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Footballguys #76 - 7/6 - Updated EVERYTHING plus News and Notes and MORE

Volume 20, #76 -- Friday Night, July 6th, 2018

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Howdy Folks,

Good Saturday to you. I hope you're ready for a ton of new Updated Content because we've got it for you. And of course, we've got the News and Notes you need.

Let's go.

J

SITE NEWS

A. Updated Detailed Stat Projections
Rankings are great and we think our Consensus Staff Rankings are the best you can find. But what sets us apart from the crowd are our Detailed Stat Projections. We project every stat that matters for every player that matters so you can then take our projections and run them through YOUR specific scoring system to get exact values for your league. Let the other guys draft from a generic cheatsheet while you have a huge edge with values specific to your situation. Our David Dodds has his latest projections ready here.

B. Top 300 Rankings
The Top 300 are just that - a ranking of the Top 300 players as we see them right now.

C. Top 300 Rankings - PPR
The Top 300 are just that - a ranking of the Top 300 players as we see them right now. This one is for PPR Scoring.

D. Draft List
The Draft List is the list we'd actually draft with. Thus the fancy name. We take our Top 300 and factor it against Average Draft Position to get a better representation of the list we'd use in the draft. Our David Dodds has the latest here.

E. Draft List - PPR
The Draft List is the list we'd actually draft with. Thus the fancy name. We take our Top 300 and factor it against Average Draft Position to get a better representation of the list we'd use in the draft. Our David Dodds has the latest here. This one is for PPR Scoring.

F. Average Draft Position Updated
It's not enough to know where you'd draft a player. To get maximum value in your draft, you need to know where other owners are likely to draft a player. Our Average Draft Position is your ticket.

G. Average Draft Position Updated - PPR
It's not enough to know where you'd draft a player. To get maximum value in your draft, you need to know where other owners are likely to draft a player. Our Average Draft Position is your ticket. This one is for PPR Scoring.

H. Situational Wide Receiver Values: 2018 Edition
Our Chad Parsons examines fantasy football values for wide receivers through historical study of quarterback strength and depth chart construction.

I. Eyes of the Guru IDP Info, Part 3: NFC North
Our John Norton with an overview of defenses in the NFC North with an emphasis on individual defensive players and their fantasy value.


1. TEN - RB Derrick Henry to lead team in carries?

Source: TitanInsider.com - Terry McCormick

Tennessee Titans RB Derrick Henry could lead the team in rushing attempts and rushing yards this year, according to Terry McCormick of TitanInsider.com, but McCormick said it 'isn't out of the question' that RB Dion Lewis finishes with more total yards.

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Lewis has been incredibly productive when healthy, and he appears to be healthy. So McCormick has a good point that while Henry could get more carries, Lewis could have more combined yards given his ability both running and catching the ball. Henry is tracking with an ADP of 17th back off the board while Lewis is going three rounds and ten backs later in drafts. It sounds very much like Lewis could have a lot of value based on position.

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2. CHI - QB Mitchell Trubisky has more command of team

Source: ProFootballTalk.com - Josh Alper

Chicago Bears QB Mitchell Trubisky has more command of the team going into his second year, according to RB Jordan Howard. 'He asserted himself a lot last year, but I definitely feel like a lot more people are listening to him,' Howard said. 'He has a lot greater command of the locker room and stuff because he's the quarterback for sure now.'

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If the Bears are going to take a step forward, they'll need Trubisky to take command. That said, the lack of weapons to throw to, the shaky defense and Trubisky's own likely learning curve make him no more than what his ADP is sitting at right now, which is the 25th quarterback off the board in fantasy drafts.

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3. LAC - Busy season for WR Keenan Allen?

Source: ESPN.com - Eric D. Williams

Los Angeles Chargers WR Keenan Allen will be relied on more heavily in the red zone and on third down this season because of the injury to TE Hunter Henry (knee), according to Eric D. Williams of ESPN.com.

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Last year we saw what Allen can do when healthy. Now he just has to stay that way, and it's even more critical due to the injury to Hunter Henry. That makes his ADP as No. 7 receiver off the board and 17th player off the board overall. It's possible given the situation that he could be even more productive than his ADP in point per reception leagues where all those extra catches will really add up.

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4. TEN - RB Dion Lewis could lead backfield in total yards

Source: TitanInsider.com - Terry McCormick

Tennessee Titans RB Dion Lewis could end up with more all-purpose yards than RB Derrick Henry this season because of Lewis' ability as a receiver, in the opinion of Terry McCormick of TitanInsider.com.

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Lewis has been a machine when healthy, and last year's 5 yard per carry average drove that point home coming off a 2016 where he was hurt. While the Titans are saying the amount of carries will vary game to game, between Derrick Henry and Lewis, we think Lewis will get a lot of work. His ADP is currently at 28, and we expect numbers to support that this year.

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5. HOU - RB Alfred Blue has good chance to make roster

Source: Houston Chronicle - John McClain

Houston Texans RB Alfred Blue likely will make the 53-man roster because of his special teams play, in the opinion of the Houston Chronicle's John McClain.

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Third man on the totem pole behind Lamar Miller and D′Onta Foreman, special teams is definitely the way he's staying on the team. The thing to remember is that Foreman is not healthy, and may not have healed enough from his ACL tear to be ready Week 1. That could also factor in on Blue's ability to stick. That said, we don't expect Blue to have a role in the backfield worth drafting him for, barring massive injuries.

