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Footballguys #98 - 7/28 - Why You Need To Understand The Quality Starts Metric, News And Notes And More

Volume 20, #98 -- Saturday Night, July 28th, 2018

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Howdy Folks,

Welcome to Sunday. We've got a boat load of stat driven quality start articles for you plus the News and Notes you need.

Let's go.

Joe

SITE NEWS

A. FREE Feature - Quality Starts: Quarterbacks
Our Jeff Pasquino takes the "Quality Starts" idea used to measure baseball starting pitchers and spins it up to Football. In this one, he dives into quarterbacks. It's free for everyone.

B. Quality Starts: Running Backs (PPR)
Our Jeff Pasquino takes the "Quality Starts" idea used to measure baseball starting pitchers and spins it up to Football. In this one, he dives into running backs in PPR scoring systems.

C. Quality Starts: Running Backs
Our Jeff Pasquino takes the "Quality Starts" idea used to measure baseball starting pitchers and spins it up to Football. In this one, he dives into running backs in Non-PPR scoring systems.

D. Quality Starts: Wide Receivers (PPR)
Our Jeff Pasquino takes the "Quality Starts" idea used to measure baseball starting pitchers and spins it up to Football. In this one, he dives into wide receivers in PPR scoring systems.

E. Quality Starts: Wide Receivers
Our Jeff Pasquino takes the "Quality Starts" idea used to measure baseball starting pitchers and spins it up to Football. In this one, he dives into wide receivers in Non-PPR scoring systems.

F. Quality Starts: Tight Ends (PPR)
Our Jeff Pasquino takes the "Quality Starts" idea used to measure baseball starting pitchers and spins it up to Football. In this one, he dives into tight ends in PPR scoring systems.

G. Quality Starts: Tight Ends
Our Jeff Pasquino takes the "Quality Starts" idea used to measure baseball starting pitchers and spins it up to Football. In this one, he dives into tight ends in Non-PPR scoring systems.


1. NYJ - RB Elijah McGuire not out for the year

Source: ESPN - Adam Schefter

Updating a previous report, New York Jets RB Elijah McGuire (foot) does have a broken foot but the injury is not expected to end his season, according to a source.

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It's good news for McGuire if true. He suffered a foot injury that requires surgery and is clearly a candidate to begin the regular season on the Injured Reserve/Return list.

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2. NYJ - RB Elijah McGuire to have surgery

Source: NFL Network - Ian Rapoport

New York Jets RB Elijah McGuire (foot) suffered a fracture in his foot earlier this week and will need to undergo surgery, according to a source.

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He is expected to miss an extended period of time and could start the season on the Reserve/Injured list. McGuire's injury opens up more opportunity for Bilal Powell on passing downs.

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3. NYJ - NYJ meeting with RB Alfred Morris

Source: NFL Network - Ian Rapoport

Free-agent RB Alfred Morris (Cowboys) is meeting with the New York Jets Saturday, July 28, according to a source.

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The Jets have to add depth at the RB position after losing Eli McGuire to a foot injury. His status is unknown at the time, but the second-year back is expected to miss significant time. Morris is quite unlike McGuire in many aspects. He's not the receiving threat that McGuire is and would be more of an addition for veteran depth at the position.

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4. ARI - QB Sam Bradford on track to start

Source: AZCardinals.com - Kyle Odegard

Arizona Cardinals QB Sam Bradford is the clear favorite for the starting quarterback job, according to head coach Steve Wilks.

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It's not a surprise given Bradford's experience as a starter in the NFL. QBs Josh Rosen and Mike Glennon will be competing for the No. 2 quarterback job. We expect 2018 first-round pick Josh Rosen to take over at some point this season as he's the quarterback of the future.

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5. KC - RB Kareem Hunt continues to be limited

Source: ESPN.com - Adam Teicher

Kansas City Chiefs RB Kareem Hunt (hamstring) was limited to individual drills during practice Saturday, July 28.

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It's a wise move for the Chiefs. Head coach Andy Reid said the team is easing Hunt back into practice because he does not want Hunt to suffer a setback.

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6. KC - Rave reviews for WR Sammy Watkins

Source: The Associated Press

Kansas City Chiefs WR Sammy Watkins was praised for his work ethic by head coach Andy Reid, and QB Patrick Mahomes said it has been easy to develop chemistry with Watkins.

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Watkins won't always be drawing #1 corners, and his quarterback has a tremendous deep arm and creativity. This should be be a bounceback year for him, the only question is how big it will be.

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7. NYJ - Tion Green works out for Jets

Source: ESPNNewYork.com - Rich Cimini

Free-agent RB Tion Green (Lions) worked out for the New York Jets Saturday, July 28, according to a source.

