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Volume 19, #122 -- Tuesday Night, August 22nd, 2017

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Hi Folks,

Good Wednesday to you. It IS ON and we're right here for you. Let's do this.

J

SITE NEWS

A. WIN MORE Fantasy Football
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B. DFS Page is LIVE
The majority of DFS content starts rolling out right before the Week 1 kickoff but we're up and rolling here. You can see the preseason features for the Footballguys Insider PRO Plus subscribers and you can see the features we will have for Week 1.

C. 6,750 Printable Cheatsheets Updated
Don't settle for a generic cheatsheet. Tell us a few things about your league, click a button and get a custom printable cheatsheet dialed in to YOUR league and YOUR situation.

D. Top 300 Updated
Our David Dodds has our Top 300 Players updated once again.

E. PPR Top 300 Updated
Our David Dodds has our Top 300 Players updated once again. This one is for PPR scoring.

F. Draft List Updated
Our David Dodds takes the Top 300 List and factors that against Average Draft Position to get a better list more indicative of what we'd draft with.

G. PPR Draft List Updated
Our David Dodds takes the Top 300 List and factors that against Average Draft Position to get a better list more indicative of what we'd draft with. This one is for PPR scoring.

H. Average Draft Position Updated
Know where players are most likely to be drafted in your league with our Average Draft Position data.

I. PPR Average Draft Position Updated
Know where players are most likely to be drafted in your league with our Average Draft Position data. This one is for PPR scoring.

J. Footballguys Players Championship
The 2017 season brings a mid-stakes $250,000 Grand Prize, $2,000 in league prizes, and championship round payouts all the way down to 700th place. The overall prize pool exceeds $2.0 million.

Wednesday's draft times (all times Eastern): 1pm, 7pm, 9pm, 10:30pm, 11:55pm

K. FREE FEATURE - Value Plays: Quarterbacks
Finding Value is the key to a Perfect Draft. We polled our Footballguys Staff asking them for the QBs they felt offered the most value for where they're being drafted. This is what they said.

L. Overvalued Players: Quarterbacks
Footballguys staff members discuss quarterbacks who are overvalued.

M. Deep Sleepers: Quarterbacks
The Footballguys staff digs deep for sleepers at quarterback.

N. From The Gut: NFC
Our Sigmund Bloom runs down what's on his mind and in his gut about NFC teams this year.

O. The Gut Check No. 418: The Gut Check Draft Plan
Our Matt Waldman unveils his draft plan for fantasy players seeking a looser ADP boundary, higher risk, and higher reward.

P. Critical Tier Drops: Quarterbacks
Our Chad Parsons dives into identifying the key value drop off points among 2017 quarterbacks.

Q. The Fantasy Football Path of Totality
Our Ryan Hester examines backfield situations to find valuable fantasy football commodities.

R. Mining Passing Game Value Through ADP
Our Chad Parsons looks into dissecting 2017 fantasy value from historical ADP results.

S. Dynasty New You Can Use, Preseason Volume 11
Our Jeff Tefertiller with a look at the recent fantasy news from a dynasty perspective.


1. IND - Still no timeline for QB Andrew Luck

Source: The Indianapolis Star - Stephen Holder

Indianapolis Colts QB Andrew Luck (shoulder) remains without a timetable for his return as of Tuesday, Aug. 22. It will be telling if Luck does not practice next week, in the opinion of The Indianapolis Star's Stephen Holder.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

It's difficult for fantasy owners to trust this situation. If Luck is healthy, then he's a top-5 fantasy QB. With concern about his shoulder growing, Luck's fantasy value has been falling. You can get him at QB8 (8.03) now (on average) in 12-team PPR leagues.

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2. NYG - Odell Beckham suggests he'll be ready

Source: Giants.com

Updating previous reports, New York Giants WR Odell Beckham Jr. (ankle) suggested he'll be ready for Week 1 after the preseason game Monday, Aug. 21.

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Fantasy owners got quite a scare on Monday night. Beckham was rocked with a low hit that sent him to the ground crumpled. Keep track of his status as the season draws near, but this ankle injury doesn't appear to be something that would keep him out of the lineup in Week 1 of the regular season.

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3. HOU - QB Tom Savage to begin season as starter

Source: Houston Chronicle - Aaron Wilson

Houston Texans QB Tom Savage has enjoyed 'a good camp' and will begin the season as the starting quarterback, according to head coach Bill O'Brien.

