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Footballguys #104 - 8/3 - Doug Baldwin News, Brandin Cooks A Recipe for Success? plus News and Notes and MORE

Volume 20, #104 -- Friday Night, August 3rd, 2018

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Howdy Folks,

Welcome to the weekend. We've got another big day of content for you plus all the tools and lists are updated. Plus the News and Notes you need.

Let's go.

J

SITE NEWS

A. When Is Your Most Important Draft?
Quick Twitter Poll today. You ARE following me on Twitter aren't you?... I ask the simple question, When Is Your Most Important Draft? . Cast your vote and let us know.

B. FREE FEATURE - Is Brandin Cooks A Recipe for Success?
Our Jason Wood with a detailed examination of Brandin Cooks fantasy prospects in 2018.

C. Leonard Fournette: A High Floor and Hidden Upside
Our Dan Hindery with a detailed look at Leonard Fournette's fantasy prospects for 2018.

D. Average Draft Position Data Updated
It's not enough to know where you want to draft a player. You need to know where other owners are likely to draft a player. Our Average Draft Position Data knows.

E. Average Draft Position Data For PPR Updated
It's not enough to know where you want to draft a player. You need to know where other owners are likely to draft a player. Our Average Draft Position Data knows.

F. Top 300 Updated
The Top 300 Players. Coming in Hot.

G. Top 300 For PPR Updated
The Top 300 Players for PPR scoring. Coming in Hot.

H. Draft List Updated
The Top 300 is great. But the Draft List is more reflective of how we'd actually draft.

I. Draft List For PPR Updated
The Top 300 is great. But the Draft List is more reflective of how we'd actually draft. This one is for PPR scoring.


1. SEA - WR Doug Baldwin should be ready for Week 1

Source: Seahawks.com - John Boyle

Seattle Seahawks WR Doug Baldwin (knee) is in no danger of missing the regular-season opener against the Denver Broncos on Sept. 9, according to head coach Pete Carroll.

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That's reassuring, but Baldwin sitting through camp and most if not all of the preseason indicates that something isn't right, and as the season goes on, it could become a problem that limits his effectiveness, if not sidelines him again. It's difficult to be excited about drafting Baldwin in the third round with thing marring his outlook.

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2. IND - QB Andrew Luck to play in preseason opener

Source: SI.com - Albert Breer

Indianapolis Colts QB Andrew Luck is expected to play with the starters for about a quarter in the preseason opener versus the Seattle Seahawks, according to head coach Frank Reich.

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This is much better than anyone would have projected when Luck wasn't throwing a regulation football yet in the spring. If he doesn't have any setbacks, Luck should be good to go for Week 1 against Cincinnati and he's looking like a value at his current ADP.

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3. PHI - QB Carson Wentz still out of team reps

Source: NFL Network - Mike Garafolo

Philadelphia Eagles QB Carson Wentz (knee) remains out of 11-on-11 drills Friday, Aug. 3, as the team wants him in more controlled environments. It's the fifth day in a row he has been limited.

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Wentz appeared to have fewer limitations earlier in camp. Hopefully this isn't a sign of a setback. The team and Wentz hasn't said anything that indicates that it is, or that this wasn't part of the plan. We'll monitor this closely.

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4. NE - WR Kenny Britt takes part in practice

Source: NFL.com - Kevin Patra

New England Patriots WR Kenny Britt (hamstring) passed his physical Friday, Aug. 3, and participated in practice. He started the season on the Physically Unable to Perform list.

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Britt has an opportunity to win the #2 outside receiver job and maybe even have fantasy relevance while Julian Edelman is out.

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5. DET - Kerryon Johnson holding up in pass protection

Source: The Athletic - Chris Burke

Detroit Lions RB Kerryon Johnson has shown well in pass protection throughout training camp, according to Chris Burke of The Athletic.

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Johnson is shining as a three-down back and might accelerate the Lions plans to feature him in the backfield. He has done nothing but add to his redraft and dynasty stock this summer.

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6. DET - RB Ameer Abdullah standing out

Source: NFL Network - Tom Pelissero

Detroit Lions RB Ameer Abdullah has caught the eye of OG T.J. Lang, who told NFL Network's Tom Pelissero that Abdullah has been the most impressive running back in camp so far.

