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Volume 19, #108 -- Tuesday Night, August 8th, 2017

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Hi Folks,

Another huge day of Fantasy Football content plus the News and Notes you need. Things are happening fast but we're here for you. It's what we do. Let's get to it.

J

SITE NEWS

A. Detailed Stat Projections Updated (Again...)
This probably can go without saying but I'll say it anyways. Our Detailed Stat Projections are the foundation of all we do at Footballguys. They're not just Accurate. They're also current. When news breaks in August, we're on top of the changes for you. Many days, they're updated multiple times per day.

B. Top 300 Players Updated
Just like it says. The Top 300 Players rated by our David Dodds.

C. PPR Top 300 Players Updated
Just like it says. The Top 300 Players rated by our David Dodds. This one is for PPR scoring.

D. Draft List Updated
Our Draft List is more like a list we'd use to actually draft with. Our David Dodds takes the Top 300 and factors it against Average Draft Position.

E. PPR Draft List Updated
Our Draft List is more like a list we'd use to actually draft with. Our David Dodds takes the Top 300 and factors it against Average Draft Position. This one is for PPR scoring.

F. 6,750 Printable Cheatsheets Updated
With our 6,750 Cheatsheets, just enter a few details about your league, click the button and you get a custom cheatsheet dialed in to YOUR league ready to print.

G. Average Draft Position Updated
With our Average Draft Position data, you'll know where players in your league are likely to be drafted. It's invaluable for maximizing value in the draft.

H. PPR Average Draft Position Updated
With our Average Draft Position data, you'll know where players in your league are likely to be drafted. It's invaluable for maximizing value in the draft. This one is for PPR scoring.

I. Footballguys Players Championships are ON
The 2017 season brings a mid-stakes $250,000 Grand Prize, $2,000 in league prizes, and championship round payouts all the way down to 700th place. The overall prize pool exceeds $2.0 million. We have live draft commissioners to ensure that every draft runs smoothly and all prizes are placed in our industry-exclusive attorney escrow account.

Here are open draft times available the next few days (all times Eastern):

Wednesday, August 9th: 1pm,7pm, 9pm, 10:30pm, 11:59pm Thursday, August 10th: 1pm,7pm, 9pm, 10:30pm, 11:59pm

J. MS Event August 26th
Join David Dodds on August 26th in Washington DC for 4+ hours of FF discussion. $25 ticket benefits the MS Society.

K. PPR Running Back Tiers
Every year, our Sigmund Bloom's Tiers articles are must read material. In this one, Sigmund look at the 2017 PPR running back rankings through the lens of tiers.

L. Marry, Flirt, Dump: AFC West
Our Sigmund Bloom runs down who to marry, who to flirt with, and who to dump for each AFC West team in your fantasy drafts.

M. The Gut Check No. 412: The Devil's Advocate 50-1
Our Matt Waldman goes to the dark side to test your faith in the top 100 players on the board.

N. 5 Late-Round Wide Receivers You Should Be Targeting
Our Justin Bonnema analyzes five wide receivers who offer lots of upside for little draft capital.

O. Training Camp: Running Back Tier Rankings Week 2
Our Ari Ingel provides his pre-season week two running back tier rankings.

P. IDP - Eyes of the Guru, Part 8: NFC East
Our John Norton with an overview of defenses in the NFC East with an emphasis on individual defensive players and their fantasy value.

Q. FREE FEATURE - Campfire Chat: Favorite Rookie WR for 2017
One of my favorite things about Footballguys is the Office chat around our Basecamp. We've decided to publish some of the questions and topics we discuss. In this one, our guys dive into talk about the top rookie wide receivers.

R. Campfire Chat: Favorite Rookie RB for 2017
Footballugys staff members discuss the top rookie running backs.

S. Campfire Chat: Favorite Rookie TE for 2017
Footballguys staff members discuss the top rookie tight ends.

T. Hypothetical - What if Devonta Freeman is lost for the season?
Our John Mamula asks the question: "What would a Devonta Freeman season ending injury mean for the Falcons, and your fantasy team?"

U. Hypothetical - What if Jordon Howard was lost for the season?
Our Will Grant asks the question: "What would happen to the Chicago Bears if Jordan Howad was lost for the season?"


1. IND - Still no timetable for QB Andrew Luck

Source: ESPN.com - Mike Wells

Indianapolis Colts QB Andrew Luck (shoulder) remains without a timeline to begin practicing, according to head coach Chuck Pagano.

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Nothing like a lack of clarity, eh? We can't see Luck playing or practicing much at all during the preseason. Luck may miss the summer but get thrust into the starting lineup for Week 1 of the regular season. He's a top-5 fantasy quarterback when healthy.

