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Footballguys #56 - 6/14 - Top 10 Offenses, Risers and Fallers, Early Bird Almost Gone And MORE

Volume 21, #56 -- Friday Night, June 14th, 2019

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Howdy Folks,

Good Saturday to you. I know I sound like a broken record but I just don't want you guys to miss out on the discounts we're offering - the Early Bird ends tomorrow night! Don't miss it.

Plus we've got great new Content for you plus the News and Notes you need.

Let's Go.

J

SITE NEWS

A. Seriously Almost Gone - Footballguys Early Bird Discount Ends June 16
You've got until Father's Day June 16 to get the killer Early Bird Discount for our Footballguys Premium Subscriptions. Get the Season Long Pro for all the tools to Prep and Draft and Manage your team to the Super Bowl. Or the Daily Fantasy Pro for everything you need to win the DFS games from companies like DraftKings and FanDuel and FantasyDraft. Or the All-Pro that combines both. It makes a fantastic Father's Day gift for yourself! Jump on it now. You'll already be winning. And of course, we have a 30 Day Money Back Guarantee so there is ZERO risk.

B. The 10 Most Important Offenses to Watch This Summer
Which offenses deserve the most attention from us when preparing for fantasy drafts? Our Sigmund Bloom runs down his top ten.

C. The Gut Check No.471: 20 Spring Risers And Fallers
Our Matt Waldman shares his thoughts on the biggest risers on fallers of the spring according to their movement in average draft position (ADP).


1. IND - RB Marlon Mack viewed as workhorse

Source: Indianapolis Star - Joel A. Erickson

Indianapolis Colts RB Marlon Mack is being viewed by head coach Frank Reich as the team's workhorse in the backfield, according to Joel A. Erickson of the Indianapolis Star.

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Mack finished 2018 with his best football and is clearly in line to carry the load, but he didn't stay healthy last year and will share with a receiving back and have a formidable back behind him as a #3, so he's falling to the 3rd/4th round.

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2. BUF - RB LeSean McCoy expects sizable role

Source: The Buffalo News - Vic Carucci

Buffalo Bills RB LeSean McCoy expects to maintain a large role in the offense in his age-31 season in 2019. 'I'm a type of guy, I thrive off of having a big name. So when guys come to my team, they're curious to see, 'How is LeSean McCoy? Is he still a good player?' I mean, I'm a dominant player. I think that speaks for itself. But I'll be in the same role as last year. And I look forward to putting some numbers up and bouncing back from that last season,' McCoy said Tuesday, June 12.

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There has been speculation that he could be released because of his 6.5 million dollar price tag, but the Bills have shown that they value McCoy greatly in recent years despite some incentive to trade him. He is about as cheap as any back in line to lead his team in carries, so the risk of release or a diminishing role is tolerable. His ceiling is limited by an under construction offensive line and potential to lose short touchdowns to Josh Allen.

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3. MIA - WR DeVante Parker standing out this spring

Source: ESPN.com - Cameron Wolfe

Miami Dolphins WR DeVante Parker regularly looked like the team's best offensive player this spring, according to ESPN's Cameron Wolfe.

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This has been an annual tradition now, so we'll excuse you if you aren't getting on the bandwagon. Parker is cheaper than previous years and Ryan Fitzpatrick isn't bad at creating fantasy value in his receivers, so we won't scoff at taking Parker at ADP to see what happens under a new regime that surprisingly chose to retain him.

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4. DAL - WR Randall Cobb likely to be big part of offense

Source: Fort Worth Star-Telegram - Clarence E. Hill Jr.

Dallas Cowboys WR Randall Cobb has reportedly formed 'a fast connection' with QB Dak Prescott, and there is 'no question' Cobb will be a 'huge addition to the offense' in 2019.

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Cobb should push Allen Hurns to the bench. If he can stay at full speed, Cobb has a shot at fantasy relevance and should be on our early season waiver wire watch list, but Cobb has rarely stayed at full speed for long since signing his second contract with Green Bay.

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5. DAL - QB Dak Prescott's agent proposes $34M annual deal

Source: Fort Worth Star-Telegram - Clarence E. Hill Jr.

Dallas Cowboys QB Dak Prescott and his agent Todd France/CAA have extended a contract proposal to the team that would have Prescott earning close to $34 million annually, according to a source with knowledge of the negotiations.

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The Cowboys just need to face reality and pay Prescott his market value to end any possibility of drama or hurt feelings from this situation.

