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Volume 19, #32 -- Wednesday Night, May 24th, 2017

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Hi Folks,

Good Thursday to you. It's a big day at Footballguys as our Draft Dominator Classic, our VBD Excel App and our Projections Dominator are all ready for you. Dig in. Plus we've got a From The Gut column and a QB Regression article AND the News and Notes you need so let's get to it.

J

SITE NEWS

A. Early Bird Loyalty Discount For Insider PRO Ends In 6 Days

Two Big Things:


#1. We're offering an EARLY BIRD DISCOUNT from now until the end of May. So jump in and get the Footballguys Premium Content at a great discount.

#2. This year, we'll have two separate subscriptions. The Insider PRO will cover all our Season Long Content. It's just $24.95 with our EARLY BIRD pricing. It'll be $29.95 on June 1.

The Insider PRO Plus will be all our Season Long content of the Insider PRO in addition to all our DFS content covering the Daily Games like FanDuel and DraftKings. It's just $35.95 with the EARLY BIRD pricing and then will be $44.95 starting June 1.

We'll also be working again with our good friend Matthew Berry of Rotopass.com (and that little company, ESPN...) Info for ordering Rotopass is right below.

B. Rotopass Is Your Combo Ticket To Win
Once again, we'll be working with our good friend Matthew Berry as part of his Rotopass subscription. Rotopass is a collection of Fantasy Football sites Matthew's put together for the owner that wants everything. We're proud to have the Footballguys Insider PRO as part of the Rotopass package. Also note, for you guys that want the Footballguys Insider PRO Plus package that features our DFS coverage, after you purchase the Rotopass subscription, you'll be able to easily upgrade your Footballguys Insider PRO to a PRO Plus by purchasing an upgrade on the Footballguys site.

C. Draft Dominator Classic Ready For Download
Long time Footballguys Readers know our Draft Dominator Classic set the bar for Drafting Tools. It's back again this year and as powerful as ever.

D. Value Based Drafting (VBD) Excel App
Another long time Footballguys Drafting Tool is our Value Based Drafting Excel App. It's ready for 2017 here.

E. Projections Dominator
Make our Projections work the way you want them to with our Footballguys Projections Dominator.

F. The Gut Check No. 396: QBs Behind Fantasy-Rich Offenses
Our Matt Waldman builds a profile of quarterbacks that support fantasy-rich offenses with multiple starting-caliber fantasy pass catchers.

G. Quarterback Regression: Touchdown and Interception Rates
Our Chad Parsons with a historical touchdown and interception rate regression and how it affects 2017 quarterbacks.


1. DAL - RB Ezekiel Elliott expected back next week

Source: The Dallas Morning News - Brandon George

Dallas Cowboys RB Ezekiel Elliott (head) is expected to participate in organized team activities next week, according to head coach Jason Garrett.

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The Cowboys are taking it easy on Elliott after this minor car crash that caused a minor head injury. It seems like a major injury was dodged here.

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2. LAR - WR Robert Woods to lead team in catches?

Source: ESPN.com - Alden Gonzalez

Los Angeles Rams WR Robert Woods is 'perhaps the best bet to lead the (team) in catches,' according to ESPN's Alden Gonzalez.

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Woods has been waiting for an opportunity to show that he can be more than a no2 WR like he was in Buffalo. With Kenny Britt (Browns) moving on in free agency, the Rams should see Woods as the no1 WR and he could become a favorite for QB Jared Goff. Taking a late-round flier on Woods isn't a bad idea. His current ADP is WR71 (14.07) in 12-team PPR leagues.

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3. NYJ - QB Christian Hackenberg impressing

Source: ESPN - Adam Schefter

New York Jets QB Christian Hackenberg impressed the team with how he looked this offseason.

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The Jets QB battle is not one that will result in fantasy gold. Hackenberg was a second-round pick out of Penn State last year, but he couldn't see the field as a rookie...even as the team trotted out Ryan Fitzpatrick and Bryce Petty. This year, Hackenberg will compete with Petty and veteran free agent addition Josh McCown for the top spot on the depth chart.

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4. MIN - QB Teddy Bridgewater meets with doctor

Source: NFL Network - Ian Rapoport

Minnesota Vikings QB Teddy Bridgewater (knee) recently had a positive meeting with his doctors and has received clearance to progress in his rehab and start moving from side-to-side.

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Bridgewater was dropping back and throwing in drills this week for the Vikings. It seems like he's making good progress as he comes back from the horrific knee injury that eliminated his entire 2016 season. Even in a best case scenario, Bridgewater is likely to only be a reserve behind Sam Bradford.

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5. DET - RB Ameer Abdullah looks good at workout

Source: DetroitLions.com - Mike O'Hara

Detroit Lions RB Ameer Abdullah (foot) accelerated through openings and changed direction without breaking stride during organized team activities Wednesday, May 24.

