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Footballguys #96 - 7/26 - What You Have To Know About Carson Wentz, Updated EVERYTHING, News and Notes and MORE

Volume 20, #96 -- Thursday Night, July 26th, 2018

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SITE NEWS

A. FREE Feature: Carson Wentz: Injuries, Regression, No Worries?
Our Jason Wood dives into some of the most important questions of the year with a detailed look at Carson Wentz' fantasy prospects in 2018.

B. Ronald Jones: The Missing Piece or Just a Miss?
Our Jason Wood with a detailed look at Ronald Jones' fantasy prospects in 2018.

C. Doug Baldwin: Model of Consistency and a Fantasy WR1
Our Justin Howe with a tour through the 2018 fantasy outlook for Seahawks wide receiver Doug Baldwin.

D. 5 Lesser-Known Rookies You Should Monitor In Training Camp
Our Matt Waldman shares five rookies not expected to contribute immediately when drafted, but just might after training camp.

E. Dynasty Strategy Roundtable: What's Your Greatest GM Strength?
Footballguys staff share their best attributes and skills as a dynasty general manager.

F. Awesome Stuff Outside FBG - Matthew Berry's Draft Day Manifesto
My good friend Matthew Berry's Draft Day Manifesto's been must-read material forever. This year is no different. Matthew of course is the facce of ESPN but he also runs the awesome Rotopass site where you can get several great Fantasy Football Information subscriptions all at a discounted price. Including of course Footballguys.

G. Top 300 Players Updated
The Top 300 is just that. A list of the Top 300 Players as we currently see them.

H. Top 300 Players For PPR Updated
The Top 300 is just that. A list of the Top 300 Players as we currently see them. This one is for PPR scoring.

I. Draft List Updated
We take our Top 300 LIst from our David Dodds and factor it against Average Draft Position to get a Draft List we'd actually draft from.

J. Draft List for PPR Updated
We take our Top 300 LIst from our David Dodds and factor it against Average Draft Position to get a Draft List we'd actually draft from. This one is for PPR scoring.

K. Average Draft Position Updated
Knowing where you want to draft a guy isn't enough. You need to know where the other owners in your league are likely to draft a guy. Get the answer with our Average Draft Position (ADP) data.

L. Average Draft Position for PPR Updated
Knowing where you want to draft a guy isn't enough. You need to know where the other owners in your league are likely to draft a guy. Get the answer with our Average Draft Position (ADP) data. This one is for PPR scoring.

M. Projections Updated
The backbone of everything we do at Footballguys is our Detailed Stat Projections. Our David Dodds projects all the stats you need for every player that matters.

N. Staff Cheatsheets Updated
See how the Footballguys Staff ranks every player at every position. Plus you can sort and filter exactly how you want to see the data.

O. Please Join Us On The Footballguys Facebook Page
We're rejuvenated the Footballguys Facebook Page . Please check it out and "like" the page. And to really get the best out of it, you can click on the "Follow" button (next to the "Like" button) and select "See First" to make sure you always get the Footballguys content. We're getting tons of discussion and we'll be offering special prizes and bonus content to folks on our Facebook page. I hope you'll join us.


1. PHI - No contact for QB Carson Wentz yet

Source: PhiladelphiaEagles.com - Dave Spadaro

Philadelphia Eagles QB Carson Wentz's (knee) next step in his recovery is being cleared for contact. Wentz said he likes where he is right now in his progress and remains on set on playing in Week 1.

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Wentz was on fire in his recent press conference, dropping some funny lines throughout. So far it seems like he will be ready to go for the season, which is great for the Eagles and their hopes for back to back championships. Fantasy GMs are seeing him as a low-end QB1 right now, which makes sense given the knee injury. We think he could out-shine that if he's 100 percent.

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2. MIN - RB Dalvin Cook full go for camp

Source: St. Paul Pioneer Press - Chris Tomasson

Minnesota Vikings RB Dalvin Cook (knee) will be a full participant at training camp after rehabilitating from his torn anterior cruciate ligament.

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We want to see what he can do on the field as soon as possible, but imagine that "full participant" is a relative term as the Vikings don't want him to hurt himself again. There's a lot of arguing as to where Cook should rate on fantasy rankings. He has top ten ability, but people are leery of his ACL injury dragging that down. The going rate for him in early drafts is 10th back off the board and if healthy, he might actually out-perform that.

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3. NYG - Odell Beckham talks to start soon

Source: ESPNNewYork.com - Jordan Raanan

New York Giants WR Odell Beckham Jr.'s contract negotiations will begin sooner rather than later, according to owner John Mara. Mara said he thinks Beckham is moving in the right direction and that it meant something that he was present for the start of training camp.

