Win. Your. League.

Receive 3 Free Downloads More Details

Footballguys.com

Footballguys #68 - 6/28 - Alvin Kamara Is More Than the Best of the Rest, plus News and Notes and MORE

Volume 20, #68 -- Thursday Night, June 28th, 2018

Note: Unsubscribe instructions are at the bottom of this emailView in Web Browser

Howdy Folks,

Welcome to Friday. We've got more New Articles for you plus the News and Notes you need so let's get to it.

J

SITE NEWS

A. Alvin Kamara Is More Than the Best of the Rest
Our Jason Wood with a detailed look at Alvin Kamara's fantasy prospects for 2018.

B. Jay Ajayi: Post-Hype Sleeper
Our Alessandro Miglio dives into Jay Ajayi's fantasy prospects for 2018.

C. How Christian Kirk Slots into an Offense in Flux
Our Dave Larkin looks into Christian Kirk's fantasy prospects in 2018.


1. TB - QB Jameis Winston suspended three games

Source: NFL.com - Ian Rapoport

Tampa Bay Buccaneers QB Jameis Winston was suspended by the NFL for three games for violating the league's personal-conduct policy Thursday, June 28. He will not file an appeal.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

According to the NFL, his next misstep could result in a lifetime ban. Not that this is the most important thing, you do come here for fantasy advice. So as we thought when this first surfaced, this really dings Winston's fantasy value. His ADP had already begun to shift, dropping to 17th quarterback off the board recently. It might drop a bit more, but not too much.

Back to Top


2. GB - RB Aaron Jones needs to improve blocking

Source: USA TODAY NETWORK-Wisconsin - Aaron Nagler

Green Bay Packers RB Aaron Jones needs to improve his work in pass protection to see more time on the field, according to the Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel's Aaron Nagler, who says Jones is lagging behind RB Jamaal Williams in that department.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

That gives Jamaal Williams a little leg up, but we've got a lot of summer to go. Williams is going as the 33rd running back off the board now, while Jones is hovering at 39. Both could be decent values but this early on, the job could go either way or, painfully, it could be an RBBC, so tread carefully.

Back to Top


3. LAR - WR Cooper Kupp defeated press as a rookie

Source: Pro Football Focus

Los Angeles Rams WR Cooper Kupp caught 18-of-23 targets for 320 yards against press coverage in 2017. His receiver rating of 147.7 and catch rate of 78.3 percent were both ranked third among receivers with at least 10 targets, according to Pro Football Focus.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

Kupp was really solid last season, totaling 869 yards off those catches as well as five touchdowns. Brandin Cooks and Robert Woods are there which will probably limit his impact a bit, though he could pass Woods at some point. He's the 34th receiver coming off the board, with an overall ADP of 84, which seems reasonable, with some upside to spare.

Back to Top


4. SEA - WR Doug Baldwin excelled against press in 2018

Source: Pro Football Focus

Seattle Seahawks WR Doug Baldwin recorded a catch rate of 74.2 percent and a receiver rating of 149.1 against press coverage in 2017, according to Pro Football Focus. Baldwin, was one of just seven receivers to see at least 30 targets against press coverage without a single drop, finished with 23 catches on 31 targets for 339 yards and five touchdowns against press coverage last season.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

Baldwin is a tremendous receiver and a beast out of the slot position. He's also Russell Wilson's top target. Hopefully the offensive line gives Wilson time to throw a solid pass this year. We think they could, which makes him a high-end WR2 option, about where he's going in drafts.

Back to Top


5. NO - WR Ted Ginn Jr. burned press coverage in 2018

Source: Pro Football Focus

New Orleans Saints WR Ted Ginn Jr. recorded a catch rate of 88.2 percent and a perfect receiver rating of 158.3 against press coverage in 2017, according to Pro Football Focus. Both marks were the best in the league among receivers who finished with at least 10 targets.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

Last season did see a drop in targets from 95 to 70, but he still managed over 700 yards and four touchdowns, increasing his yards per catch average by a full yard, though still below his career high of 16.8 in 2015. He caught almost as many balls on less targets last year too, which will happen when Drew Brees becomes your quarterback. The downside is we expect him to lose some snaps to Cameron Meredith and Tre'Quan Smith. His ADP is 61 right now, and we expect it to hold there.

Back to Top


That'll do it for today, Folks. Thanks for reading and thanks for being part of Footballguys. We'll see you tomorrow with the Update.

Peace,

J