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Footballguys #89 - 7/19 - 50 Players Not To Draft and MORE

Volume 20, #89 -- Thursday Night, July 19th, 2018

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Howdy Folks,

Welcome to Friday. It's another big day of brand new content for you plus the News and Notes you need.

Let's go.

J

SITE NEWS

A. FREE Feature - Let the Games Begin: The MFL10 Strategy
Our Ari Ingel with some background and tips for newbies and pros alike to dominate MFL10 best ball drafts. This article is free for everyone.

B. 50 Players I Don't Want
Our Matt Waldman reveals 50 players he doesn't want to draft.

C. Who to Draft at 1.01
Our Justin Bonnema with a deep-dive into the players at the top of the draft board with pros and cons for each.

D. Who to Draft at 2.12 and 3.01
If you have the top pick in the draft, who should you take in the two/three turn? Our Will Grant explores the question.

E. How to Attack Your Smaller PPR Draft
Our Jeff Tefertiller with strategy on attacking your Smaller PPR League Draft.


1. CHI - WR Allen Robinson feeling great

Source: Chicago Tribune - Rich Campbell

Updating a previous report, Chicago Bears WR Allen Robinson (knee) said he feels 100% after recovering from a torn anterior cruciate ligament.

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As we said previously, they didn't bring him on to lead a sewing circle. Robinson is to be a huge factor in the passing game, assuming Mitch Trubisky takes a step forward and Robinson returns from his ACL injury without losing any ability. Those are two uncertain things, though, which is why his ADP sits at 46th overall, 20th receiver off the board. The reality is we won't know the answer for either question before August, if then, which makes him a bit risky, hence the lower ADP. Going earlier on him is a risky, but if you can snag him at his ADP, or at least around it, you mitigate risky while leaving yourself open to some great upside.

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2. GB - WR Randall Cobb out of boot

Source: WBAY ABC 2 - Chris Roth

Updating previous reports, Green Bay Packers WR Randall Cobb (ankle) is out of his walking boot and expects to be ready for training camp. He said it wasn't known if he would have limitations yet.

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Cobb is going to have to help fill the void left behind by the departure of Jordy Nelson, so health is a huge concern. Last year he didn't see 70 catches or 800 yards for the second season in a row. That's even though his targets went up between 2016 and 2017. At this point that's what you need to expect from him: between 60-70 catches and around 700 yards with few touchdowns. All of which makes his ADP as 42nd receiver off the board make a lot of sense.

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3. ATL - WR Julio Jones won't get new contract

Source: ProFootballTalk.com - Charean Williams

Atlanta Falcons WR Julio Jones was recently informed that the team had not budgeted to renegotiate Jones' contract in 2018 and have no plan to give him a raise for the upcoming season, according to The Athletic's Jeff Schultz. The Falcons did promise to renegotiate after the season, however, and hope that Jones will report to training camp on time.

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He still has time left on his contract, but has gone from the highest paid receiver to the eighth highest, so we understand his beef. That said, the team is already paying him a lot. we don't think he will hold out, but it bears watching. Jones just had his fourth season in a row where he logged more than 80 catches and 1,400 yards. If there is a hesitation around Jones, it's his decreasing touchdown total, which has dropped steadily since 2015. For a receiver with high numbers otherwise, it's a shocking stat. Despite that, Jones continues to be a top fantasy receiver, and is worthy of his No. 4 ADP as a receiver, though the lack of touchdowns might explain his overall ADP of 13.

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4. CIN - RB Joe Mixon in good shape

Source: Bengals.com - Geoff Hobson

Cincinnati Bengals RB Joe Mixon has shed weight this offseason, going from 230 pounds to 218 pounds. 'I feel like that's where I play my best,' Mixon said. 'I was trying to get last year but I wasn't able to make it. I feel real good. My body feels real good. I feel like I'm in really good shape.'

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In his rookie year, Mixon was inconsistent but offensive play was some of that. He only had a single 100-yard game, and was banged up by the end of the year. Hopefully, this will help him avoid wearing down, and the line has been shored up. Add in some decent receiving numbers last year, and Mixon looks like a decent RB2 heading into 2018.

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5. CHI - Kyle Long to avoid PUP

Source: Chicago Tribune - Brad Biggs

Chicago Bears OG Kyle Long (elbow, neck, shoulder) is ready for the start of training camp and will avoid the Physically Unable to Perform list, according to head coach Matt Nagy.

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A solid and healthy offensive line is key to Mitch Trubisky's improvement the season. So Long coming back healthy is a big deal.

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6. BAL - Mark Andrews injury update

Source: The Athletic - Jeff Zrebiec

Updating a previous report, Baltimore Ravens TE Mark Andrews (undisclosed) missed practice Thursday, July 19, because of a soft-tissue injury, according to head coach John Harbaugh.

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Andrews isn't a big draw for Fantasy GM's, but is someone to watch long-term. The tight end position in Baltimore is not clear, but it also doesn't look like a great place to mine for Fantasy production this year.

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7. CLE - Joel Bitonio expects to be LG

Source: The Cleveland Plain Dealer - Scott Patsko

Cleveland Browns OG Joel Bitonio said he is open to trying to play left tackle but that the plan is for him to play left guard.

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Bitonio is one of the better centerpieces on a line which lost Alex Mack and Joe Thomas over the last few years. He's never been a Hall of Famer at the position, but he's been a guy they could depend on and who can both open up run lanes as well as block on pass plays. Considering the potential talent around the Browns offense, offensive line is a critical position to watch during this training camp.

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8. BAL - Two rookies sitting out Thursday

Source: ESPN.com - Jamison Hensley

Baltimore Ravens TE Mark Andrews (undisclosed) and OT Greg Senat (undisclosed) are not participating in practice Thursday, July 19.

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Andrews is the name that jumps out here, as he could be a nice option up the seam for the Ravens. He's going undrafted in early drafts, as he should be given other tight ends on the team and his own rawness. It will interesting to watch his development from a long terms standpoint, however.

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9. BAL - WR Breshad Perriman option likely picked up

Source: ESPN.com - Jamison Hensley

Baltimore Ravens WR Breshad Perriman will likely have his $649,485 roster bonus picked up by the deadline Saturday, July 21. He'll have to battle for a spot on the 53-man roster.

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We aren't very confident he'll make that mark. With Michael Crabtree and Willie Snead ahead of him, along with upside guys like John Brown, Chris Brown, Jaleel Scott and Tim White -- who also has special teams value -- there's just not much room for a mediocre talent. Perriman is not anyone worth rostering in any format.

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That'll do it for today, Folks. Thanks for reading and thanks for being part of Footballguys. We'll see you tomorrow with the Update.

Peace,

J