Player Points - Jeremy Shockey
By Chase Stuart
June 11th, 2010

During his first four seasons with the Giants, Jeremy Shockey was a dominant fantasy tight end, averaging 9.7 FP/G over that stretch. But since then, he's been a disappointment to fantasy owners. In 2005, his fourth year in the league, he ranked as the #3 tight end behind Antonio Gates and Todd Heap. Shockey leapfrogged Heap when 2006 fantasy drafts were conducted, coming in with an average draft position of TE2 behind Gates. Shockey ended the 2006 season as TE7, however, making him a wasted pick for most fantasy owners.

In '07, Shockey still carried an elite price tag: he had an ADP of TE4. Unfortunately for those that drafted him, he finished the year as TE11.

Shockey moved from New York to New Orleans in the off-season, and many liked the idea of him catching passes from the laser-accurate Drew Brees as opposed to the sometimes-accurate Eli Manning. Shockey was largely a nonfactor, though, for the Saints. He didn't score a single touchdown and recorded only 483 receiving yards, making him just the 24th ranked fantasy tight end.

Not deterred by three straight seasons of underachievement, fantasy owners were relatively high on Shockey entering the '09 season. He came in with an ADP of TE12, equivalent to the last starting tight end in fantasy leagues. But Shockey's production was surpassed by 17 other tight ends last season, again making him an overvalued play in fantasy leagues.

So what's the deal with Shockey? Is he destined to be overvalued every year? Or is his constantly declining ADP from TE2 to TE4 to TE7 to TE12 to, as of mid-June, TE17, a sign that maybe now he's being undervalued? With Marques Colston, Robert Meachem, Devery Henderson, Reggie Bush, Pierre Thomas and Lance Moore still in New Orleans, there aren't many reasons to expect Shockey to suddenly rediscover his prior form. He ranked as the 17th best tight end in FP/G last year playing with those players. Further, the Saints drafted Jimmy Graham, an athletic, receiving tight end from the University of Miami in round 3 of the 2010 draft.

I'm not high (or low) on Shockey this year, although he does have upside if several of the injury-prone targets on the Saints offense miss time this year. I just found it interesting that he's underperformed his ADP each of the last four years. Only five other players have done that, and none of them, in my view, have consistently underperformed as significantly as Shockey has:

Player
06 ADP
06 RK
07 ADP
07 RK
08 ADP
08 RK
09 ADP
09 RK
Jake Delhomme
7
20
18
40
16
19
22
30
Torry Holt
3
4
6
12
11
35
35
60
Larry Johnson
1
3
3
39
10
37
23
54
Julius Jones
17
27
30
44
30
49
37
39
Randy McMichael
8
11
11
17
21
52
24
30
Jeremy Shockey
2
7
4
11
7
24
12
18

Questions, suggestions and comments are always welcome to stuart@footballguys.com.