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Volume 19, #60 -- Wednesday Night, June 21st, 2017

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Hi Folks,

Good Thursday to you. Another big day for Fantasy Football articles plus the News and Notes you need. Let's get to it.

J

SITE NEWS

A. The Decade's Most Consistent Fantasy Running Backs
Our Matt Waldman with a list of the most consistently high-performing fantasy running backs since 2007 and its 2017 implications.

B. Defensive Line Tiers
Our Jene Bramel with updated tiers and strategy on how to approach the defensive line position.

C. Projecting 2017 Fantasy Football Title Winners: Running Backs
Our Chad Parsons examines the 2017 running backs most likely to fuel fantasy football championships.

D. Player Spotlight: LB Haason Reddick
Our Footballguys Players Spotlights feature an in depth look at a player's prospects for this season. Our Dave Larkin breaks down LB Haason Reddick in this one.

E. Follow Footballguys On Instagram
Yup, I'm on Instagram with Footballguys. Fun pictures and good discussion. You guys guide me there with the comments as to what you'd like to see.


1. OAK - QB Derek Carr close to extension

Source: ESPN - Adam Schefter

Oakland Raiders QB Derek Carr is close to agreeing on a contract extension that is expected to pay him around $25 million per season, according to sources. The deal could be announced as early as the end of this week.

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Carr is entering the final year of his contract, and the Raiders should get something done to lock him up before the start of training camp. That's been the expectation, and that's the track the two sides seem to be on. The top number for QBs is Andrew Luck ($24.6 million) and Carr should top that. Once he does, expect the contracts for Matthew Stafford and Kirk Cousins to fall in line next.

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2. HOU - Houston wants to keep RB Lamar Miller fresh

Source: ESPN.com - Sarah Barshop

Houston Texans RB Lamar Miller received 268 carries in 2016 but likely will see a drop in his carries this season so the team could keep him fresher later in the season. Running backs coach Charles London said the team has a diverse group of running backs, which will allow the team to balance Miller's workload.

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With the addition of rookie D'Onta Foreman, we could see a smaller amount of carries for Miller as the team tries to manage his touches. He can be just as effective on fewer touches if used the right way. Miller is more comfortable in this offense, and the team has better weapons around him. Fantasy owners should consider Miller a RB2 with RB1 upside.

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3. LAR - RB Todd Gurley, o-line on same page this spring

Source: ESPN.com - Alden Gonzalez

Los Angeles Rams OL Rodger Saffold told ESPN's Alden Gonzalez he saw improvement in the communication with RB Todd Gurley during the offseason program.

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That's good news for Gurley and his fantasy owners. Under new head coach Sean McVay, Gurley could get back to the 1,000-yard mark that he surpassed in his rookie season. He's going off the board at RB12 (2.11) in 12-team PPR leagues.

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4. CAR - TE Greg Olsen could hold out

Source: ESPN - Adam Schefter

Carolina Panthers TE Greg Olsen doesn't rule out holding out of training camp for a new contract.

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Olsen has a cap hit this year of $10.35 million with $6.6 million in dead money per Spotrac.com. He's under contract the next two years at a base salary of $6.5 million, and Olsen ranks 12th among tight ends in guaranteed money. One of the best tight ends in the league at age 32, Olsen believes he can play another five years in the pros. Olsen attended minicamp, and there have been no previous signs that he would hold out for training camp.

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5. BAL - WR Jeremy Maclin had a torn groin

Source: ESPN - Adam Schefter

Baltimore Ravens WR Jeremy Maclin (groin) said that he played through a torn groin muscle last season.

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Something didn't seem right last year with Maclin after his Week 9 groin tear that caused him to miss four games. His groin tear didn't require surgery and Maclin is said to be at full strength now. The Ravens were wise to pick him up as they already have dynamic deep-threat receivers like Mike Wallace and Breshad Perriman. Maclin can be that go-to guy on underneath routes and should become a favorite of QB Joe Flacco.

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6. JAX - QB Blake Bortles struggles with turnovers

Source: ESPN.com - Mike DiRocco

Jacksonville Jaguars QB Blake Bortles has committed 63 turnovers over the last three seasons, which is the most in the NFL. His 51 interceptions during that span ranks second among quarterbacks.

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In other news, water is wet. Bortles is known to get careless with the football and his turnover numbers have always been high. If he wants to play up to his potential then Bortles will have to cut down on the turnovers. We should see the Jaguars use more balanced attack (featuring rookie RB Leonard Fournette) to keep things simple for Bortles. With over 600 passing attempts last year, Bortles may have 100 fewer attempts in 2017.

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7. MIA - WR Jarvis Landry getting it done in the slot

Source: Pro Football Focus

Miami Dolphins WR Jarvis Landry has secured 199 catches out of the slot over the last three seasons, more than any other receiver in the NFL over that time.

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Landry is going to get a ton of catches in 2017 ...just like he does every year and mostly out of the slot. He's unlikely to be used much in the red zone, and that limits his fantasy value. In 12-team PPR leagues, Landry is going off the board at WR19 (4.02).

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8. SEA - QB Austin Davis contract update

Source: ESPN.com - Sheil Kapadia

Updating a previous report, Seattle Seahawks QB Austin Davis signed a one-year deal worth $855,000. The deal includes a $50,000 signing bonus, and Davis would receive a $30,000 bonus if he is on the roster at the start of the regular season.

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Davis is competing for the primary backup spot behind Russell Wilson. He's got to beat out Trevone Boykin for that job.

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9. LAC - CB Jason Verrett may be ready for camp

Source: ESPN.com - Eric D. Williams

Los Angeles Chargers CB Jason Verrett (knee) hopefully will be ready for the start of training camp.

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When healthy, Verrett can be a dangerous corner. The Chargers are a sleeper team in the toughest division in football.

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10. KC - OLB Dee Ford had quiet second half

Source: ESPN.com - Adam Teicher

Kansas City Chiefs LB Dee Ford recorded 10 sacks in his first nine games in 2016 but failed to record a sack in the final seven games of the regular season.

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We'll see if Ford can be more effective as the season goes on. With Justin Houston back at full strength, the Chiefs should be able to get after the passer early and often.

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11. NE - ILB David Harris agrees with Patriots

Source: ESPN - Adam Schefter

Free-agent LB David Harris (Jets) agreed to a two-year deal with the New England Patriots Wednesday, June 21, according to a source.

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Harris is a two-down thumper who can stuff the run. He's not the same player he used to be, but Harris can still be an effective pro. Harris will compete for playing time in a crowded linebacker group behind Donta Hightower.

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12. ARI - Chad Williams likely No. 5 WR in 2017

Source: 98.7 Arizona - Mike Jurecki

Arizona Cardinals third-round WR Chad Williams will likely begin the season as the team's fifth receiver, according to 98.7 Arizona's Mike Jurecki.

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Williams may be their fifth receiver now, but he could work his way up the depth chart. We love his upside in dynasty leagues and there has been a ton of reports out of Cardinals camp that have been overwhelmingly positive about the impression Williams is making.

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That'll do it for today, Folks. Thanks for being part of Footballguys and thanks for sharing some of your summer with us.

We'll see you tomorrow with the Update.

Peace,

J