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Good news for Abdullah here. He's coming back from a foot injury that limited him to two games in 2016. Abdullah is likely to be the Lions featured back this year, even though he'll be splitting time in the backfield with Zach Zenner and Theo Riddick. He's got a current ADP of RB27 (6.06) in 12-team PPR leagues.

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6. SEA - QB Colin Kaepernick only meeting with SEA

Source: SiriusXM Radio - Adam Caplan

Updating previous reports, free-agent QB Colin Kaepernick (49ers) is meeting with the Seattle Seahawks Wednesday, May 24, but is not working out for the team, according to a source.

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With so much film on Kaepernick, it's not like the Seahawks need to see him work out. They'll need to see if he can pass a physical and see how much he tips the scale. That's about it. They need a better backup behind Russell Wilson, and Kaepernick would give them just that.

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7. CLE - WR Kenny Britt misses practice

Source: Akron Beacon Journal - Nate Ulrich

Cleveland Browns WR Kenny Britt (undisclosed) did not participate in organized team activities Wednesday, May 24, but head coach Hue Jackson said he expects Britt will be back on the field next week.

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Britt is going to be the top WR for the Browns in 2017 after signing a four-year, $32.5 million contract earlier this year. Coming off the first 1,000 yard season of is career, Britt will have to overcome bad QB play (again) in order to match or best that production.

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8. CLE - WR Corey Coleman shaken up

Source: The Cleveland Plain Dealer - Mary Kay Cabot

Cleveland Browns WR Corey Coleman (undisclosed) suffered an undisclosed injury during organized team activities Wednesday, May 24, after he landed on the football hard during drills.

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It sounds like Coleman had the wind knocked out of him. Head coach Hue Jackson said Coleman will be fine.

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9. NE - New England set to add WR Andrew Hawkins

Source: ESPN - Adam Schefter

Free-agent WR Andrew Hawkins (Browns) is close to signing a one-year deal with the New England Patriots, according to a source.

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Hawkins wanted to sign with a contender...and there's no team with a better chance of winning the Super Bowl than the New England Patriots. He's got the perfect skill set for a Patriots WR. Hawkins is lightning quick and can break ankles after the catch. He'll compete for a roster spot behind Julian Edelman, Brandin Cooks and Chris Hogan.

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10. GB - RB Ty Montgomery has a better understanding

Source: Packers.com - Wes Hodkiewicz

Green Bay Packers RB Ty Montgomery has a better understanding of the mental aspect of being a running back and admitted that he ran a lot on instincts last season. 'I was running a lot on instincts. I knew where I was supposed to be going, but it was instinct,' Montgomery said. 'Now, I know techniques. I know rotations and linebacker positions, and fronts and understanding gap rules and what the defense is supposed to be doing. Now when I get out there, I know my reads and my aiming points and I can just add that to my instincts. I'm excited to do that.'

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

Montgomery has to be considered the frontrunner for the starting RB job in Green Bay...for now. He's going to be facing some quality competition this summer for that top spot on the depth chart. Rookies Jamaal Williams (4th round, BYU) and Aaron Jones (5th round, UTEP) are likely to push Montgomery for the starting gig. We like Williams because of his power and intent running style. When all is said and done, don't be surprised to see the Packers implement a RBBC featuring all three backs.

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11. LAC - Mike Williams falling behind

Source: ESPN.com - Eric D. Williams

Los Angeles Chargers WR Mike Williams (back) is falling behind, according to head coach Anthony Lynn, who'd like to see him back on the field next week. 'If he wasn't a rookie it would be different,' Lynn said. 'But he has so much to learn, and some of this you can only learn on the field.'

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Williams injured his back in the first practice of rookie minicamp and has been out ever since. Lynn is just being honest when he comments on the rookie WR falling behind. Williams is a dynamic player and can make crazy catches that others just dream of. He's not fast or a savvy route-runner and could be using this time to establish chemistry with QB Philip Rivers. Williams reminded many in the scouting community of Plaxico Burress because of his size, wingspan and 'my ball' mentality.

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12. TB - O.J. Howard contract details

Source: Houston Chronicle - Aaron Wilson

Updating a previous report, Tampa Bay Buccaneers TE O.J. Howard's four-year contract is worth $11.094 million. The deal includes a $6.208 million signing bonus.

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Howard has the size/strength/speed combination to be a force on the football field. The Bucs picked him in the first round with the idea that he could be a big part of the passing game. Howard is a mismatch every time he steps onto the field, but the targets are going to be split between WRs Mike Evans and DeSean Jackson, Howard and fellow TE Cameron Brate. The potential TEBC could hold back Howard's fantasy potential in 2017.