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Abdullah and Theo Riddick are probably battling for snaps and touches in the Detroit offense, which means it's possible that neither are worth a roster spot in fantasy leagues this year without injury striking the Lions backfield. Abdullah is still worth holding in dynasty leagues in the hopes that next year his second team will use him more effectively.

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7. NE - RB Jeremy Hill in position to make team

Source: NESN.com - Doug Kyed

New England Patriots RB Jeremy Hill is more likely to make the team as the final running back over RB Mike Gillislee (undisclosed) due to durability concerns, according to NESN's Doug Kyed.

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Gillislee also failed last year in the role that he's trying to win. Sony Michel, James White, and Rex Burkhead's value would be better off if neither makes the team. If Hill does make the team, he'll have matchup value in deep leagues, assuming he gets the majority of the goal line carries - which was a strength of his game in Cincinnati.

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8. DEN - QB Paxton Lynch, Chad Kelly struggling?

Source: ESPN.com - Jeff Legwold

The Denver Broncos could look into signing a veteran backup if QBs Paxton Lynch and Chad Kelly don't start showing more in training camp, according to ESPN's Jeff Legwold.

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Lynch hasn't developed after being a first round pick, and Kelly looks like a Mr. Irrelevant in his first healthy camp. The Broncos aren't the only team in need of an upgrade at backup quarterback.

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9. PHI - Dallas Goedert keeps shining in red zone

Source: NBC Sports Philadelphia - Reuben Frank

Philadelphia Eagles TE Dallas Goedert appears ready to make an 'enormous impact in the red zone,' according to Reuben Frank of NBC Sports Philadelphia.

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This could hurt Zach Ertz's chances of reproducing his 2017 because it was built on a spike in touchdowns with the same yards and catches he usually posts. Goedert could even be the rare fantasy impact rookie tight end if Ertz misses time.

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10. WAS - WR Maurice Harris impressing coach

Source: The Washington Post - Kimberley A. Martin

Washington Redskins WR Maurice Harris is a 'very quarterback-friendly,' receiver, according to head coach Jay Gruden. 'He's got strong hands and he's probably our best route-runner on our team,' Gruden said.

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Harris made one of the catches of the year in 2017, and he projects well as a backup to Paul Richardson in the deep passing game that Alex Smith made productive in Kansas City last year. If Richardson misses time, we could be talking about Harris as a waiver wire pickup this year.

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11. JAX - RB Leonard Fournette in better condition

Source: Jaguars.com - John Oehser

Jacksonville Jaguars RB Leonard Fournette said he is already feeling the benefits of playing lighter and showing more consistent burst.

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That should keep him producing all through the playoffs this year. Fournette is rated as one of the top running backs for the season and is going off the board in the top ten for fantasy drafts. We expect a very productive year from him.

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12. CLE - WR Jarvis Landry the top target

Source: The Cleveland Plain Dealer - Mary Kay Cabot

Cleveland Browns WR Jarvis Landry has become the 'go-to guy' for QB Tyrod Taylor, according to Mary Kay Cabot of the Cleveland Plain Dealer, and Cabot said Landry has had an 'amazing' training camp.

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Josh Gordon is not in camp and Corey Coleman has a lot to prove, and those two factors, along with the money they paid Landry all point towards this. We expect Taylor to be solid, if unspectacular, and Landry should benefit. He's currently going off the board as the 25th receiver, and we think he could be a value at that price. The Browns won't be the Greatest Show on Turf or anything, but people may be overlooking the fantasy value this unit has the potential for.

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13. SEA - WR Brandon Marshall a full go

Source: Seahawks.com - John Boyle

Seattle Seahawks WR Brandon Marshall (hamstring) participated in team drills Thursday, Aug. 2, for the first time since training camp began. 'I'm still trying to get there in midseason form,' Marshall said. 'I have time, but today felt good and it reminded me that I can play some ball.'

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With Doug Baldwin out, Marshall could be a factor, but he fell off the map even before he was injured last season. We're not excited about much in this offense beyond Baldwin or Russell Wilson, and Marshall is no different. Consider him as no more than a flier.

