Footballguys.com

Volume 20, #47 -- Thursday Night, June 7th, 2018

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Howdy Footballguy,

Welcome to Friday. We've got new Content plus the News and Notes you need so let's get to it.

J

SITE NEWS

A. Footballguys Early Bird Discount Ends June 15
Don't miss the steeply discounted Early Bird price for our Footballguys Season Long Pro subscription.

B. What We Learned in 2017: Wide Receiver and Tight End
Our Sigmund Bloom with a look back at 2017 to understand what we learned about the wide receiver and tight end positions in fantasy football, and how to apply that knowledge going forward.

C. ICYMI - What We Learned in 2017: Running Backs
Our Sigmund Bloom with a look back at 2017 to understand what we learned about the running backs in fantasy football, and how to apply that knowledge going forward.

D. ICYMI - What We Learned in 2017: Quarterbacks
Our Sigmund Bloom with a look back at 2017 to understand what we learned about the quarterbacks in fantasy football, and how to apply that knowledge going forward.

INSIDE THIS ISSUE

1. NE - WR Julian Edelman facing suspension

2. NE - WR Julian Edelman's appeal not heard yet

3. IND - QB Andrew Luck close to throwing

4. CLE - RB Duke Johnson receives extension

5. NE - QB Tom Brady unsure about next week

6. BUF - Josh Allen may not move up depth chart

7. KC - WR Tyreek Hill tweaked ankle

8. PIT - QB Ben Roethlisberger back with team

9. NE - WR Kenny Britt sits out

10. MIA - WR Danny Amendola unlikely to be main returner

11. BUF - WR Jeremy Kerley working as slot WR

12. SEA - Seattle anticipates George Fant for camp

13. IND - Nyheim Hines working as top returner

14. WAS - Four to compete for No. 4 WR job

15. TB - More read-option for QB Jameis Winston?

16. CHI - RB Tarik Cohen a jack of all trades

17. MIN - Mike Remmers still at right guard

18. CLE - Denzel Ward promoted

19. NE - Jacob Hollister back on field

20. NYJ - WR Terrelle Pryor may not be ready for camp


1. NE - WR Julian Edelman facing suspension

Source: ESPN - Adam Schefter

New England Patriots WR Julian Edelman has a four-game suspension looming for violating the NFL's substance-abuse policy, according to sources. Edelman has appealed the suspension.

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If he loses this, it's a significant hit to his value. Right now he's projecting as a solid WR3 with upside, depending on how he looks coming back from his ACL injury. This could hurt where he's drafted in fantasy leagues, though, as it could delay his season by a month. Watch his ADP -- currently 69 overall and 28 receiver off the board in the "way too early to be drafting redraft" leagues -- as if it drops he could become a value again as the summer moves on.

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2. NE - WR Julian Edelman's appeal not heard yet

Source: NFL Network - Ian Rapoport

Updating a previous report, New England Patriots WR Julian Edelman has not had the appeal of his impending four-game suspension heard by the NFL at this point.

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As mentioned earlier, if he loses this appeal, it's a significant hit to his value. Without the suspension, he looks like he could be a solid WR3 with upside, depending on how he looks coming back from his ACL injury. If he is suspended to start the season, that's going to push his value down.

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3. IND - QB Andrew Luck close to throwing

Source: The Indianapolis Star - Zak Keefer

Indianapolis Colts QB Andrew Luck (shoulder) is 'real close' to finally throwing a football again, according to head coach Frank Reich. Luck will essentially decide when he does start throwing.

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It's really hard to believe this, as it's something we have heard a bunch and yet it hasn't happened. Even when we see it, he still will need to show confidence in his arm and taking a hit. Add in the continuing issues on offense and Luck is a hard guy to pin down. Right now, he has an ADP of 108 and is the 13 quarterback coming off the board. If you could grab him there, especially as a QB2, you could strike gold if he's healthy, while mitigating risk if he isn't.

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4. CLE - RB Duke Johnson receives extension

Source: NFL Network - Ian Rapoport

Cleveland Browns RB Duke Johnson agreed to terms on a three-year contract extension with the Browns Thursday, June 7, worth $15.6 million, according to a source. The deal includes a $5 million signing bonus.

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A good deal for both the team and Johnson, who had a lot of value as a receiver last season. But with all the receiving talent the Browns have now, Johnson could see reduced targets. Which means his overall production could drop due to lack of receiving yards, which makes his current ADP as the no.41 running back off the board about right for now.