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Tracking this quarterback battle, that seemed to be the way things were trending. This doesn't mean Savage is locked in for the rest of the year. In fact, we imagine he's got a short hook if he struggles much in games. Rookie Deshaun Watson is the future of the Texans at the position, and they should keep grooming him to be the eventual starter.

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4. DET - WR Kenny Golladay pushing for starting spot

Source: MLive.com - Kyle Meinke

Detroit Lions WR Kenny Golladay has shown signs that it won't be long before he cracks the starting lineup. At 6-foot-4, he's a better fit for the outside, which could shift WR Golden Tate to the slot.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

Golladay has looked fantastic during camp and the preseason. He's shown signs of being reliable as a receiver and more than just a 'circus catch' guy. We love his dynasty stock, but in deeper redraft leagues you can take him as a 'lottery ticket' pick late in your draft if you want.

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5. CAR - QB Cam Newton will play this week

Source: NFL Network - Ian Rapoport

Carolina Panthers QB Cam Newton (shoulder) is expected to take the field for the first time this preseason Thursday, Aug. 22.

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Week three of the preseason is the dress rehearsal for the regular season. With Newton playing, it's a clear sign that he's on track to be ready for their Week 1 matchup against the 49ers.

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6. PHI - RB LeGarrette Blount having weight issues

Source: NJ.com - Matt Lombardo

Philadelphia Eagles RB LeGarrette Blount has been having 'weight issues' and looked 'disappointing in practice,' which is why it's possible he might not make the final roster.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

Blount was supposed to be the battering ram for the Eagles offense, but there has been speculation that he won't even make the 53-man roster. Eagles coach Doug Pederson insists that Blount will be a big part of the offense, so for now it looks like his roster spot and starting job are safe despite reports/indications to the contrary.

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7. NYJ - WR Quincy Enunwa's surgery goes well

Source: ESPN - Adam Schefter

New York Jets WR Quincy Enunwa (back) underwent a successful surgery Tuesday, Aug. 22, to repair the bulging disk in his back. He will not play in 2017, but still plans to be around the team and in the community.

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A sixth-round pick in 2014, Enunwa is set to be a free agent in 2018. This injury will certainly hold back any contract offer Enunwa would get from the Jets...or any other team.

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8. BUF - RB LeSean McCoy not being shopped

Source: ProFootballTalk.com - Mike Florio

Buffalo Bills RB LeSean McCoy is not on the trading block as has been widely speculated of late, according to sources.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

The Bills traded away WR Sammy Watkins as he wasn't in their plans for the future. McCoy is going to be the centerpiece of the Bills offense and is a perfect fit for the zone-blocking system implemented by new OC Rick Dennison. Take him as a top-5 pick in your fantasy draft in any format.

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9. DEN - TE Jake Butt on way to PUP list

Source: The Denver Post - Nicki Jhabvala

Denver Broncos TE Jake Butt (knee) will likely be placed on the Physically Unable to Perform list to start the season. If that turns out to be the case, he would be able to return after six weeks.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

Butt is the most talented tight end on the Broncos roster...but he's coming back from a knee injury suffered in Michigan's bowl game in January. He's been seen catching passes after practice, but Butt is only around eight months removed from knee surgery. We like him in dynasty leagues, but even if he plays this year it should be with minimal fantasy impact.

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10. NE - RB Mike Gillislee full go in practice

Source: ESPNBoston.com - Mike Reiss

New England Patriots RB Mike Gillislee (hamstring) was a full participant in practice Tuesday, Aug. 22, after being limited the last two weeks.

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Gillislee needs to get back out there, stay healthy, and produce. He's in line to be the lead back for the Patriots when they go to the ground, but this injury has opened the door for a guy like Rex Burkhead to win that spot.

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11. GB - RB Ty Montgomery back at practice

Source: Milwaukee Journal Sentinel - Tom Silverstein

Green Bay Packers RB Ty Montgomery (leg) returned to practice Tuesday, Aug. 22, after being sidelined last week with a lower leg injury.

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Montgomery's injury opened the door for rookie Jamaal Williams to get first-team reps. Williams will push Montgomery for snaps, but fantasy owners are trusting the converted WR as the lead back for now. Montgomery has a current ADP of RB17 (4.03) in 12-team PPR leagues.

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12. CAR - Two more Panthers will be in action

Source: NFL Network - Ian Rapoport

Carolina Panthers C Ryan Kalil (shoulder) and WR Curtis Samuel (hamstring) are also expected to be active Thursday, Aug. 22.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

Samuel is an interesting weapon to keep tabs on in dynasty leagues. He's not polished as a route runner, but Samuel is dangerous with the rock. So long as this hamstring injury doesn't slow him down, we could see him flash that big-play ability on Thursday.