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14. NYJ - RB Isaiah Crowell to be busy?

Source: ESPNNewYork.com - Rich Cimini

New York Jets RB Isaiah Crowell is going to be a 'big factor' in the offense, in the opinion of Rich Cimini of ESPNNewYork.com.

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He's going to be someone they lean on, and he has gotten goal line work in camp, but the Jets are not an offense which excites us, and likely won't spend a ton of time in the red zone. Crowell has the capability to be better than 36th off the board -- his current ADP -- but we don't see that happening much this year, with this offense still being built.

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15. HOU - WR Braxton Miller making progress

Source: Houston Chronicle - Aaron Wilson

Houston Texans WR Braxton Miller has made a lot of progress at receiver since entering the NFL, according to head coach Bill O'Brien. O'Brien said the team wants to see continued improvement from Miller moving forward.

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Miller will have a golden opportunity over the next few weeks while fourth-round pick and his main competition Keke Coutee is out with a hamstring injury. A consistent strong performance will go a long way in his bid to have a role in this offense, or even just make the roster.

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16. CLE - CB Terrance Mitchell on field with starters

Source: The Cleveland Plain Dealer - Mary Kay Cabot

Cleveland Browns CB Terrance Mitchell worked with the first-team defense opposite CB Denzel Ward during the team's scrimmage Friday, Aug. 3.

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The Browns will have a rookie on one side and a corner that might not start for many teams on the other. Unless their pass rush is among the league's best, this pass defense could struggle this year and be a target once again when setting fantasy lineups.

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17. JAX - WR Donte Moncrief a full participant

Source: The Florida Times-Union - John Reid

Jacksonville Jaguars WR Donte Moncrief (knee) will be a full participant during practice Friday, Aug. 3. Moncrief has been limited lately because of a knee injury.

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Hopefully Moncrief can stay on the field now. Injuries have held back his development and they could hamper his bid to be a productive starting receiver for the Jaguars and earn a good contract next year.

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18. JAX - Calf injury for DE Calais Campbell

Source: FirstCoastNews.com

Jacksonville Jaguars DE Calais Campbell (calf) is not participating in practice Friday, Aug. 3, because of a calf injury.

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There are no indications that this is anything but a minor injury. In the meantime, first-round pick Taven Bryan will get more work at defensive end with the first team.

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19. MIA - Torry McTyer in lead for CB job

Source: The Miami Herald - Armando Salguero

Miami Dolphins CB Torry McTyer is currently the leading candidate for the starting job opposite CB Xavien Howard, according to head coach Adam Gase.

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Howard is turning into one of the league's newest shutdown corners, but the Dolphins will be starting a question mark on the opposite side, something to keep in mind when we set our lineups and plan our DFS weeks in 2018.

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20. BUF - DE Shaq Lawson moving around

Source: WKBW.com - Joe Buscaglia

Buffalo Bills DE Shaq Lawson has been lining up at defensive end during offseason workouts but has also worked as a defensive tackle on third-down situations.

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The Bills are hoping to harvest some of the first-round investment they made in Lawson back in 2016. If the team is competitive this year, the defense will have to be the unit that keeps them in games.

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21. SF - 'Concern' about injury to Josh Garnett

Source: NBC Sports Bay Area - Matt Maiocco

San Francisco 49ers OG Josh Garnett (knee) is getting a second opinion on his knee, and head coach Kyle Shanahan admitted there was 'concern' in regards to the seriousness of his condition. Garnett banged knees during practice Saturday, July 28, and has been unable to practice since.

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It looks like Laken Tomlinson will man one guard position, but the other is up in the air with Garnett's injury, Jonathan Cooper still getting back into shape, and Mike Person providing solid reps in their stead. Whoever wins the job, they will be tested against the Vikings in Week 1.

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22. SF - CB Richard Sherman leaves practice early

Source: ESPN.com - Nick Wagoner

San Francisco 49ers CB Richard Sherman (hamstring) went down hard while in coverage during the early portion of practice and did not return Friday, Aug. 3. Head coach Kyle Shanahan told reporters afterwards Sherman is dealing with hamstring tightness.