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6. NE - RB Mike Gillislee feels good but fighting for a role

Source: MassLive.com - Nick O'Malley

New England Patriots RB Mike Gillislee reported to spring workouts at 216 pounds after playing the 2017 season at 212 pounds. He reportedly feels better this year than he did in 2017 but he's still fighting for a role.

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Gillislee was underwhelming last season even before he got hurt. His 3.7 yards per carry wasn't anything to write home about. With a first round pick Sony Michel in the house and a healthy Rex Burkhead, chances are that Gillislee will be buried on the depth chart, assuming he even makes the roster.

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7. NYG - Two WRs may need strong preseasons

Source: The Bergen Record - Art Stapleton

New York Giants WRs Roger Lewis and Travis Rudolph may need strong preseasons to make the 53-man roster because they have not excelled at special teams like they were expected.

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With Odell Beckham Jr., Sterling Shephard, Evan Ingram and Saquon Barkley in front of anyone else fighting for the ball, battles like this are just not compelling. Neither of these guys are too attractive in most leagues.

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8. NYG - NYG expected to use two-TE sets

Source: The Bergen Record - Art Stapleton

New York Giants TEs Evan Engram and Rhett Ellison likely will be on the field at the same time this season because the team is expected to use more two-tight end sets.

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Engram had a tremendous rookie year and wasn't even fully formed. He should be better this year, but now he has more competition, as Odell Beckham Jr. has returned, and Saquon Barkley was drafted. We'll keep an eye on him and see how he looks in camp, but we feel his ADP of No. 6 tight end off the board is right on.

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9. NYG - RB Wayne Gallman could be returner

Source: The Bergen Record - Art Stapleton

New York Giants RB Wayne Gallman could be used as a kick returner this season so the team can increase his game day value. He also has a chance to have a bigger role on offense.

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It may be bigger but unless Saquon Barkley faceplants, Gallman won't be generating much in the way of fantasy points. If you want to handcuff him to Barkley, that's one thing, but wait until late in the draft.

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10. NYJ - WR Andre Roberts has edge for returner job

Source: NJ.com - Darryl Slater

New York Jets WR Andre Roberts appears to be the leading candidate for the punt returner job entering training camp but will compete with WR Lucky Whitehead and RB Trenton Cannon during camp.

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None of those three players are likely to factor into the offense much beyond special teams, although it's not like the Jets are top heavy with receiving talent. In general, and especially until we see a quarterback emerge, we are avoiding this offense as expectations are that they will struggle.

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11. HOU - WR Braxton Miller on the bubble

Source: Houston Chronicle - John McClain

Houston Texans WR Braxton Miller will need to stay healthy and produce consistently if he wants to make the 53-man roster, in the opinion of the Houston Chronicle's John McClain.

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Miller has had limited impact since joining the team in 2016, and while he was still transitioning from quarterback to receiver in his rookie season, he should be further along. Injuries have held him back, but if he's healthy, he had better produce as the Texans seem to be short of patience with him.

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12. DAL - DeMarcus Lawrence looking for long-term deal

Source: The Athletic - Calvin Watkins

Dallas Cowboys DE DeMarcus Lawrence is looking for a five-year contract extension from the Cowboys, according to a source.

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After a missed 2016, Lawrence more than proved what a difference maker he was in 2017. We'll see if he gets paid or if he tests the free agency waters next year. He should be a top priority in IDP leagues this year.

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13. DAL - S Earl Thomas still an option for Dallas

Source: The Dallas Morning News

Seattle Seahawks FS Earl Thomas is still a possible addition by the Dallas Cowboys, according to beat writer Bryan Broaddus.

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Dallas was interested before the draft, and Thomas wants to go there, so this may just be a matter of time. At some point, Thomas needs to show up to camp, so Seattle has to be the one to make a move either by cutting him, trading him or paying him. Dallas may just wait and hope for the first, and only pull the rip cord on the second if Seattle doesn't budge. The Cowboys could really use him at safety too.

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14. OAK - WR Ryan Switzer working in the slot

Source: CSNBayArea.com - Scott Bair

Oakland Raiders WR Ryan Switzer has been a 'force' as a slot receiver in addition to his work as a kick and punt returner, according to head coach Jon Gruden.

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We'll see if he can make any headway in this crowded group, which contains Amari Cooper, Jordy Nelson and Martavis Bryant. For now, we expect him to mostly have impact on special teams and wouldn't bother drafting him in early drafts.

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15. TEN - David Fluellen the No. 3 back?

Source: TitanInsider.com - Terry McCormick

Tennessee Titans RB David Fluellen is the favorite to land the No. 3 running back job because the coaches like his work ethic and he has the ability to contribute to special teams, according to Terry McCormick of TitansInsider.com.

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That's not going to help Fantasy GMs as we don't foresee much of an improvement over his 21 yards in 2017. We see Derrick Henry as the chief back, and Dion Lewis as the change of pace. In a year or so, Fluellen could take over for Lewis, but this year you should pass on him.

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That'll do it for today, Folks. Thanks for reading and thanks for being part of the Footballguys Family. We'll see you tomorrow with the Update.

Peace,

J