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2. CIN - RB Jeremy Hill listed as starter

Source: The Cincinnati Enquirer - Jim Owczarski

Cincinnati Bengals RB Jeremy Hill is listed with the first-team offense on the Bengals' initial depth chart.

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Fantasy owners are looking to see how things shake out in Cincinnati when it comes to their RB position. Hill is the starter for now, but rookie Joe Mixon has an explosive skill set and could win the job. Oh yeah, don't forget about Gio Bernard either. Right now, Hill and Bernard are going off the board back-to-back at RB52/RB53 (12.11) in 12-team PPR leagues.

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3. CIN - RB Joe Mixon listed with third-team

Source: The Cincinnati Enquirer - Jim Owczarski

Cincinnati Bengals rookie RB Joe Mixon is listed with the third-team offense on the Bengals' initial depth chart.

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The rookie has to earn his spot. We imagine that by the time the regular season rolls around, Mixon will be higher in the pecking order. In fact, he should be the starter for Week 1 and he's got RB1 upside as the lead back for the Bengals. Mixon is currently RB17 (4.03) in 12-team PPR leagues.

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4. KC - RB Kareem Hunt seeing more time with first-team

Source: ArrowheadPride.com - Pete Sweeney

Kansas City Chiefs RB Kareem Hunt is seeing increased work with the first-team as time goes on and could potentially work himself into the starting running back this preseason, according to ArrowheadPride.com's Pete Sweeney.

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Hunt might be worth more than Spencer Ware if he starts, but Ware isn't going away and this will remain a committee in some shape or form no matter who takes the first touch. Hunt could be a value at his current ADP, but he won't be a season changer unless Ware gets hurt. Ware could be a value at his current ADP, but only if Hunt's momentum slows down.

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5. CAR - QB Cam Newton close to returning

Source: NFL Network - Ian Rapoport

Carolina Panthers QB Cam Newton (shoulder) appears to be 'over the hump' in his recovery from offseason shoulder surgery, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. Newton is feeling better and is expected to practice soon.

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This has been the buzz generating about Newton in recent days. We should see him play -- although expect him to be limited -- at some point in the preseason.

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6. CIN - Marvin Lewis taking break

Source: The Cincinnati Enquirer - Paul Dehner Jr.

Cincinnati Bengals head coach Marvin Lewis (undisclosed) will be taking a break from his coaching duties to focus on a minor health issue, according to a statement released by the Bengals. Lewis could return as soon as Tuesday, Aug. 8, or later this week. Special teams coordinator Darrin Simmons will lead the team while Lewis is absent.

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It sounds like a minor health issue, and the Bengals should be able to operate smoothly while Lewis gets back to full strength.

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7. CLE - RB Duke Johnson impressing with versatility

Source: Akron Beacon Journal - Nate Ulrich

Cleveland Browns RB Duke Johnson 'catches as well as any receiver on the team,' according to receivers coach Al Saunders, who went on to compare to Johnson to a queen on a chessboard because he is so versatile.

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Johnson's game is that of a receiving back. He might not be able to hold up under a featured back's workload, but Johnson can be effectively used as a part-time player. While we're expecting starter Isaiah Crowell to post career-best numbers as a rusher, Johnson could catch 55-60 passes this year as the primary receiver out of the backfield. That makes him an RB4 with flex appeal in deeper leagues.

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8. NE - TE Dwayne Allen seeing a ton of red zone work

Source: The Boston Globe - Ben Volin

New England Patriots TE Dwayne Allen has been the recipient of 'a ton of targets in the red zone' during training camp, according to the Boston Globe's Ben Volin.

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Allen has been a red zone monster in the past - when he is able to stay on the field. It's hard to see him being more prominent than Rob Gronkowski, but if Gronkowski goes down, Allen will be an insta-pickup, and you could do worse than Allen as a desperation tight end play any week you need one. He's going undrafted in most leagues.

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9. SF - RB Carlos Hyde a 'beast' in training camp

Source: NFL Network - Ian Rapoport

San Francisco 49ers RB Carlos Hyde reportedly came into training camp in the best shape of his life, has been a 'beast' in practice and is a player generating a ton of optimism in training camp as someone they view as the 'bell-cow of their offense,' according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport.

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Hyde's ADP has fallen two rounds, but it looks like that was a premature reaction and anticipation of Kyle Shanahan trying to install one of "his guys" in the backfield. Hyde has responded the messages via the media that the team is not sold on him, and he could be one of the biggest values at running back this year if he falls to the fifth round.