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Released by the Lions in May, Green hasn't received much interest on the open market. Green is a straight-line power runner with little wiggle to his game. The Jets are looking for added RB depth after Eli McGuire went down with a foot injury on Saturday.

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8. NYJ - RB Orleans Darkwa visits Jets

Source: ESPNNewYork.com - Jordan Raanan

Free-agent RB Orleans Darkwa (Giants) met with the New York Jets Saturday, July 28, according to a source.

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That's the second AFC East team that Darkwa has visited now. He spent some time with the Bills earlier this week. Back in June, Darkwa revealed via Twitter that he has been medically cleared for football activities following offseason surgery to remove a plate from his leg. In 15 games with the Giants last year, Darkwa rushed for 751 yards and averaged 4.4 yards per carry. Now that training camp is here around the league, some team may call on him for veteran depth and to compete for a roster spot.

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9. IND - Indy will meet with RB Orleans Darkwa

Source: ESPN.com - Jordan Raanan

Free-agent RB Orleans Darkwa (Giants) is scheduled to meet with the Indianapolis Colts in the near future.

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With all this recent interest in Darkwa, we could see him signed soon. The Bills and Jets have already visited with him, and the veteran back could find a new home now that training camps are open. The Colts already have a jam-packed backfield with plenty of talent so he may be an odd fit there.

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10. SEA - Duane Brown receives extension

Source: NFL Network - Ian Rapoport

Seattle Seahawks OT Duane Brown agreed to terms on a three-year extension Saturday, July 28, worth $36.5 million, according to a source.

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The Seahawks lock up their blind-side protector who was in the final year of his contract. They added him via trade with the Texans last year, and Brown can continue to help out an offensive line that ranked among the worst units in the league.

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11. HOU - WR Will Fuller bulks up

Source: Houston Chronicle - Aaron Wilson

Houston Texans WR Will Fuller said he up to 185 pounds by working out and eating more often and has not lost any of his speed. He bulked up so he could improve his durability.

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Fuller is a speed demon, and we're certain this extra weight is not going to slow him down. Instead, the increased size should help him better deal with the punishment that he's going to take in the NFL. A first-round pick in 2016, Fuller has never played a full 16 game season and has missed eight games the last two years due to injuries. He's currently going off the board at WR31 (6.12) in 12-team PPR leagues.

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12. TEN - TE Delanie Walker sits out Saturday

Source: TitansOnline.com - Jim Wyatt

Tennessee Titans TE Delanie Walker did not participate in practice Saturday, July 28, because it was a scheduled day off for him.

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Veterans are just going to get some breathers during training camp. This day was one of those for Walker. He's a TE1 for Fantasy GMs, currently going off the board at TE8 (7.06) in 12-team PPR leagues.

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13. DET - WR Marvin Jones unable to finish practice

Source: Detroit Free Press - Dave Birkett

Detroit Lions WR Marvin Jones (knee) left practice early Saturday, July 28, after suffering an apparent knee injury but said his knee was fine after practice.

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Jones got some attention from the trainers and tried to walk the injury off. As long as he doesn't miss more than a week of practice, any absence is precautionary and shouldn't be counted against his fantasy profile.

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14. NE - WR Kenny Britt may return soon

Source: Boston Herald - Kevin Duffy

New England Patriots WR Kenny Britt (hamstring) did not participate in practice Saturday, July 28, because he is receiving treatment on his hamstring, according to a source. The team hopes he can return to the field in the next few days.

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The Patriots might have had designs on Britt getting snaps outside when Julian Edelman is out, but this is a big hitch in that plan. His sleeper status is on hold until this resolves itself.

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15. WAS - Da'Ron Payne to miss a few weeks

Source: ESPN.com - John Keim

Washington Redskins DT Da'Ron Payne (ankle) is expected to miss two to three weeks because of an ankle injury, according to head coach Jay Gruden. Payne will be wearing a walking boot for the next week.

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Washington has good depth at DE so they can afford to give Payne plenty of time to heal, but it could slow down their first-round pick's development.

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16. CAR - Daryl Williams carted off

Source: Charlotte Observer - Jourdan Rodrigue

Carolina Panthers OT Daryl Williams (knee) was carted off the field after suffering an apparent knee injury during practice Saturday, July 28. Williams' injury appeared to be a non-contact injury.

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This is brutal for the Panthers as Williams was playing at a high level last year. 2017 second-round pick Taylor Moton will be on the spot, and training camp reports have been mixed at best so far.

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17. NO - DE Alex Okafor to be closely monitored

Source: The Times-Picayune

New Orleans Saints LB Alex Okafor (Achilles') will have his practice reps monitored in training camp, as he returns from a torn Achilles' tendon, according to head coach Sean Payton. The team hopes to build him up to a point where he will be capable of playing 40 to 50 snaps.

