/Keelan Cole (Jaguars)
- Defense: Chiefs
