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Footballguys.com

Volume 20, #44 -- Monday Night, June 4th, 2018

Note: Unsubscribe instructions are at the bottom of this emailView in Web Browser

Hi Footballguy,

Good Tuesday to you. Things are heating up just like the weather and we've got new content for you plus the News and Notes.

Let's do this.

J

SITE NEWS

A. Know Your League
Sorry - I had an error for the link to this in yesterday's email. Our Dave Larkin speaks to Footballguys staff members to glean insights on how you can use your fellow leaguemates' tendencies against them. It's advanced stuff but that's the kind of people who read this.

B. Value Plays: Quarterbacks - FBG Staff
Some of the best content we do all year is our Value Plays series. We ask the Footballguys staff for the players they see as Overvalued and Undervalued and as Deep Sleepers. In this one, the Footballguys Staff talk QBs they see as undervalued.

C. Overvalued Players: Quarterbacks - FBG Staff
Some of the best content we do all year is our Value Plays series. We ask the Footballguys staff for the players they see as Overvalued and Undervalued and as Deep Sleepers. In this one, the Footballguys Staff talk QBs they see as overvalued.

D. Deep Sleepers: Quarterbacks - FBG Staff
Some of the best content we do all year is our Value Plays series. We ask the Footballguys staff for the players they see as Overvalued and Undervalued and as Deep Sleepers. In this one, the Footballguys Staff talk QBs they see as deep sleepers.

E. NFC South - Backfield Study
Our Sigmund Bloom takes a look at NFC South backfield productivity, volume, and efficiency numbers in 2017 and how to use that data in 2018 drafts.

F. Best Of The Internet - The Biggest Risk Each Team Is Taking In 2018
One of the things I want to experiment with is calling out great articles I see outside of Footballguys. You guys let me know if you think this is useful. This one caught my attention Monday for the interesting angle. It's from our friend Justis Mosqueda and it's excellent. Justis takes a look at each team and the biggest risk they're taking as they head into the season. Let me know if you'd like to see more of this type of thing.

INSIDE THIS ISSUE

1. NYG - Odell Beckham absent Monday

2. MIA - QB Ryan Tannehill moving well

3. MIA - WR DeVante Parker playing the part

4. CLE - OLB Mychal Kendricks lands one-year deal

5. IND - WR T.Y. Hilton still a deep threat

6. NYJ - WR Quincy Enunwa strictly a WR now?

7. NYJ - RB Isaiah Crowell to bring physicality

8. SEA - WR Brandon Marshall being eased in

9. LAR - DE Aaron Donald may hold up other contract talks

10. DEN - OLB Shane Ray back for camp?

11. DEN - OLB Von Miller misses OTAs

12. DEN - De'Angelo Henderson misses practice

13. CLE - Nick Chubb signs contract

14. DEN - WR Demaryius Thomas, WR Emmanuel Sanders absent

15. GB - WR Davante Adams practicing

16. GB - OLB Clay Matthews likely to have surgery

17. DET - Wes Saxton signs with Lions

18. CHI - TE Zach Miller signs split deal

19. LAC - Justin Jackson putting in the work

20. GB - Jaire Alexander could be nickel back

21. WAS - Da'Ron Payne with first-team defense

22. CHI - Roquan Smith likely will start


1. NYG - Odell Beckham absent Monday

Source: ESPN.com - Jordan Raanan

New York Giants WR Odell Beckham Jr. was not present for organized team activities Monday, June 4, but head coach Pat Shurmur said he expects Beckham to report for the mandatory minicamp.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

The workouts are voluntary, and Beckham was present for earlier OTAs. The mandatory minicamp workouts next week will not be missed. Beckham wants a new contract but he's been showing up for most workouts in a good faith move. We'll see if the Giants can find a way to pay the man...likely with a deal that makes him the highest paid WR in the league.

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2. MIA - QB Ryan Tannehill moving well

Source: Palm Beach Post - Joe Schad

Miami Dolphins QB Ryan Tannehill's (knee) mobility is already up to par and he has been converting numerous unscheduled plays, according to Miami coaches.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

Tannehill ditched the knee brace some time ago, and the Dolphins are moving forward with him as the clear-cut starter. However, 2018 is a make-or-break season for Tannehill and he needs to not only play up to his old standard but create new ideas about his potential upside if he continues as the team's starter past this season.

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3. MIA - WR DeVante Parker playing the part

Source: Palm Beach Post - Joe Schad

Miami Dolphins WR DeVante Parker has been putting in the time and work this offseason in an effort to finally break out. Coaches said few if any players have spent more time at the team facility than Parker. Specifically, more focus has been placed on studying film and managing his health.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

Parker needs to stay healthy in order to reach the potential we keep hearing about year in and year out. He's a boom/bust wide receiver that fantasy owners are taking at WR41 (9.04) in 12-team PPR leagues.