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6. CLE - WR Jarvis Landry: Offense has lot to learn

Source: ProFootballTalk.com - Josh Alper

Cleveland Browns WR Jarvis Landry says the team's new offense will take some time to gel under new offensive coordinator Todd Monken, who has received some help recently from head coach Freddie Kitchens. 'Freddie has done a great job of monitoring, stepping in when he needs to step in,' Landry said Friday, June 14. 'Todd continues to teach us the way -- every guy is different as far as learning so continues to try to teach us. We kinda go from there. It's a new offense. There's a lot to learn. There's a lot of moving parts. It takes some time, not everything goes smoothly.'

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Monken and Kitchens will aim high and that's a good thing for an offense with so much talent and ability with a bold young quarterback at the helm. This is still a place that could be a fantasy bonanza in short order despite the lukewarm vibes going into the layoff before camp.

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7. WAS - Dwayne Haskins has a shot to start

Source: ESPN.com - John Keim

Washington Redskins QB Dwayne Haskins deserves a shot to start, according to head coach Jay Gruden.

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Unless it looks like Haskins will be overwhelmed, Washington should start him. He can learn on the job and grow while still giving the team about as much chance to win as Colt McCoy or Case Keenum. The best thing the team can do for him is make Trent Williams happy and get him back on the field.

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8. JAX - RB Leonard Fournette to excel with Nick Foles?

Source: ESPN.com - Michael DiRocco

Jacksonville Jaguars RB Leonard Fournette will be a big part of the passing game with QB Nick Foles in 2019, according to ESPN's Michael DiRocco.

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Nick Foles will improve the passing game, which should trickle down to improve Fournette's value in PPR leagues. The Jaguars seemed to be losing patience with him, but if Fournette can stay on the field, he'll likely provide second-round value at a third-round price.

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9. GB - RB Kapri Bibbs done in Green Bay

Source: ESPN.com - Field Yates

Green Bay Packers RB Kapri Bibbs was released Friday, June 14.

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After Dexter Williams was drafted in the sixth round, Bibbs days were numbered. He's still a useful NFL back and should be on some teams' call list if injuries force them to add a back off of the street this offseason, including Green Bay's.

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10. DAL - TE Rico Gathers handed one-game ban

Source: ESPNDallas.com - Todd Archer

Dallas Cowboys TE Rico Gathers was suspended one game for violating the league's substance abuse policy Friday, June 14.

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Gathers had basketball background tight end fantasy upside when he came into the league, but the Cowboys remolded him into a tackle-sized player and his movement skills suffered for it. This is third Cowboys player suspended this offseason after Randy Gregory and David Irving were placed on indefinite suspensions.

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11. DET - TE Michael Roberts waived after rescinded trade

Source: ESPN - Adam Schefter

Detroit Lions TE Michael Roberts was returned to the team after the Lions' reported trade with the New England Patriots fell through Friday, June 14. Roberts was subsequently waived.

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His tenure was even shorter than Austin Seferian-Jenkins stint with the Patriots this offseason. He'll still probably catch on a 90-man roster somewhere with the league's desire to use more two tight end sets on offense.

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12. NYJ - TE Chris Herndon facing two-game ban?

Source: ESPNNewYork.com - Rich Cimini

New York Jets TE Chris Herndon is reportedly 'facing the likelihood' of a two-game suspension for pleading guilty in January to driving while intoxicated, according to ESPN's Rich Cimini.

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This makes Herndon tough to draft in short bench leagues because he'll clog up a valuable roster spot for the first two waiver wire runs. He's still draftable in deep bench and tight end premium leagues, although his absence could open a crack in the door for fourth round pick Trevon Wesco.

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13. NYG - Dexter Lawrence officially in the fold

Source: The Record - Art Stapleton

New York Giants first-round DT Dexter Lawrence (Clemson) signed his four-year rookie contract with the team Friday, June 14. The deal also includes a fifth-year team option. Financial terms of the deal were not immediately disclosed.

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Lawrence will be a force on early downs right away, although the team traded away a similar player in Damon Harrison for a fifth-round pick last year.

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14. BUF - Dawson Knox signs rookie deal

Source: BuffaloBills.com

Buffalo Bills TE Dawson Knox signed his four-year rookie contract Friday, June 14. Monetary terms of the deal weren't immediately available.

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Knox is a top-end athlete and didn't get many targets behind three wide receivers who all made the leap to the NFL this year. He could have a lot of early opportunity and should be stashed in tight end premium dynasty leagues.

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15. MIN - Chad Beebe ascending

Source: ESPN.com - Courtney Cronin

Minnesota Vikings WR Chad Beebe is a possible front runner for the No. 3 wide receiver spot.

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More than a bump for Beebe's budding deep dynasty value, this should cue you in that the run-happy Vikings will use a lot of two tight end sets this year. Kyle Rudolph extension sealed that, but the team also drafted a tight end (Irv Smith Jr.) in the second round and have useful bench tight ends in block-first David Morgan and catch-first Tyler Conklin.