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13. NYG - WR Brandon Marshall good to go

Source: NFL Network - Ian Rapoport

New York Giants WR Brandon Marshall (shoulder) is fine after injuring his shoulder against the Cleveland Browns Monday, Aug. 21.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

It was one of the scares Giants fans (and fantasy owners) had from the Monday night game. Looks like Marshall is good to go, and the team also got good news on Odell Beckham Jr.'s ankle. With these two healthy (ish), it reflects positively on Eli Manning's potential in 2017.

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14. NYJ - RB Matt Forte works with team Tuesday

Source: ESPNNewYork.com - Rich Cimini

New York Jets RB Matt Forte (hamstring) participated in team drills Tuesday, Aug. 22.

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Forte missed the team's last preseason game, and his status for Week 1 of the regular season was in question according to head coach Todd Bowles. He'll test out that hamstring in drills but it's still no guarantee that Forte will be ready for action - either now or at the start of the regular season.

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15. ATL - WR Julio Jones might play Saturday

Source: The Atlanta Journal-Constitution - D. Orlando Ledbetter

Atlanta Falcons WR Julio Jones (foot) could see the field against the Arizona Cardinals Saturday, Aug. 26, according to head coach Dan Quinn.

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The Falcons are not rushing Jones back after offseason foot surgery. He's missed the first two preseason games, but Jones might be out there for the dress rehearsal week three game. No matter if he plays of not, Jones should be ready to go in Week 1 of the regular season.

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16. DAL - TE Rico Gathers out for this week

Source: The Dallas Morning News - Brandon George

Dallas Cowboys TE Rico Gathers (concussion) will not play in Week 3 of the preseason as he remains in the concussion protocol.

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Gathers had been making plays and scoring touchdowns in the preseason before this concussion. The basketball-to-football TE is a dynasty prospect we've been monitoring for quite some time.

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17. ATL - RB Devonta Freeman almost ready

Source: The Atlanta Journal-Constitution - D. Orlando Ledbetter

Atlanta Falcons RB Devonta Freeman (concussion) is in the final stages of the concussion protocol, according to head coach Dan Quinn.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

Good news for the Falcons and fantasy owners here. Freeman may not play in week three of the preseason but it looks like he'll be ready for the start of the regular season.

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18. CIN - WR Tyler Boyd the real No. 2 in Cincinnati?

Source: The Cincinnati Enquirer - Paul Dehner Jr.

Cincinnati Bengals WR Brandon LaFell will be the 'official No. 2' to start the season, but WR Tyler Boyd could end up being the second-most productive wide receiver on the team, according to Cincinnati Enquirer's Paul Dehner Jr.

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Keep an eye on this, especially if you're in a deeper redraft league. Boyd could be a late-round 'lottery ticket' pick who could pay off if he's the Bengals no2 WR opposite A.J. Green.

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19. PHI - RB LeGarrette Blount gets vote of confidence

Source: NFL Network - Tom Pelissero

Philadelphia Eagles RB LeGarrette Blount is a 'beast of a runner' and going to be 'a big part of our offense,' according to head coach Doug Pederson.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

Reports about Blount having a weight problem and speculation about his roster spot being in danger have been flying around. Pederson seems to crush that sentiment with these comments. Fantasy owners should just know that Blount hasn't been overly impressive (five carries, eight yards against the Bills last week) in the preseason. His fantasy stock is cooled down with the regular season right around the corner.

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20. NE - No depth chart at RB in New England

Source: ESPNBoston.com - Mike Reiss

New England Patriots RBs Mike Gillislee, Rex Burkhead, James White and Dion Lewis form a 'deep, talented group' and any one of the four could be featured at any given time, according to ESPN's Mike Reiss.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

Oh that tricky Bill Belichick. It's true, any of these Patriots RBs could be the featured back given the one-off gameplans the team uses on a weekly basis. That makes things problematic for fantasy owners trying to navigate this situation. Gillislee is banged up with a hamstring problem and Burkhead has been looking fantastic in the preseason. White is also there to make plays as a runner/receiver. You can get White and Burkhead in the 10th and 12th rounds respectively right now in 12-team PPR leagues.

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21. MIN - TE Bucky Hodges showing 'steady improvement'

Source: Minneapolis Star Tribune - Ben Goessling

Minnesota Vikings rookie TE Bucky Hodges, who lined up mostly as a receiver in college at Virginia Tech, has perhaps made his greatest leap as a blocker this summer.