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10. MIA - RB Jay Ajayi remains in protocol

Source: The Miami Herald - Barry Jackson

Miami Dolphins RB Jay Ajayi (concussion) is on the field Tuesday, Aug. 8, but he remains in the concussion protocol.

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That he's on the field is a good sign that his recovery is going well and this won't be an issue by the time the season opener rolls around.

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11. IND - WR Donte Moncrief still out

Source: The Herald Bulletin - George Bremer

Indianapolis Colts WR Donte Moncrief (shoulder) remains out of practice Tuesday, Aug. 8.

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If this issue stretches out over multiple weeks and affects Moncrief's ability to play in the third preseason game, it will be time to get worried. Chester Rogers has the lead for the #3 wide receiver job right now.

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12. NYJ - WR Robby Anderson having rough start to camp

Source: NJ Advance Media - Connor Hughes

New York Jets WR Robby Anderson is out to a 'rough start' in training camp, according to Connor Hughes of NJ.com, who notes that the wide receiver is 'struggling to beat the press' and has 'dropped several easy completions.'

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This news coming when Anderson needs to elevate his game to fill the void left by Quincy Enunwa. If Anderson is not in top form come Week 1, this offense might have trouble generating first downs. The Jets offense is looking like fantasy kryptonite this year.

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13. NO - WR Ted Ginn listed as No. 2 WR on depth chart

Source: ESPN.com - Mike Triplett

New Orleans Saints WR Ted Ginn Jr. is listed as the No. 2 wide receiver on the team's first unofficial depth chart that was just released.

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It appears that Willie Snead will be the #3, and perhaps Snead and Ginn's ADP should be closer, as Snead routinely goes 3-4 rounds (if not more) ahead of Ginn. Ginn will have a boom/bust scoring profile, but with his deep speed and Drew Brees ability as a quarterback, the booms will be big.

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14. TEN - QB Marcus Mariota will play Saturday

Source: TitansOnline.com - Jim Wyatt

Tennessee Titans QB Marcus Mariota (leg) will play in the preseason game against the New York Jets Saturday, Aug. 12.

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This is a terrific sign that everything went as planned and is on schedule in Mariota's recovery from a season-ending leg injury last year.

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15. TEN - RB DeMarco Murray won't play this week

Source: TitansOnline.com - Jim Wyatt

Tennessee Titans RB DeMarco Murray (hamstring) will not play in the Titans' first preseason game this week, according to head coach Mike Mularkey.

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Murray has been on the sidelines with this hamstring injury for about a week. Head coach Mike Mularkey believes that Murray is 'close' to a return, but the team is wisely going to give him the first preseason game off.

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16. NYJ - WR Jalin Marshall listed as No. 2 WR

Source: ESPNNewYork.com - Rich Cimini

New York Jets WR Jalin Marshall is listed as the No. 2 wide receiver on the Jets' initial depth chart.

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Marshall is suspended the first four games of the year for violating the league's PED policy. During his absence, guys like rookie ArDarius Stewart and former Clemson WR Charone Peake will compete for that no2 job opposite of Robby Anderson. No matter who wins the spot, we can't imagine the no2 WR with the Jets having a tremendous amount of fantasy value.

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17. PHI - WR Jordan Matthews won't have reduced role

Source: CSNPhilly.com - Reuben Frank

Philadelphia Eagles WR Jordan Matthews won't have a reduced role this year, according to head coach Doug Pederson.

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Matthews still has a limited ceiling with Alshon Jeffery and Torrey Smith giving the team better outside wide receivers than they had last year, but the buzz of Nelson Agholor cutting into his work appears to be unwarranted. Matthews is maybe a WR3 in PPR, and certainly good bye/injury/emergency depth.

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18. BUF - WR Sammy Watkins to play a quarter

Source: The Buffalo News - Vic Carucci

Buffalo Bills WR Sammy Watkins (ankle) will play about a quarter in the preseason opener Thursday, Aug. 10, according to head coach Sean McDermott.

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After Watkins' injury scare, this is great news. The team isn't going to make the mistake of taking it too slow and being surprised when Watkins' foot doesn't respond well in the season opener. That should help clarify the minds of fantasy drafters wondering whether to take Watkins in the third round.

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19. MIN - WR Laquon Treadwell unable to return

Source: St. Paul Pioneer Press - Chris Tomasson

Minnesota Vikings WR Laquon Treadwell (leg) did not participate in practice Monday, Aug. 7, and has missed five straight practices.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

Treadwell is falling while Michael Floyd is rising in the wake of some excellent practices. While there was momentum building for Treadwell earlier in camp, since his fight and injury, he is fading. Floyd might be re-capturing the #3 job once his four-game suspension is over.

