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Footballguys #76 - 7/4 - Fantasy Football News And Notes And MORE

Volume 21, #76 -- Thursday Night, July 4th, 2019

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Howdy Folks,

Welcome to Friday. I trust you had a nice 4th of July and now we're wrapping the week. Not a bad way to go.

We've got three new articles for you plus the News and Notes you need.

Let's go.

J

SITE NEWS

A. Beginner's Guide to Fantasy Football, Part 1: Origins
Our Alessandro Miglio starts our beginner's series with a look at the origins of fantasy football.

B. Eyes of the Guru IDP Info, Part 3: AFC North
Our John Norton with an overview of defenses in the AFC North with an emphasis on individual defensive players and their fantasy value.

C. Alternative Handcuff Strategy, Tight Ends
Our Jeff Pasquino dives into handcuff strategies for Non-Running Back Positions.


1. GB - WR Davante Adams hard to contain in the slot position

Source: Pro Football Focus

Green Bay Packers WR Davante Adams has averaged 2.32 yards per route run while lining up in the slot position since 2017 - the third-best such mark for any receiver with at least 235 routes run out of the slot over the last two seasons, according to Pro Football Focus.

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We're excited to see what new Packers head coach Matt LaFluer can do with all the weapons on offense. The biggest weapon in the passing game is Adams and he's a WR1 for Fantasy GMs once again this year. In fact, Adams is a top-10 pick in any format with a current ADP of WR2 (1.08) in 12-team PPR leagues.

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2. MIA - Kendrick Norton injured in accident

Source: MiamiDolphins.com

Miami Dolphins DT Kendrick Norton (undisclosed) was involved in a serious car accident Thursday, July 4, the team disclosed. Norton suffered a grave injury to his arm, which required amputation.

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Reports indicate Norton's injuries are not life threatening. The Dolphins said in a statement, "Our thoughts and prayers are with Kendrick and his family during this time."

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3. NO - WR Michael Thomas unstoppable in the slot position

Source: Pro Football Focus

New Orleans Saints WR Michael Thomas has averaged 3.63 yards per route run while lining up in the slot position since 2017 - the best such mark for any receiver with at least 235 routes run out of the slot over the last two seasons.

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Drew Brees has a favorite target in Thomas and that's going to continue in 2019. Thomas might be on the board near the turn between the first and second round in most fantasy drafts. His current ADP is WR3 (1.10) in 12-team PPR leagues.

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4. KC - WR Tyreek Hill led with big plays in 2018

Source: Pro Football Focus

Kansas City Chiefs WR Tyreek Hill led all receivers with an 11.47 yards per target average in 2018, according to Pro Football Focus. Tampa Bay Buccaneers WR Mike Evans ranked second at 11.29, while Indianapolis Colts WR T.Y. Hilton and Los Angeles Rams WR Brandin Cooks tied for third at 10.95. Atlanta Falcons WR Julio Jones rounded out the top five at 10.10.

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At the end of June, Hill had a meeting with NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell and now we wait for any sort of suspension to be handed down. An anonymous Chiefs official believes any Tyreek Hill suspension would be a "maximum" of four games. Most expect the league to make a decision on Hill before the start of training camp.

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5. TEN - RB Derrick Henry tough to bring down

Source: Pro Football Focus

Tennessee Titans RB Derrick Henry forced 45 missed tackles as a runner in 2018 - tied with Seattle Seahawks RB Chris Carson and Washington Redskins RB Adrian Peterson for the most in the NFL, according to Pro Football Focus.

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Henry can make defenders miss with moves, but with his size there are defenders who don't want anything to do with tackling him. When Henry builds a head of steam, he is tough to bring down. The Titans finally figured out how to use Henry about halfway through the 2018 season. Hopefully that plan for Henry continues from the jump in 2019.

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6. NO - QB Drew Brees toyed with man coverage in 2018

Source: Pro Football Focus

New Orleans Saints QB Drew Brees compiled a passer rating of 108.0 against man coverage in 2018 - the third-best mark in the league, according to Pro Football Focus.

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The Saints use 'sail' concepts early and often when passing the ball. This simple route combination on the outside can confuse defenders whether they're in zone or man. Brees is now 40-years old but has shown few signs of slowing down. He's still a low-end QB1 for Fantasy GMs in 2019. Brees has a current ADP of QB7 (7.05) in 12-team PPR leagues.

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7. MIA - Man coverage no match for QB Ryan Fitzpatrick

Source: Pro Football Focus

Miami Dolphins QB Ryan Fitzpatrick - then with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers - recorded a passer rating of 108.3 against man coverage in 2018 - the second-best mark in the league, according to Pro Football Focus.

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Fitzpatrick has had positive flashes in nearly every stop of his pro career. Then, his game will go in the tank. He's the best quarterback option for the Dolphins right now and should open the season as the starter. If (when?) he struggles, the Dolphins could give the reins over to second-year pro (and former first-round pick) Josh Rosen.

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8. KC - QB Patrick Mahomes lit up man coverage in 2018

Source: Pro Football Focus

Kansas City Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes compiled a passer rating of 120.7 against man coverage in 2018 - easily the best mark in the league, according to Pro Football Focus.

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Mahomes can fit any throw in any sized window. He has a rocket arm and can throw from any arm angle. Mahomes may not match the eye-popping numbers he had last season (50 TDs, 5,000 yards), but he's still a top-tier QB1 for Fantasy GMs in 2019.

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9. JAX - WR Terrelle Pryor on the bubble

Source: ESPN.com - Michael DiRocco

Jacksonville Jaguars WR Terrelle Pryor could have trouble making the team if WR Marqise Lee (knee) returns healthy during camp, in the opinion of ESPN's Michael DiRocco, who says the top five spots are 'pretty much settled.' That means the team would need to carry six wideouts or Pryor would need to beat out someone like WR Chris Conley, who DiRocco noted has been the 'best receiver in OTAs,' to make the club.

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Pryor might be on his last legs in the pros. His 1,000-yard receiving season is far in the past even though it was just three seasons ago (2016). Pryor is now on his fourth team since that season. The Jaguars are deep at receiver and there would likely need to be an injury above him on the depth chart for Pryor to make the team.

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10. DEN - DE DeMarcus Walker could be cut

Source: The Denver Post - Ryan O'Halloran

Denver Broncos DE DeMarcus Walker barely made the team last season and could be released during training camp, according to the Denver Post's Ryan O'Halloran.

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The Broncos selected Walker in the second round of the 2017 NFL draft and he has yet to make much of an impact. They made a mistake and stood him up to play OLB as a rookie. He lost weight and looked lost on the field. Last year, the Broncos made him gain the weight back to play defensive end and he still didn't do much. Walker is in a make-or-break year...if he makes the 53-man roster. In college at Florida State, Walker was known as a sack master but that pass-rushing ability has yet to translate in the pros.

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11. CLE - TE David Njoku working out with teammates

Source: NFL.com - Kevin Patra

Cleveland Browns TE David Njoku has been working out with QB Baker Mayfield and other teammates leading up to training camp.

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Njoku has a ton of natural talent and is going to be a key part of the Browns passing attack in 2019. He's scored four touchdowns in each of the last two seasons and would need more looks in the red zone to outperform his low-end TE1 projections. Njoku has a current ADP of TE10 (8.04) in 12-team PPR leagues.

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That'll do it for today, Folks. Thanks for reading and thanks for being part of the Footballguys Family.

We'll see you tomorrow with the Update.

Peace,

J