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4. CLE - OLB Mychal Kendricks lands one-year deal

Source: NFL Network - Ian Rapoport

Updating previous reports, free-agent LB Mychal Kendricks (Eagles) agreed to a one-year deal with the Cleveland Browns that could be worth more than $3 million.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

There was some conflicting reports to this signing initially but it's a done deal. Browns defensive coordinator Gregg Williams will now have a versatile player added to the middle of his defense. Kendricks wanted more playing time, and that's why he asked the Eagles to be traded or released. He'll likely get more playing time with his new team.

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5. IND - WR T.Y. Hilton still a deep threat

Source: Colts.com - Andrew Walker

Indianapolis Colts WR T.Y. Hilton will still have opportunities to make plays down the field in head coach Frank Reich's fast-paced offense. 'A lot of jabs, stick and move, and then here comes the big punch,' Reich said. 'And when you keep them off-balance with the jab and you set up the big one.'

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

Things are looking up for the Colts passing game in 2018...if QB Andrew Luck returns to form. Last year, Hilton ranked 20th in the league with a 13.15 air-yards-per-attempt average but he was 4th in the NFL with 16.95 yards per catch. Fantasy owners are selecting Hilton at WR14 (3.09) in 12-team PPR leagues.

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6. NYJ - WR Quincy Enunwa strictly a WR now?

Source: ESPNNewYork.com - Rich Cimini

New York Jets WR Quincy Enunwa said he 'definitely' considers himself a wide receiver now after being used in the slot, out wide and as a tight end in 2016.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

A neck injury knocked Enunwa out for the 2017 season. He's healthy and back in action now for the Jets, and clearly Enunwa wants to play as a wide receiver. Fantasy owners aren't in love with the Jets passing game, nor should they be. Even if he posts the numbers that led the Jets in receiving in 2016 (58 catches, 857 yards, four touchdowns), Enunwa is only a WR5 option from a fantasy lens. There are much more exciting options out there.

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7. NYJ - RB Isaiah Crowell to bring physicality

Source: ESPNNewYork.com - Rich Cimini

New York Jets RB Isaiah Crowell was called a 'pound-it back' by head coach Todd Bowles, and Bowles said Crowell reminds him of a younger version of retired RB Matt Forte.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

Crowell is there to grind down the defense, and he should be the primary ball carrier for the Jets in 2018. Behind Crowell, guys like Eli McGuire and Bilal Powell will compete to be third-down options. He's got a current ADP of RB39 (8.06) in 12-team PPR leagues.

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8. SEA - WR Brandon Marshall being eased in

Source: The Seattle Times - Bob Condotta

Seattle Seahawks WR Brandon Marshall has been seeing limited reps during OTAs but is expected to gradually increase his activity in the coming weeks.

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Marshall has recovered from the surgeries (toe, ankle) that he had last year. The Seahawks don't need to push him right now as they prepare the team for training camp in August.

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9. LAR - DE Aaron Donald may hold up other contract talks

Source: NFL Network - Ian Rapoport

The Los Angeles Rams may not address other contract situations, such as RB Todd Gurley or WR Brandin Cooks, until it has addressed DT Aaron Donald's contract.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

Donald should hold up other contract talks because he's first in line for a new deal. He's been skipping voluntary OTAs as he waits for a new deal to be hammered out. Donald is scheduled to make $6.892 million in the final year of his rookie deal. We'll see if the Rams can get something done for Donald...and for them to move on to other contract situations.

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10. DEN - OLB Shane Ray back for camp?

Source: NFL Network - James Palmer

Updating a previous report, Denver Broncos LB Shane Ray's (wrist) goal is to be ready for training camp, according to head coach Vance Joseph.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

Ray is dealing with swelling and soreness and will take it easy until camp, but he is expected to be fine. It's the same wrist that caused Ray to miss half of last season.

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11. DEN - OLB Von Miller misses OTAs

Source: 9News.com - Mike Klis

Denver Broncos LB Von Miller (undisclosed) did not participate in organized team activities Monday, June 4.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

After a humiliating 5-11 season in 2017, one would hope Miller had 100 percent attendance but this is voluntary work. Miller said nothing is wrong and that he would attend OTAs Tuesday, June 5.

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12. DEN - De'Angelo Henderson misses practice

Source: 9News.com - Mike Klis

Denver Broncos RB De'Angelo Henderson (oblique) did not participate in organized team activities Monday, June 4, because of a slight oblique strain.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

Henderson was getting some first-team reps in OTAs. A compact back (5'7" 208 pounds), Henderson didn't do much as a rookie as he was inactive for most of the season. Royce Freeman and Devontae Booker are likely the top two backs to compete for the starting job in 2018 but Henderson is a bit of a sleeper to keep an eye on in the preseason.

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13. CLE - Nick Chubb signs contract

Source: The Cleveland Plain Dealer - Mary Kay Cabot

Cleveland Browns second-round draft choice RB Nick Chubb signed a four-year deal with the Browns Monday, June 4, worth around $7.432 million.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

Chubb is one of the most natural runners to come out of college football. He has an excellent feel for the game, running with a blend of balance and power. A devastating knee injury during his sophomore season held him back for the Georgia Bulldogs, but in 2017 he did show flashes of his earlier days and that's a good sign of things to come. Chubb is competing with Carlos Hyde to be the starting back (with Duke Johnson mixing in as a change-of-pace back). We love Chubb in dynasty formats.