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There are some success stories among pass rushers returning from achilles tears, including Terrell Suggs and Cameron Wake, so we shouldn't write off Okafor. He was a big under the radar contributor last year and should at least be a passing down specialist this year if everything goes well.

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18. LAR - LAR has three candidates to start at right guard

Source: Los Angeles Times - Gary Klein

Los Angeles Rams OGs Austin Blythe, Brian Allen and Joseph Noteboom are likely candidates to replace OG Jamon Brown in the starting lineup at right guard when he serves his two-game suspension.

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Luckily for the Rams, they face Oakland and Arizona the first two weeks, teams that aren't known for great interior pass rush or run defenders.

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19. OAK - WR Jordy Nelson still a burner?

Source: ProFootballTalk.com - Charean Williams

Oakland Raiders WR Jordy Nelson can still run and is 'one of the fastest skill guys' on the team, according to QB Derek Carr, and head coach Jon Gruden said Nelson can still lineup anywhere and run any route.

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With all due respect to Nelson and Carr, there is little evidence of this on 2017 tape. Nelson will start, but will never approach the value he had with Aaron Rodgers again.

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20. BUF - WR Rod Streater keeps making plays

Source: The Buffalo News - Mark Gaughan

Buffalo Bills WR Rod Streater has made impressive catches each of the first two days of training camp, according to Mark Gaughan of the Buffalo News, and Gaughan believes Streater could emerge as the No. 4 receiver. 'It's just going out here and making plays and being consistent,' Streater said. 'You continue to compete and hopefully things work out.'

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With Kelvin Benjamin's on again, off again injury issue and Zay Jones questions on and off of the field, Streater could actually start at some point, but that's still probably not worth much outside of very deep dynasty leagues.

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21. BUF - WR Jeremy Kerley holding down the slot

Source: The Buffalo News - Mark Gaughan

Buffalo Bills WR Jeremy Kerley opened training camp as the starting slot receiver.

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Kerley could easily lead this team in catches, but that might not be enough to make him relevant for fantasy in this offense.

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22. NYG - Jon Halapio still in line to start

Source: NorthJersey.com - Art Stapleton

New York Giants C Jon Halapio opened training camp as the starting center.

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The team will miss Weston Richburg, but they will also upgrade at tackle with Nate Solder. Center is a question mark, but Halapio will get the job to open with Brett Jones in the picture.

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23. OAK - Kolton Miller opens as starter

Source: Las Vegas Review-Journal - Michael Gehlken

Oakland Raiders OT Kolton Miller opened training as the starting left tackle Friday, July 27, and Michael Gehlken of the Las Vegas Review-Journal also expects Miller to open the regular season as the starter.

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Donald Penn is starting camp on the PUP after offseason foot surgery, and his best football might be behind him, but Miller is very spotty in pass protection and would leave Derek Carr exposed against the great AFC West pass rushers. The Oakland offense is a question mark this year.

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24. WAS - Washington's tackles ready to go

Source: CSNWashington.com - Rich Tandler

Washington Redskins OT Trent Williams (knee) and OT Morgan Moses (ankle) both participated in team drills during training camp Friday, July 27.

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Washington had a ton of injuries on the line last year, so hopefully this is the start of a new trend that bolsters the offense.

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25. NYJ - WR Terrelle Pryor remains limited

Source: NFL Network - Mike Garafolo

New York Jets WR Terrelle Pryor (ankle) said his ankle is feeling good, but he was limited in practice Friday, July 27, and is expected to remain limited for the foreseeable future.

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Pryor is only a likely member of the 53 man roster because of his guaranteed two million dollars. He's probably only going to be depth for this team with his slow recovery.

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26. PIT - Terrell Edmunds works with starters

Source: Pittsburgh Post-Gazette - Ray Fittipaldo

Pittsburgh Steelers S Terrell Edmunds worked with the first-team defense during practice Friday, July 27, because FS Morgan Burnett (hamstring) is dealing with a hamstring injury.

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Burnett hasn't played 16 games since 2012, so Edmunds seeing the field in a key role as a rookie is almost a given, so this is probably helpful for the defense in the long term.

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27. JAX - WR Dede Westbrook moving around

Source: FirstCoastNews.com - Mike Kaye

Jacksonville Jaguars WR Dede Westbrook lined up as an outside receiver as well as a slot receiver during practice Friday, July 27.

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Westbrook will need versatility to get on the field this year as probably the #4 or #5 receiver, although Donte Moncrief and Marqise Lee aren't known for their durability.

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That'll do it for today, Folks. Thanks for reading and thanks for being part of Footballguys.

We'll see you tomorrow with the Update.

Peace,

J