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20. DEN - Denver RBs taking it easy this week

Source: The Denver Post - Nicki Jhabvala

Denver Broncos RB C.J. Anderson will play no more than three series, while RB Jamaal Charles will not play at all in the team's preseason opener against the Chicago Bears on Thursday, Aug. 10.

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Anderson will get a drive or two against the Bears on Thursday night. No matter who is the quarterback, we expect the Broncos to surprise some with how much they want to run the ball in 2017. We all know the story with Anderson...if healthy, he's got the skill set to be a top-15 fantasy back. Having never played a full 16-game season in his pro career, fantasy owners already know a backup plan must be in place if Anderson is their RB2.

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21. WAS - Washington to sit trio for preseason opener

Source: Redskins.com

Washington Redskins WR Jamison Crowder (hamstring), TE Jordan Reed (toe) and WR Josh Doctson (hamstring) will not suit up for the team's preseason opener against the Baltimore Ravens on Thursday, Aug. 10.

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Washington's pass-catchers are quite banged up right now. There's no need to rush these guys onto the field when they're not a full strength in the preseason. If Reed is healthy, he can be a top-5 tight end. If Crowder is healthy, he could catch 100 passes in 2017 as a favorite target of Kirk Cousins. And then there's Josh Doctson....he could have 50 catches or so as a breakout candidate this year...if healthy. Washington will wisely be cautious here.

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22. CHI - Kyle Long not a lock for Week 1

Source: Chicago Tribune - Dan Wiederer

Chicago Bears OG Kyle Long (ankle) still does not have a timetable as to when he will return to full strength, and the team has made no promises he will be cleared to play in Week 1.

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Long is one of the best guards in the league, so this isn't trivial. Long did return to be a full go on ten team drill snaps in practice today, so it's probably just a case of the team being cautious about what they promise.

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23. NYJ - WR ArDarius Stewart most likely rookie to deliver?

Source: ESPNNewYork.com - Rich Cimini

New York Jets WR ArDarius Stewart is viewed by the organization as the rookie receiver most likely to contribute in the wake of Quincy Enunwa's season-ending neck injury.

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It's still a stretch to see Stewart providing consistent fantasy value with the worst offense in the NFL around him. Dynasty leaguers will enjoy the long look we get at Stewart, but redraft prospects are dim for any Jet passcatcher this year.

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24. PIT - RB Fitzgerald Toussaint atop depth chart

Source: ESPN.com - Jeremy Fowler

Pittsburgh Steelers RB Fitzgerald Toussaint is listed as the first-team running back with RB Le'Veon Bell not in camp.

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James Conner was not listed because he is nursing a shoulder injury. If Conner can get healthy soon, he should be able to push Toussaint to be the backup to Bell, a very valuable fantasy spot.

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25. SEA - RB Chris Carson working with second-team

Source: ESPN.com - Sheil Kapadia

Seattle Seahawks RB Chris Carson was listed ahead of RB Alex Collins on the second-team offense depth chart Monday, Aug. 7.

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Carson has been one of the stories of camp, but Collins has also dropped weight and improved as a passcatcher. Unless the Seahawks carry five backs, look for one of Collins or Carson to be claimed after final cuts.

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26. LAR - WR Cooper Kupp making strong impression

Source: ProFootballTalk.com - Curtis Crabtree

Los Angeles Rams WR Cooper Kupp has impressed his coaching staff, according to head coach Sean McVay, who has already listed the rookie wideout as a starter in the team's preliminary depth chart. 'He always has a plan at the line of scrimmage, understands coverages and route concepts, and I think that's what enables him to be such a productive player and very advanced for a rookie,' McVay said. 'He's one of the more mature rookies that I've ever been around and we're expecting some good things from him moving forward.'

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Kupp could lead the team in receptions this year, but that might only mean 60-70 receptions. He is getting onto our late-round PPR radar. From a dynasty perspective, this is exactly the kind of buzz you want to see to indicate long-term success in the cards for Kupp.

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27. DAL - OLB Jaylon Smith will play in preseason

Source: Fort Worth Star-Telegram - Clarence E. Hill Jr.

Dallas Cowboys LB Jaylon Smith (knee) will play this preseason, according to head coach Jason Garrett, but no decision has been made as to whether or not he will play this week.

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It will be good to see Smith back on the football field. He was likely to be a top-5 pick in the 2016 NFL draft before a devastating knee injury in Notre Dame's bowl game. Smith fell to the Cowboys as a project player in the second round of the draft last year. He missed his entire rookie season due to this injury but is now set to return to the field.

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That'll do it for today, Folks. Thanks for reading and thanks for being part of the Footballguys Family. We appreciate you sharing your season with us. We'll see you tomorrow with the Update.

Peace,

J