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Hodges wasn't much of a blocker in college, but he'll have to improve on that in the pros. He's a big target (6'6") who can make plays above the rim, and he's certainly a dynasty prospect we're adding and keeping an eye on.

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22. BUF - WR Jordan Matthews on track for opener

Source: The Buffalo News - Jay Skurski

Buffalo Bills WR Jordan Matthews (chest) is on schedule for Week 1, according to head coach Sean McDermott.

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Matthews has been confident that he's going to be ready when the season opens up. The Bills need bodies at the position and Matthews should be their primary slot guy. He's going off the board at WR44 (9.12) in 12-team PPR leagues.

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23. MIA - RB Kenyan Drake out of protocol

Source: The Miami Herald - Armando Salguero

Miami Dolphins RB Kenyan Drake (concussion) is out of the concussion protocol Tuesday, Aug. 22.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

He was practicing on Monday, so it was easy to see he was going to be out of the protocol. Both Drake and starter Jay Ajayi have been been in the concussion protocol during the preseason...just something to remember for fantasy owners. Ajayi is a RB1 for fantasy with a current ADP of RB8 (2.03) in 12-team PPR leagues. He's an intriguing prospect this year because around half his rushing yards last year came in three games (all 200-yard games). We'll see if Ajayi can be more consistent this year. Drake is not handcuff worthy for Ajayi owners as the team would use a RBBC if the starter went down.

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24. DET - WR Golden Tate could shift to slot

Source: MLive.com - Kyle Meinke

Detroit Lions WR Golden Tate could play more in the slot with WR Kenny Golladay potentially ready for a starting spot outside.

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With three straight seasons of 90-plus catches, we could see Tate staying at that level even if he shifts inside the formation. Golladay is an exciting rookie receiver, and the third-round pick out of Northern Illinois has turned heads. However, Tate is a reliable and trusted target for Matthew Stafford who should get plenty of targets each game.

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25. NYG - QB Eli Manning sharp in preseason action

Source: USA TODAY Fantasy Sports

New York Giants QB Eli Manning completed 10-of-14 passes for 80 yards in the team's second preseason game Monday, August 21, opposite the Cleveland Browns.

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Eli Manning is a high-end QB2 for fantasy but there will be owners out there who get him as a starter and then rotate him based on matchups. You can wait on quarterback if you'd like, and Manning is coming off the board in the 11th round of 12-team drafts. We'd suggest getting Ben Roethlisberger or Jameis Winston a couple of rounds earlier, but if you've filled up with other positions then Manning is an option.

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26. CLE - QB Cody Kessler efficient in preseason win

Source: USA TODAY Fantasy Sports

Cleveland Browns QB Cody Kessler was a perfect 7-for-7 on his pass attempts for 60 yards in the team's second preseason contest Monday, August 21, against the New York Giants. He also rushed two times for six yards.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

Kessler is trying to win the starting job over Brock Osweiler and rookie DeShone Kizer. This performance will aid him in that quest. The team knows what they have in Kessler, and that's an efficient quarterback who will try to move the chains with mostly shorter passes.

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27. CLE - QB Brock Osweiler unimpressive again

Source: USA TODAY Fantasy Sports

Cleveland Browns QB Brock Osweiler completed 6-of-8 passes for 25 yards and also threw an interception Monday, August 21, opposite the New York Giants.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

Osweiler is fighting Cody Kessler and rookie DeShone Kizer for the starting spot. The interception was tipped at the line (a problem for Osweiler) and he was generally unimpressive. The Browns could name a starter sometime this week.

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28. CLE - QB DeShone Kizer solid in second game

Source: USA TODAY Fantasy Sports

Cleveland Browns QB DeShone Kizer completed 8-of-13 pass attempts for 74 yards, while also rushing five times for 35 yards in the team's second preseason game Monday, August 21, versus the New York Giants.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

The rookie is on the right track, but he still has a ways to go. Kizer has a bad habit of holding onto the ball too long and he'll stare down his targets constantly leading defenders right to his receivers.

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29. TEN - WR Corey Davis will not be rushed back

Source: TitansOnline.com - Jim Wyatt

Tennessee Titans WR Corey Davis (hamstring) did not participate in practice Monday, Aug. 21.

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The first WR off the board in the draft this year, Davis has great upside in the pros. The team is excited about his future, but there's no need to rush him back. Davis will not be hurried back to the field because the team wants him to be ready for the start of the regular season, according to head coach Mike Mularkey.

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That'll do it for today, Folks. Thanks for reading and thanks for being part of Footballguys. We'll see you tomorrow with the Update.

Peace,

J