Footballguys.com

Volume 20, #61 -- Thursday Night, June 21st, 2018

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Howdy Footballguy,

Welcome to Friday.

I've got a TON of great new content for you so I hope you didn't have anything on your schedule this morning besides Fantasy Football.

J

SITE NEWS

A. Josh Gordon Is a Value
Josh Gordon is regarded as one of the riskiest picks of 2018 fantasy drafts. Matt Waldman makes the case for Josh Gordon as a value in Gut Check No. 440.

B. Believe the Hype on Jerick McKinnon
Our Alessandro Miglio dives into Jerick McKinnon's fantasy prospects for 2018.

C. Three Reasons Corey Davis Will Dominate
Our Daniel Simpkins with a detailed look at Corey Davis' fantasy prospects for 2018.

D. How Derrius Guice Can Overcome the Chris Thompson Factor
Our Dave Larkin dives into the prospects of Redskins rookie Derrius Guice for 2018.

E. Kenyan Drake Is More Risk Than Reward
Our Justin Howe with a tour through the 2018 fantasy outlook for Miami's Kenyan Drake.

F. Dynasty News Offseason 2
Our Jeff Tefertiller with a look at the recent fantasy news from a dynasty perspective.

G. Value Plays: Wide Receivers
The Footballguys staff finds value at the wide receiver position.

H. Overvalued Players: Wide Receivers
Footballguys staff members discuss wide receivers who are overvalued.

I. Deep Sleepers: Wide Receivers
The Footballguys staff digs deep for sleepers at wide receiver.

INSIDE THIS ISSUE

1. TB - QB Jameis Winston expected to be suspended

2. SEA - WR Brandon Marshall not guaranteed a spot

3. NYG - Holdout still an option for Odell Beckham?

4. NE - NE unlikely to pursue S Earl Thomas

5. GB - Backup QBs struggle during workouts

6. SF - SF attend Adonis Alexander's workout

7. OAK - WR Martavis Bryant behaving

8. NYJ - WR Robby Anderson pleads no contest

9. SEA - SEA still paying for RB Marshawn Lynch


1. TB - QB Jameis Winston expected to be suspended

Source: ESPN - Adam Schefter

Tampa Bay Buccaneers QB Jameis Winston is expected to be suspended for the first three games of the 2018 season for violating the NFL's personal conduct policy, according to sources. The suspension could increase or decrease depending on the circumstances surrounding the off-field incident.

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Most fantasy GM's will hope the number of games decreases, but if you're drafting before that decision comes through you're going to have to assume the worst. And frankly, as mercurial as the NFL penalty process can be, it's tough to predict how this shakes out. This should significantly impact Winston's current ADP and overall fantasy value. Going from a high-end QB2 with even more upside to a much shakier low-end QB2. But one that could perform at a value on a per game level.

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2. SEA - WR Brandon Marshall not guaranteed a spot

Source: ESPN.com - Brady Henderson

Seattle Seahawks WR Brandon Marshall (hamstring, toe) is no lock to make the 53-man roster, according to ESPN's Brady Henderson. This is due to the team's limited financial commitment, which is insurance in case Marshall doesn't heal as well as they hope or if they see more value in retaining a younger option.

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He didn't cost much but Pete Carroll will wring out all the value he can by making him a message for the team, a reminder that every position must be earned. Marshall was hurt last year and becoming less effective prior to that, so his loss would not be significant.

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3. NYG - Holdout still an option for Odell Beckham?

Source: SNY - Ralph Vacchiano

New York Giants WR Odell Beckham Jr. could still consider a holdout if he does not receive a new contract, according to sources in Beckham's camp. Beckham has said he plans to report to training camp on time.

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It's possible, and there's no reason for him to risk injury in the preseason. That said, he feels he has done everything right this offseason and everyone knows the team is in "win now" mode, so he might try to force the issues. An easy top-ten fantasy wide receiver -- arguably the top option for this year -- Beckham is dynamic if he can stay healthy.

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4. NE - NE unlikely to pursue S Earl Thomas

Source: ESPNBoston.com - Mike Reiss

Seattle Seahawks FS Earl Thomas likely will not be a trade target for the New England Patriots, in the opinion of ESPNBoston.com's Mike Reiss.

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They'd rather wait until he drops as a free agent. Since the Seahawks and Thomas seem far apart, there's a chance that could happen.

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5. GB - Backup QBs struggle during workouts

Source: ESPN.com - Rob Demovsky

Green Bay Packers QBs Brett Hundley and DeShone Kizer will compete for the No. 2 quarterback job during training camp, but both quarterbacks struggled at times during offseason workouts.

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Neither of them is a great option if Aaron Rodgers goes down. Hundley wasn't all that impressive last time he had to carry the load and Kizer was shaky with the Browns last season. Once again, the Packers have to pray Rodgers avoids injury.

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6. SF - SF attend Adonis Alexander's workout

Source: Sacramento Bee - Matt Barrows

The San Francisco 49ers were one of 26 teams that attended Virginia Tech CB Adonis Alexander's Pro Day Thursday, June 21.

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Alexander also has seven workout meetings with NFL teams, as well asa visit scheduled, according to NFL Network's Mike Garofolo. He's got size but is very raw and the reason he's in the supplemental draft is because he was declared academically ineligible for the fall. He has other red flags too. Some team could roll the dice though, and he has intriguing upside.

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7. OAK - WR Martavis Bryant behaving

Source: The Athletic - Vic Tafur

Oakland Raiders WR Martavis Bryant has stayed clean and hasn't missed a drug test amid rumors that he could be suspended for a violation of the NFL's substance-abuse policy.

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He knows he is on one of his last chance, if not the very last chance. And Jon Gruden is a lot of things, but he's not known for his tolerance of fools. Bryant has ability but not consistency and his attitude issues make his downside more glaring.

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8. NYJ - WR Robby Anderson pleads no contest

Source: JetsWire - Tyler Calvaruso

New York Jets WR Robby Anderson pleaded no contest Thursday, June 21, to a reckless driving charge from an arrest in January. He was sentenced to six months of non-reporting probation.

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Now we'll see if he's suspended. Already facing a tightly packed -- though somewhat uninspiring -- receiving corps and a question mark at quarterback, Anderson's fantasy value will take a hit if he is suspended by the NFL.

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9. SEA - SEA still paying for RB Marshawn Lynch

Source: ESPN.com - Brady Henderson

Oakland Raiders RB Marshawn Lynch will take up more than $5 million on the Seattle Seahawks' salary cap in 2018 from his previous deal before he retired in 2016.

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Ouch. That's a lot of Skittles. Lynch came on strong late in the season, but at 32 it's hard for us to get a ton of enthusiasm for his production this year. Jon Gruden wants to run him a lot though, so he could very well outperform his ADP of 69 overall and No. 31 back off the board.

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That'll do it for today, Folks. Thanks for reading and thanks for being part of Footballguys. Have a great Friday and we'll see you tomorrow with the Update.

Peace,

J