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13. MIA - Charles Harris signs contract

Source: MiamiDolphins.com

Miami Dolphins first-round draft choice DE Charles Harris signed his four-year contract Wednesday, May 24. Financial terms were not disclosed.

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A first-round pick out of Missouri, Harris has the build and skill set of a pass rushing phenom. He's got great athleticism and footwork off the edge, but the rookie should not be asked to stuff the run.

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14. DAL - WR Cole Beasley dealing with injury

Source: The Dallas Morning News - Brandon George

Dallas Cowboys WR Cole Beasley (hamstring) has not been able to participate in organized team activities this week because of a hamstring injury.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

Hamstring injuries are known to linger if not given enough to heal. Beasley is going to get work as the team's no3 WR again this year. He's a WR5 for fantasy owners with a current ADP of WR52 (12.01) in 12-team PPR leagues.

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15. DAL - Taco Charlton works with starter

Source: The Dallas Morning News - Brandon George

Dallas Cowboys DE Taco Charlton worked with the first-team defense at right defensive end during organized team activities Wednesday, May 24.

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Not a surprise here. Charlton was selected in the first round of the 2017 NFL draft with the idea that he could make an immediate impact as a pass rusher. At 6'6" 277 pounds, Charlton has the length and the strength to be a handful on the edge.

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16. CLE - Myles Garrett sitting out workouts

Source: Akron Beacon Journal - Nate Ulrich

Cleveland Browns DE Myles Garrett (undisclosed) is not participating in organized team activities this week because of a minor undisclosed injury but expects to be a full participant next week.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

Garrett was the top pick in the 2017 NFL draft, and he reminds many in the scouting community of Julius Peppers. He can make an immediate impact for the Browns in 2017.

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17. ARI - WR Jaron Brown taking part in drills

Source: AZCardinals.com - Kyle Odegard

Arizona Cardinals WR Jaron Brown (knee) is participating in individual drills during organized team activities Wednesday, May 24.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

He is recovering from a torn anterior cruciate ligament he suffered in October of 2016. Jaron Brown is competing for the no3 WR job behind Larry Fitzgerald and John Brown. He should be good to go for team activities in training camp.

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18. NYJ - S Calvin Pryor back at practice

Source: ESPNNewYork.com - Rich Cimini

New York Jets SS Calvin Pryor was on the field for organized team activities Wednesday, May 24, after he skipped the workout Tuesday, May 23.

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Pryor is back with the team, but for how long remains a mystery. The Jets didn't pick up his fifth-year option, then they selected two safeties in the first two rounds of the 2017 NFL draft. Pryor is on the books for $1.6 million this year and all of that is fully guaranteed.

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19. CIN - CB Dre Kirkpatrick sidelined 2-3 weeks

Source: ESPN.com - Katherine Terrell

Cincinnati Bengals CB Dre Kirkpatrick (hand) expects to be out of practice for the next two to three weeks after suffering a small fracture on his right hand.

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Signed to a five-year, $52.5 million contract earlier this year Kirkpatrick suffered the injury in what he describes as a "freak accident." He'll be out there for training camp and should have no problem when Week 1 of the regular season rolls around.

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20. CAR - WR Devin Funchess sits out

Source: Panthers.com - Max Henson

Carolina Panthers WR Devin Funchess (ankle) is being held out of drills Wednesday, May 24, due to a rolled ankle.

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There's a lot of question marks around Funchess as he enters his third season in the pros. His numbers didn't go up last year (23-371-4) after posting 31-473-5 as a rookie in 2015. He ended the 2016 season on IR due to a late-season knee injury, and now he'll miss valuable time with this ankle injury. With the addition of pass-catching weapons like RB Christian McCaffrey and WR Curtis Samuel, the targets for Funchess could keep dwindling.

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21. CAR - ILB Luke Kuechly held out

Source: Panthers.com - Max Henson

Carolina Panthers LB Luke Kuechly (back) is being held out of drills Wednesday, May 24, due to lower back tightness.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

Kuechly is a pros pro, so there's no need to have him out there if he's a bit banged up. The Panthers will wisely monitor the veteran, just like they did when they held him out the final six games of the regular season due to a concussion.

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22. WAS - RB Matt Jones won't attend OTAs

Source: NFL Network - Ian Rapoport

Washington Redskins RB Matt Jones won't attend organized team activities, according to a source.

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Not really a surprise here. Jones was a healthy scratch for all but seven games last year and the team has moved on with guys like Rob Kelley and rookie Samaje Perine. Add in Chris Thompson as a change-of-pace back and you can see how there's no room for Jones. He'll be traded or released and try to latch on with another team in the NFL.

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That'll do it for today, Folks. Thanks for reading and thanks for being part of Footballguys. We'll see you tomorrow with the Update.

Peace,

J