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16. KC - Byron Pringle impressing

Source: ESPN.com - Adam Teicher

Kansas City Chiefs WR Byron Pringle has made plays this offseason and performed well in the preseason last year before suffering an injury.

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The Chiefs will have opportunity to make the team as a fifth receiver even if Tyreek Hill is there Week 1, and Hill's murky future could encourage them to keep a sixth. Sammy Watkins injury history could also be a path to playing time behind Demarcus Robinson and second round pick Mecole Hardman. We'll pay attention to any Chiefs receiver that has a chance to make the team.

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17. NYJ - TE Daniel Brown impressing

Source: ESPNNewYork.com - Rich Cimini

New York Jets TE Daniel Brown, normally a blocking tight end, has impressed with his ability as a receiver. Brown has displayed more downfield speed than expected.

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The Jets could employ a lot of two-tight end sets this year. Fourth-round pick Trevon Wesco can be employed in numerous ways, and Chris Herndon had a promising rookie year. Brown could make the team if Herndon is suspended for the first two games after pleading guilty to DWI this offseason.

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18. JAX - WR Chris Conley thriving

Source: ESPN.com - Michael DiRocco

Jacksonville Jaguars WR Chris Conley has been the best receiver in the team's organized team activities and minicamp. He has grown a rapport with QB Nick Foles, and Conley could emerge as the team's top receiver.

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Foles recruited Conley so this isn't a shock. It isn't like the Jaguars have an entrenched #1 receiver. He's probably not worth a pick yet, but if this continues through camp and the preseason, Conley will land on our late round radar.

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19. BUF - WR Andre Roberts may have role in offense

Source: The Buffalo News - Jay Skurski

Buffalo Bills WR Andre Roberts may see work in the passing game as the No. 5 receiver in addition to playing on special teams, according to Jay Skurski of The Buffalo News.

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Roberts was one of the most impactful return men in the league last year, so the Jets will miss him. He won't have fantasy relevance, but could add even more vertical speed to the Bills passing game in three and four wide sets.

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20. NO - WR Cameron Meredith thinking big picture

Source: ESPN.com - Mike Triplett

New Orleans Saints WR Cameron Meredith (knee) said sitting out OTAs and minicamp is 'mostly a matter of being smart' in order to ensure a healthy training camp.

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Meredith's tenure with the Saints is hanging by a string after he took a paycut. Rishard Matthews was signed to give Meredith even more competition for a roster spot at a position that doesn't have any to spare.

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21. GB - WR Geronimo Allison to man the slot?

Source: ESPN.com - Rob Demovsky

Green Bay Packers WR Geronimo Allison is 'likely slated as the slot man' in three-receiver sets, according to Rob Demovsky of ESPN.com.

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Allison was reasonably productive before getting hurt last year, but the role change isn't necessarily a positive as Davante Adams will get a solid share of his snaps in the slot and Allison will have to hold off Jake Kumerow and Equanimeous St. Brown for outside snaps when Adams moves inside. He's probably overdrafted right now.

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22. GB - WR Marquez Valdes-Scantling the No. 2 option?

Source: ESPN.com - Rob Demovsky

Green Bay Packers WR Marquez Valdes-Scantling has been lining up across from WR Davante Adams in all packages during minicamp.

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Aaron Rodgers can support the fantasy value of a second wide receiver behind Davante Adams, but it's unclear who it will be. Valdes-Scantling and possible starter Geronimo Allison both got there for a stretch last year, and Jake Kumerow could also have something to say about the outcome here.

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23. PHI - Miles Sanders likely for camp

Source: Delaware News Journal - Martin Frank

Philadelphia Eagles RB Miles Sanders (hamstring) is expected to be ready for the start of training camp, head coach Doug Pederson said Thursday, June 13.

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This missed time could still impact Sanders role at the beginning of the season. The team indicated that they will evaluate how much Sanders can handle initially in camp. If he can't stay on the field then, Jordan Howard may have value above his discount ADP long into the season.

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24. NYJ - WR Robby Anderson still sidelined

Source: ESPNNewYork.com - Rich Cimini

New York Jets WR Robby Anderson (undisclosed) did not practice Thursday, June 13, because of an undisclosed injury.

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We'll be watching this as Anderson looked like a #1 in the making with Sam Darnold last year, but has to start over with a new coaching staff in a contract year. He could vastly outproduce his modest ADP.

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That'll do it for today, Folks. Thanks for reading and thanks for being part of the Footballguys Team. We'll see you tomorrow with the Update.

Peace,

J