Footballguys.com

Volume 20, #51 -- Monday Night, June 11th, 2018

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Howdy Footballguy,

Good Tuesday to you.

We've got the News and Notes you need so let's get to it.

J

SITE NEWS

A. Draft Dominator Mobile Apps Are LIVE
Our game changing Draft Dominator Mobile App is ready for 2018. It's your killer app for drafting the team to beat. It's customizable and dynamic adjusting and recalculating values as the draft unfolds. It's an unfair advantage and we're ok with that. Check it out here in the iTunes Store and the here in the Google Play Store.

B. Footballguys Early Bird Discount Ends June 15
Don't miss the steeply discounted Early Bird price for our Footballguys Season Long Pro subscription.

C. IDP Stat Crews Under the Microscope
Our Dave Larkin dives into the oft-ignored edge you can gain in IDP leagues by analyzing stadium stat crews.

INSIDE THIS ISSUE

1. NE - QB Tom Brady, TE Rob Gronkowski skipping OTAs

2. NYG - Odell Beckham reports for physical

3. NE - New deal likely for TE Rob Gronkowski

4. ATL - No minicamp for WR Julio Jones

5. LAC - RB Melvin Gordon may see more targets

6. ATL - RB Devonta Freeman running smarter

7. SEA - WR Doug Baldwin, QB Russell Wilson locked in

8. TEN - WR Dez Bryant welcome in Tennessee

9. DEN - OLB Shane Ray will have surgery Thursday

10. GB - RB Ty Montgomery to have big role?

11. OAK - DE Khalil Mack expected to skip minicamp

12. CIN - Two expected to compete for backup QB job

13. NO - Marcus Davenport needs surgery

14. NE - WR Phillip Dorsett finally comfortable

15. ARI - Josh Rosen struggling in red zone


1. NE - QB Tom Brady, TE Rob Gronkowski skipping OTAs

Source: NFL Network - Ian Rapoport

New England Patriots QB Tom Brady and TE Rob Gronkowski do not plan on participating in organized team activities this week after attending the mandatory minicamp last week, according to source.

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Gronkowski has been waiting to get a new contract, and reports indicate that is coming at some point in the future. Brady skipped voluntary work earlier this offseason, then he showed up for mandatory work, and now he's back to missing work when he doesn't have to be there. When things are mandatory (training camp), Brady and Gronkowski should be there.

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2. NYG - Odell Beckham reports for physical

Source: ESPN.com - Josina Anderson

Updating a previous report, New York Giants WR Odell Beckham Jr. reported to the team facility Monday, June 11, for his physical, according to a source.

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His participation level is unknown at this time. Beckham had his 2017 season cut short due to an ankle injury, and there's no reason for him to push it at this point in the offseason. He's showed up at voluntary OTAs as a good faith move since he wants a new deal. Beckham is entering the final year of his rookie contract in 2018.

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3. NE - New deal likely for TE Rob Gronkowski

Source: ProFootballTalk.com - Mike Florio

New England Patriots TE Rob Gronkowski likely will receive a new contract at some point but no deal is imminent at this time, according to a source.

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Gronkowski was eligible for a new contract in late May, and he's been waiting patiently for that bump in pay. The team should be working on this deal with no hurry as the regular season awaits.

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4. ATL - No minicamp for WR Julio Jones

Source: NFL Network - Andrew Siciliano

Atlanta Falcons WR Julio Jones will not attend mandatory minicamp this week.

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Jones is holding out for more money, as he's currently ranked as the 8th-highest paid WR in the NFL. The Falcons released a statement that said the following. "We have been in contact with Julio and his representation. We will not discuss those conversations publicly except to say we feel they have been productive and constructive. We understand the concerns and thoughts from their perspective. Although not ideal, Julio informed us today he would not be attending mini-camp."

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5. LAC - RB Melvin Gordon may see more targets

Source: ESPN.com - Eric D. Williams

Los Angeles Chargers RB Melvin Gordon could receive a bigger role in the passing game this upcoming season, according to offensive coordinator Ken Whisenhunt.

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That makes sense for the Chargers, especially considering they lost TE Hunter Henry (knee) for the season. Gordon had a career high 58 catches in 2017, and he could push that number near 70 in 2018 if the team does make him more of a target in the passing game.

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6. ATL - RB Devonta Freeman running smarter

Source: The Atlanta Journal-Constitution - Kennington Lloyd Smith III

Atlanta Falcons RB Devonta Freeman has been working with running backs coach Bernie Parmalee on 'getting skinny' when he finishes runs to help reduce the hits he takes and stay healthier over the course of the season.

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It's basically shrinking the surface area that defenders can hit when running between the tackles. Freeman was 23rd in the NFL last year with 315 rushing yards after contact. His yards-after-first-contact-per-rush average of 1.61 yards is well below the league average (1.86) and ranked 37th in the NFL in 2017. With Parmalee's guidance, perhaps Freeman can increase those numbers this season.