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5. NE - QB Tom Brady unsure about next week

Source: The Athletic - Jeff Howe

New England Patriots QB Tom Brady said he is not sure if he will participate in organized team activities next week.

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Brady isn't a guy we need to see in OTAs, and there aren't so many changes that he needs to get used to his guys. Brady is likely to be one of the top fantasy quarterbacks again this year, whether he is in a pair of shorts and t-shirt next week or not.

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6. BUF - Josh Allen may not move up depth chart

Source: ESPN.com - Mike Rodak

Buffalo Bills head coach Sean McDermott said he is not sure if QB Josh Allen will receive snaps with the first-team or second-team offense during minicamp next week. Allen has been working with the third-team offense during workouts.

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Allen is a work in progress, and this shows the Bills are willing to wait and move him along slowly. That's smart, as he has a lot to learn. The Bills have few reliable weapons for him to throw to, so no matter who is under center in Buffalo, we are avoiding most everyone not named RB LeSean McCoy right now.

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7. KC - WR Tyreek Hill tweaked ankle

Source: KCChiefs.com - B.J. Kissel

Kansas City Chiefs WR Tyreek Hill (ankle) did not practice Thursday, June 7, after twisting his ankle.

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Hill is coming off a very good 2017, but the team lost Alex Smith and gained Sammy Watkins. In place of Smith, the Chiefs have Pat Mahomes, whose arm is promising for Hill's value. It's also worth noting that Sammy Watkins has rarely lived up to his hype and there's nothing to indicate that changing much in Kansas City. We think Hill is safe as a solid WR2 with a lot of upside, and worth his current ADP of 26 overall off the board, and definitely worth considering at his receiver ADP of 10.

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8. PIT - QB Ben Roethlisberger back with team

Source: The Athletic - Mark Kaboly

Pittsburgh Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger participated in organized team activities Wednesday, June 6.

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Mandatory minicamp is coming up, but Roethlisberger isn't going to miss any more action. He said he missed the last several workouts because of a pre-planned vacation.

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9. NE - WR Kenny Britt sits out

Source: NESN.com - Doug Kyed

New England Patriots WR Kenny Britt (hamstring) did not participate in practice Wednesday, June 6, after he suffered an apparent hamstring injury Tuesday, June 5.

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Britt has the size/speed combination that makes fantasy owners drool...but he's also got a track record of getting banged up and not quite playing up to his potential. We'll see if that can change in 2018.

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10. MIA - WR Danny Amendola unlikely to be main returner

Source: The Miami Herald - Armando Salguero

Miami Dolphins WR Danny Amendola likely will be used as a situational punt returner for the Dolphins this season, according to special teams coordinator Darren Rizzi.

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Jakeem Grant is the team's main return man in 2018. Amendola could easily do that in a pinch, but the team may use him more as a receiver than some think. We'll see how he gels with his new team and his new QB Ryan Tannehill.

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11. BUF - WR Jeremy Kerley working as slot WR

Source: WKBW.com - Joe Buscaglia

Buffalo Bills WR Jeremy Kerley has been lining up as the slot receiver with the first-team offense during organized team activities. He's been a 'firm fit' so far and should have a leg up for this spot, with his 'primary sources of competition' coming from rookie WRs Austin Proehl and Ray-Ray McCloud.

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This is Kerley's natural position, and at this point in his career, likely what he is best capable of. Kelvin Benjamin is inconsistent and Zay Jones will be coming off surgery, so this could be a productive year for him in PPR leagues. Our expectations are super low, however, given this is a run first offense and the quarterback situation is foggy. Don't draft him, but keep an ear out for the buzz out of camp.

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12. SEA - Seattle anticipates George Fant for camp

Source: The Seattle Times - Bob Condotta

Seattle Seahawks OT George Fant (knee) is expected to be ready to go for training camp. He's capable of taking part in activities right now, according to head coach Pete Carroll, but there's no need to rush him back.

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The Seattle offensive line needs help, and getting Fant back will be a big step forward, but there is still a long way to go. Russell Wilson has done magic without a decent line, and we are excited to see what he can do with a competent one.

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13. IND - Nyheim Hines working as top returner

Source: The Indianapolis Star - Zak Keefer

Indianapolis Colts RB Nyheim Hines worked as the No. 1 kick returner during organized team activities Thursday, June 7.