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The Giants want to see him in action, though that may mean after a week or two of the actual season. They want to make sure that he's healthy and able to continue his positive attitude once the fur starts flying for real. We've got him as one of the top receivers in fantasy, and he is going off the board as the 11th player overall in early drafts -- exactly where he should be.

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4. NE - WR Phillip Dorsett used in slot

Source: NESN.com - Doug Kyed

New England Patriots WR Phillip Dorsett worked as a slot receiver during practice Thursday, July 26.

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With Julian Edelman out for part of the season due to a PDE violation, the Patriots will kick the tires on a few guys to step into the slot. Dorsett has a lot to prove, but we aren't excited by his prospects. That said, watching the Patriots receivers in camp could be important in getting a cheap, but effective, receiver.

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5. BAL - RB Kenneth Dixon tweaks hamstring

Source: The Athletic - Jeff Zrebiec

Baltimore Ravens RB Kenneth Dixon (hamstring) tweaked his hamstring Thursday, July 26, and left practice.

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Dixon won't see much action unless Alex Collins is hurt. While he showed flashes, he is no more than a handcuff with a late-round price tag.

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6. TB - QB Ryan Fitzpatrick likely to start

Source: Buccaneers.com - Scott Smith

Tampa Bay Buccaneers QB Ryan Fitzpatrick is expected to start Week 1, according to head coach Dirk Koetter.

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Fitzpatrick must have a trained black cat or a magic ladder which appears over quarterbacks around him because it's amazing how often a mediocre quarterback like him can continue to end up with starting jobs. He might not really need one though for Jameis Winston who appears to be his own worst enemy and is suspended three games to start the year. Just because the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are stuck with Fitzpatrick doesn't mean you have to be though, and we would recommend staying well clear of Fitzpatrick. We're not high on Winston either, and he's no more than a QB3 this year, while Fitzpatrick doesn't even rate that high.

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7. ATL - WR Julio Jones has money moved

Source: NFL Network - Ian Rapoport

Updating an earlier report, Atlanta Falcons WR Julio Jones, who was set to make $10.5 million in 2018, had money moved from a future year in his contract adjustment.

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The lack of guaranteed money probably caused this fracas in the first place, so a little extra cash helped. The team said they will look at the contract again next offseason, which could cause the same thing, but for now, we expect WR1 numbers from Jones, though those who draft him have to keep expectations low on his touchdown totals, which have dropped each of the last few years.

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8. LAR - DE Aaron Donald has hurdle upcoming

Source: NFL Network - Ian Rapoport

Los Angeles Rams DT Aaron Donald has to report by Aug. 7 to receive an accrued season for free agency or he'll be restricted in 2019. The date isn't considered relevant in part because the team may want to put the franchise tag on him anyway.

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It's somewhat baffling why the Rams haven't found a way to get one of the best defensive players in the NFL a new deal, but it's also not uncommon right now as Khalil Mack is having the same issue. We suspect something will happen and he'll be in camp, but this is a problem we hope is solved soon because Fantasy GMs are counting on DL1 production from him and a missed training camp is always a bit of a concern.

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9. ATL - WR Julio Jones receives contract revision

Source: NFL Network - Ian Rapoport

Updating previous reports, Atlanta Falcons WR Julio Jones has agreed to a revised contract that adjusts his 2018 salary. The move is cap neutral and won't affect other moves.

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Jones was in camp and the Falcons have said they will review the contract situation as a whole post-season. That could mean trouble in 2019, but helps things this year. Jones puts up tremendous yardage numbers but his touchdown totals have slowly dropped the last few years. Still, he is a top-five fantasy receiver. He'll put up a lot of yards, and if having Calvin Ridley frees him up from some coverage, he could add some end zone points this year.

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10. CLE - WR Josh Gordon needs NFL approval to return?

Source: ProFootballTalk.com - Mike Florio

Cleveland Browns WR Josh Gordon will be required to make a written request to the team for reinstatement, and Commissioner Roger Goodell would need to approve it, according to a league source. GM John Dorsey, who would not comment when asked if Gordon could be facing a suspension, did acknowledge on Wednesday, July 25, that he doesn't know when Gordon will rejoin the team.

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This muddies the water a bit, though there was no failed drug test or incident anyone seems to be reporting. Gordon is, and probably always will be a high-risk player, but his ceiling is so high that the reward is worth consideration. As of now, we are taking a wait and see approach.

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11. CLE - Damion Ratley leaves practice early

Source: The Chronicle-Telegram - Scott Petrak

Cleveland Browns WR Damion Ratley (leg) was carted off the field after suffering an apparent leg injury during practice Thursday, July 26.

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There are a lot of receiver choices for Tyrod Taylor and the other quarterbacks to choose from, and we weren't expecting Ratley -- a sixth rounder -- to stand out. Hopefully the injury isn't serious and he can get back to trying to make the team.