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7. SEA - WR Doug Baldwin, QB Russell Wilson locked in

Source: Seahawks.com - John Boyle

Seattle Seahawks WR Doug Baldwin and QB Russell Wilson are the 'tightest they've ever been,' according to head coach Pete Carroll.

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That's great news for the Seahawks, especially with all the changes on that roster. Those two need to be dialed in with players like TE Jimmy Graham and WR Paul Richardson moving on in free agency. With Seattle's defense in rebuild mode there might be more pressure on Wilson to carry the team. That's a reason why fantasy owners are currently taking Wilson at QB3 (5.12) in 12-team PPR leagues.

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8. TEN - WR Dez Bryant welcome in Tennessee

Source: The Dallas Morning News

Free-agent WR Dez Bryant (Cowboys) is 'most definitely' welcome on the Tennessee Titans roster, according to TE Delanie Walker. 'It's another element if they was to bring him to the team,' Walker said. 'If he can help us out, gladly I would welcome him with open arms.'

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The Titans may not have room (or not want) a veteran receiver like Bryant. Other than turning down a deal from the Ravens, Bryant hasn't gotten much interest since the Cowboys released him earlier this offseason. We think Tennessee is good with guys like Rishard Matthews, Corey Davis and Taywan Taylor as their top three wide receivers.

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9. DEN - OLB Shane Ray will have surgery Thursday

Source: 9News.com - Mike Klis

Denver Broncos LB Shane Ray (wrist) will undergo surgery on his left wrist Thursday, June 14, according to a source.

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Ray's wrist injury required three surgeries last year and he struggled playing through the injury. This year, we'll see 2018 first-round pick Bradley Chubb likely start on the outside opposite Von Miller. The hope is that Ray only misses two or three regular season games, but he could return sooner than expected.

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10. GB - RB Ty Montgomery to have big role?

Source: ESPN.com - Rob Demovsky

Green Bay Packers RB Ty Montgomery seems to be set for a big role in 2018, according to ESPN.com's Rob Demovsky. Head coach Mike McCarthy said the offense is suited for Montgomery's skill set and the Packers need to take advantage of that. Nevertheless, McCarthy admitted that he will continue to take a committee approach with the backfield with RBs Aaron Jones and Jamaal Williams included.

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Williams could be the lead back for the Packers, mostly because of his size and ability to grind opponents down. Montgomery, a converted wide receiver, could get work as a pass-catching back and could get plenty of work when the Packers use a 'fast break' offense. Both ADPs for Williams and Montgomery are close at this time. Williams is going off the board at RB42 (9.06) and Montgomery at RB45 (10.01) in 12-team PPR leagues.

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11. OAK - DE Khalil Mack expected to skip minicamp

Source: NFL Network - Ian Rapoport

Oakland Raiders DE Khalil Mack is not expected to participate in the mandatory minicamp this week due to his contract situation, according to a source.

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A first-round pick in 2014, Mack is in the final year of his rookie contract. He doesn't want to risk his health in June practices, even if they're mandatory. Mack can be fined for missing these workouts, but the size of the deal he's set to make (likely larger than Von Miller's deal) will make his potential fines (around $85,000) look like nothing. We'll see if the two sides can come together and if Mack can break the bank before the start of the regular season.

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12. CIN - Two expected to compete for backup QB job

Source: Bengals.com - Geoff Hobson

Cincinnati Bengals QBs Jeff Driskel and Matt Barkley are expected to compete for the backup quarterback job during training camp.

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Barkley has more experience and that may give him a leg up in the competition. Driskel is athletic and can make throws on the move with ease, but he's raw and needs to make better decisions with the ball when under duress. He's more interesting in deep dynasty leagues right now because of the unknown surrounding his game.

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13. NO - Marcus Davenport needs surgery

Source: NFL Network - Ian Rapoport

New Orleans Saints DE Marcus Davenport (thumb) suffered a thumb injury that requires surgery, according to sources. He's expected to be back by training camp.

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This injury does not seem to be serious...which is great news for the Saints as they gave up two first-round picks to move up for Davenport in the first round of the 2018 NFL draft.

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14. NE - WR Phillip Dorsett finally comfortable

Source: The Providence Journal - Rich Garven

New England Patriots WR Phillip Dorsett said he has found a 'comfort level' with the offense after having an offseason to run routes and study film.

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Dorsett has tons of speed but he's never put it all together on the field. The Patriots have a packed WR corps, and even with Julian Edelman's four-game suspension we'll see Dorsett have a hard time finding playing time or getting targets.

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15. ARI - Josh Rosen struggling in red zone

Source: AZCardinals.com - Darren Urban

Arizona Cardinals QB Josh Rosen needs to 'take what the defense gives us' in the red zone, according to head coach Steve Wilks.

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Rosen is a bright quarterback, and he may just be trying to do too much in offseason work. He is a quick study and should learn not to make the same mistakes twice.

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That'll do it for today, Folks. Thanks for reading and thanks for being part of Footballguys. We'll see you tomorrow with the Update.

Peace,

J