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Sherman is far from a sure thing to return to his old form after tearing his achilles last year. The hamstring tightness could be an issue related to getting back into shape after a long layoff. The 49ers decision to move Jimmie Ward to corner looks wiser in light of this development.

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23. MIA - Mike Gesicki 'playing fast'

Source: Florida Football Insiders

Miami Dolphins TE Mike Gesicki is 'playing fast,' according to head coach Adam Gase.

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Gesicki didn't stand out in the spring and had a slow start to camp, but the tide is turning. It's difficult for rookie tight ends to have fantasy relevance, but Gase turned Julius Thomas into a fantasy wonder, and Gesicki could be the #1 red zone target.

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24. JAX - DJ Chark making a strong impression

Source: The Florida Times-Union - Phillip Heilman

Jacksonville Jaguars WR DJ Chark has shown dependable hands and looked comfortable pretty much wherever the coaching staff has lined him up during training camp, according to Philip Heilman of The Florida Times-Union.

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The Jaguars have five receivers who can all play solid roles in the offense this year, and at least three who can be deep threats. While it's not good for predicting weekly projections among the receiver group, it could be a boon for Blake Bortles. Chark is more of a dynasty stash right now, but if Donte Moncrief and Marqise Lee can't stay healthy, he could be a waiver wire pickup this season.

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25. DEN - Courtland Sutton locking up third WR spot

Source: NFL Network - James Palmer

Denver Broncos WR Courtland Sutton is making at least one highlight-reel catch every practice and 'is the third receiver on this team ... it's not even a competition and everybody knows it,' according to NFL Network's James Palmer.

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Sutton could help Case Keenum's value, but if he is strong #3, that will take the edge off of Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders' upside this season. Both are still being discounted from the poor quarterback play the team has suffered through the last two years, so they might still be good values even with the emergence of Sutton.

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26. DAL - WR Cole Beasley standing out

Source: ESPNDallas.com - Todd Archer

Dallas Cowboys WR Cole Beasley has been the best receiver in camp and one of the best players overall so far, according to ESPN's Todd Archer.

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The experiment to put Beasley outside sometimes might be bearing fruit, but if this is true, then it increases the chances that no Cowboys receiver will be consistently relevant in fantasy leagues this year.

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27. TB - Justin Watson could help in red zone

Source: Buccaneers.com - Scott Smith

Tampa Bay Buccaneers WR Justin Watson 'looks capable of being a red zone weapon,' according to Scott Smith of Bucanners.com.

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Watson won't be fantasy relevant this year, but he should make the team as the fifth receiver and could be as high as the third receiver by next year. He's a viable deep dynasty stash.

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28. TB - WR Chris Godwin earning more looks?

Source: Buccaneers.com - Scott Smith

Tampa Bay Buccaneers WR Chris Godwin has been excellent in training camp, according to Scott Smith of Buccaneers.com, and Smith believes Godwin's play could force the coaching staff to find 'new ways to increase his snap total.'

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Godwin is making DeSean Jackson unworthy of a draft pick in typical fantasy leagues, and he might even start to cut into Mike Evans' ceiling. He should be on your late round target list.

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29. WAS - RB Rob Kelley slimmed down

Source: The Washington Post - Kimberley A. Martin

Washington Redskins RB Rob Kelley said he is playing faster now that his weight is down to 221 pounds this season.

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Kelley is battling Samaje Perine to be the #2 back behind Derrius Guice in the early down offense. If he is faster, he'll likely win the competition, and maybe even make Perine a surprise cut.

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30. JAX - WR Dede Westbrook making some noise

Source: Jaguars.com - John Oehser

Jacksonville Jaguars WR Dede Westbrook continues to 'flash' during training camp, according to John Oehser of Jaguars.com.

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Blake Bortles gave Westbrook a lot of work on third down last season, and the then-rookie responded. The Jaguars receiving corps is in a state of flux this year, with Allen Hurns and Allen Robinson gone, and there is room for Westbrook to make some noise. His wide receiver ADP is hovering in the 60s right now, and we wouldn't kill ourselves to grab him earlier, but he's worth watching.

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That'll do it for today, Folks. Thanks for reading and thanks for being part of Footballguys. We'll see you tomorrow with the Update.

Peace,

J