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12. CIN - Rod Taylor carted off

Source: ESPN.com - Katherine Terrell

Cincinnati Bengals OT Rod Taylor (knee) was carted off the field after suffering an apparent knee injury during practice Thursday, July 26.

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Taylor looked like a depth add in the seventh round. This could be bad for his ability to make the team, but likely won't hurt the Bengals efforts to reboot their offensive line.

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13. TEN - WR Rishard Matthews not on field

Source: TitansOnline.com - Jim Wyatt

Tennessee Titans WR Rishard Matthews (undisclosed) did not participate in practice Thursday, July 26, but was in attendance. Head coach Mike Vrabel said Matthews will be on the field when he is cleared and that the team wants to be patient.

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Corey Davis and Taywan Taylor should step up this year, with Davis taking over the top spot. The result is Matthews dropping down to the No. 2 spot, which he is more effective in anyway. Right now his ADP is hovering at 50th receiver overall, 123rd player off the board. He looks very much like a rotational player in fantasy, with a few good games and some OK but not great overall production.

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14. BAL - Mark Andrews remains sidelined

Source: ESPN.com - Jamison Hensley

Baltimore Ravens TE Mark Andrews (undisclosed) did not participate in practice Thursday, July 26, and has missed the last three practices.

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Andrews is a little bit of a project, but could be a good seam receiver if he can stay on the field by improving his blocking. He can line up in various positions, so we are anxious to see him compete in camp.

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15. MIA - David Fales second on depth chart

Source: The Miami Herald - Barry Jackson

Miami Dolphins QB David Fales worked with the second-team offense during practice Thursday, July 26, while QB Brock Osweiler was the third quarterback to receive snaps. Osweiler threw the only two interceptions during practice.

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This comes as shock to absolutely nobody who has followed Osweiler's career of unimpressive stop after unimpressive stop. That isn't to say Fales is outstanding, just that his brand of mediocrity is better than Osweiler's right now. Long story, short though -- if Ryan Tannehill is hurt or implodes, the Dolphins are cooked.

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16. MIA - TE MarQueis Gray, TE A.J. Derby work with starters

Source: The Miami Herald - Barry Jackson

Miami Dolphins TEs MarQueis Gray and A.J. Derby were on the field with the first-team offense Thursday, July 26, when the team lined up in a two-tight end set.

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The Dolphins will do a lot of that, and both are decent blockers but not great pass catchers. We are waiting for rookie Mike Gesicki to get a shot, though his blocking leaves much to be desired.

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17. BUF - Buffalo hosts RB Orleans Darkwa

Source: NFL Network - Ian Rapoport

Free-agent RB Orleans Darkwa (Giants) worked out for the Buffalo Bills Thursday, July 26, according to a source. Darkwa is at full health after recovering from leg surgery this offseason.

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He's no more than a camp body or, at best, bench depth. Darkwa has shown some flashes, but he is unlikely to move the needle in fantasy this season.

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18. PHI - WR Alshon Jeffery to PUP

Source: PhiladelphiaEagles.com

Philadelphia Eagles WR Alshon Jeffery (shoulder) was placed on the Active/Physically Unable to Perform list Thursday, July 26.

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This was expected given the torn rotator cuff he had surgery on this offseason. A primary target for Carson Wentz, Jeffery will see plenty of work this year and could be higher than his ADP of 21st receiver off the board if he wasn't recovering from the aforementioned surgery.

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19. OAK - DE Khalil Mack not in contact

Source: ESPN - Adam Schefter

Oakland Raiders DE Khalil Mack has not spoken to head coach Jon Gruden since he was hired in January. The belief is Gruden has tried to reach out unsuccessfully.

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This doesn't mean Gruden hasn't reached out, but it is somewhat troubling. The Raiders don't seem in a hurry to sign him, despite how much of a hit the defense will take if he isn't there. Mack was dominant since entering the NFL. A lot of Fantasy GMs are hoping for more of the same this season, and a lengthy holdout could cause problems as the Raiders install a new scheme. We're expecting DE1 numbers but will keep a watchful eye on this.

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20. CIN - TE Tyler Eifert to PUP but says he's playing Week 1

Source: NFL Network - Ian Rapoport

Cincinnati Bengals TE Tyler Eifert (back) is expected to begin camp on the Physically Unable to Perform list after he tweaked his back in the spring.

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On the upside, Eifert said "There is no setback," Eifert said to The Cincinnati Enquirer. "I'm feeling good. This is just the route we chose to take."

Eifert was asked if he'd play Week 1 against Indianapolis?

"Yeah," Eifert said, "100 percent."

Even without this injury, we're not at a point where we really expect Eifert to perform well enough to roster as more than a low-end TE2. Fantasy GMs are a little higher on him that we are, as he is hovering as the 14th TE off the boards in early drafts. It's not a huge difference, but we aren't that confident in him and with this news, we might see him drop further.

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