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A speedy, versatile back, Hines is someone to watch. There are a lot of ways his career can go right now, and with just Marlon Mack (who garnered only a 3.9 yards per carry average last season) ahead of him, Hines could see more carries than expected. At the very least, he can be a third down back and potentially a flex play for Fantasy GMs.

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14. WAS - Four to compete for No. 4 WR job

Source: NBCSportsWashington.com - Rich Tandler

Washington Redskins WRs Trey Quinn, Maurice Harris, Brian Quick and Robert Davis will be competing for the No. 4 wide receiver job during training camp but none of the players are guaranteed making the 53-man roster.

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Similarly, there's no guarantee the No. 4 receiver on Washington will be worth a fantasy roster spot. It's worth keeping an eye on in case someone pops this summer, but more than likely this camp battle is not going to produce anything special.

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15. TB - More read-option for QB Jameis Winston?

Source: PewterReport.com

Tampa Bay Buccaneers QB Jameis Winston could be running some more read-option plays in 2018, according to head coach Dirk Koetter.

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It's smart for the Buccaneers to take advantage of his mobility and it's not as unusual as it used to be anymore. He had injury issues last year, which is the only thing that makes this particular move risky. As for Fantasy GMs, Winston's turnovers and red zone struggles from last season are the bigger issue and keep him from a higher spot than his current ADP of 17 quarterback off the board.

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16. CHI - RB Tarik Cohen a jack of all trades

Source: Chicago Sun-Times - Mark Potash

Chicago Bears RB Tarik Cohen's versatility gives the Bears a dynamic playmaker on offense. He will be used as a running back, wide receiver and even a pass-blocker. Head coach Matt Nagy said Cohen still has a lot to learn, but he has a lot to learn because Chicago plans on using him in a variety of ways. In addition to his running back duties, Cohen said he has lined up on the outside and in the slot as a receiver and has practiced on special teams. 'I feel like this is the offense for me.'

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He's going to have to go a long way to top what we expect from Jordan Howard, though he did take a lot of Howard's receptions last season. That said, Cohen's overall production was sporadic. His versatility at least gives him an interesting role as a flex option in fantasy leagues.

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17. MIN - Mike Remmers still at right guard

Source: Minneapolis Star Tribune - Andrew Krammer

Minnesota Vikings OT Mike Remmers continued to play at right guard in organized team activities this week. The team likes him there with OT Rashod Hill at right tackle.

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The Vikings aren't content to sit on their laurels and will continue to improve their offensive line, sometimes shifting guys around to see what works. It's all about protecting a very expensive Kirk Cousins, and if they can build on last year, he could make them very dangerous.

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18. CLE - Denzel Ward promoted

Source: The Cleveland Plain Dealer - Mary Kay Cabot

Cleveland Browns CB Denzel Ward worked with the first-team defense during organized team activities Tuesday, June 5. He was working with the second-team defense last week,

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It didn't take long for Ward to rise up the charts. The no.4 overall pick in the 2018 NFL draft, Ward is a smaller corner with quickness and plenty of make-up speed. We'll see if he can impress as a rookie in 2018.

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19. NE - Jacob Hollister back on field

Source: NESN.com - Doug Kyed

New England Patriots TE Jacob Hollister (undisclosed) returned to practice Wednesday, June 6, after he missed practice Tuesday, June 5, because of a minor injury.

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Super deep dynasty owners need to take note here. Hollister was a weapon for Wyoming QB Josh Allen in college a couple of years ago. The Patriots groomed him last year behind Rob Gronkowski, and Hollister is the type of player who can create mismatches due to his athleticism down the middle seam. We'll be watching his progress closely in super deep dynasty leagues.

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20. NYJ - WR Terrelle Pryor may not be ready for camp

Source: ESPNNewYork.com - Rich Cimini

Updating a previous report, New York Jets WR Terrelle Pryor's (ankle) availability for the start of training camp is uncertain because of recent arthroscopic ankle surgery, according to head coach Todd Bowles.

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This was the thought when Pryor had to have this recent ankle surgery. Pryor is trying to bounce back with a new team after a disastrous 2017 with Washington. The Jets are a bit jam packed at the WR position, so finding a chance to get snaps and earn targets may be difficult.

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That'll do it for today, Folks. Thanks for reading and thanks for being part of Footballguys. We'll see you tomorrow with the Update.

Peace,

J