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14. DEN - WR Demaryius Thomas, WR Emmanuel Sanders absent

Source: The Athletic - Nicki Jhabvala

Denver Broncos WRs Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders were not present for organized team activities Monday, June 4.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

According to head coach Vance Joseph, both Thomas and Sanders had personal matters to attend to. The Broncos drafted two WRs this year that dynasty owners should be excited about. Both Courtland Sutton and DaeSean Hamilton have the makings of solid NFL players who could perhaps have star potential in the future. Thomas and Sanders are the top two wideouts for now, but Sutton and Hamilton are clearly being groomed to take over (perhaps in 2019?).

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15. GB - WR Davante Adams practicing

Source: ESPN.com - Rob Demovsky

Green Bay Packers WR Davante Adams (hamstring) is participating in organized team activities Monday, June 4.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

Good news for the Packers here. Adams missed the first two weeks of workouts because of a hamstring injury. Without Jordy Nelson (Raiders), we should see Adams have a breakout year in 2018 if healthy. Fantasy owners are drafting him at WR7 (2.06) in 12-team PPR leagues.

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16. GB - OLB Clay Matthews likely to have surgery

Source: ESPN.com - Rob Demovsky

Green Bay Packers LB Clay Matthews (nose) is expected to undergo surgery on his broken nose at some point this week.

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Matthews broke his nose at a charity softball game. He'll be ready for the start of training camp.

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17. DET - Wes Saxton signs with Lions

Source: DetroitLions.com

Free-agent TE Wes Saxton (Bills) signed an undisclosed deal with the Detroit Lions Monday, June 4.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

Undrafted out of South Alabama in 2015, Saxton has bounced around to a few different teams. The Lions added Luke Willson this offseason and he should compete with Levine Toilolo and second-year pro Michael Roberts to be the lead tight end. Saxton is just trying to make the 53-man roster.

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18. CHI - TE Zach Miller signs split deal

Source: ProFootballTalk.com - Mike Florio

Free-agent TE Zach Miller (Bears) re-signed with the Chicago Bears on a one-year, split contract, according to a source.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

Miller (knee) is unlikely to be able to play again after a knee injury nearly led to amputation. He'll receive $458,000 if he doesn't play and $790,000 if he does. He's undergone nine surgeries to repair his knee, and we'd be shocked if he ever played again. A classy move by the Bears here as Miller doesn't want to yet be done playing the game.

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19. LAC - Justin Jackson putting in the work

Source: Chargers.com - Chris Hayre

Los Angeles Chargers RB Justin Jackson has been spending as much time as possible on the field during OTAs, and he has been working closely with RB Melvin Gordon.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

That's exciting news for dynasty owners out there. Jackson, the rookie from Northwestern, is competing for a spot on the depth chart behind Gordon. He's a jack of all trades at 199 pounds and was the model of consistency in college for the Wildcats. We'll see if he can impress when training camp and the preseason rolls around.

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20. GB - Jaire Alexander could be nickel back

Source: ESPN.com - Rob Demovsky

Green Bay Packers CB Jaire Alexander likely will not be one of the starting outside cornerbacks but has a solid chance to be the nickel back in 2018, in the opinion of ESPN.com's Rob Demovsky.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

Alexander played at left corner, right corner and in the slot corner during his college career at Louisville. He's got the ball skills to make plays on the pass in the air and has a knack for knocking the ball away at the right moment. He was described as a 'spark plug' for the Louisville defense by some in the scouting community, and Alexander regularly drew praise from his coaches in college. If healthy (five games started in 2017), Alexander should be able to contribute immediately for the Packers.

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21. WAS - Da'Ron Payne with first-team defense

Source: ESPN.com - John Keim

Washington Redskins DT Da'Ron Payne has been working as the starting nose tackle during organized team activities.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

Payne should be starting for Washington sooner rather than later. The 13th overall pick in the 2018 NFL draft, Payne has a rare blend of size, strength and athleticism. At 6'2" 311 pounds, Payne controls the middle of the line but he can get penetration if tasked to do so.

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22. CHI - Roquan Smith likely will start

Source: ESPNChicago.com - Jeff Dickerson

Chicago Bears LB Roquan Smith has received some snaps with the starting defense during organized team activities and likely will be one of the starting linebackers when the regular season begins.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

Smith was one of the more intimidating first-round prospects in the 2018 NFL draft. He can roam the field as an enforcer against the run, plus he's got the nose for the ball that helps him in coverage. It won't take long for Smith to be a starter.

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That'll do it for today, Folks. Thanks for reading and thanks for being part of the Footballguys Family. We'll see you tomorrow with the Update.

Peace,

J