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Hi Folks,

I hope you didn't have anything planned this morning as we've got a boat load of new content ready for you. And don't forget about the Footballguys Players Championship Early Bird deal that ends today. Let's get to it.

J

SITE NEWS

A. Footballguys Players Championship Early Bird Deal Ends June 30 at Midnight
The Footballguys Players Championship is the place to play for mid stakes online leagues. It's a 1.8 Million Dollar prize pool with a $250,000 Grand Prize. Register before midnight ET Thursday, June 30th, 2016 and receive a complimentary subscription to Footballguys.com Insider PRO ($34.95 value). Purchase a 3-pack of FPC teams for $1,000 and receive a complimentary 3-year subscription ($72.95 value). If you already have a Footballguys.com Insider membership, the complimentary years will be added to the end of your current subscription.

B. Updated Detailed Stat Projections
Fantasy Football at it's core is a game of who can best predict the stats players will post. We build our site around Detailed Stat Projections and our David Dodds has a new set ready for you here. Jump on it.

C. Updated Staff Rankings
Our Footballguys Staff will continue to update Cheatsheet Rankings all summer long right up until the Week 1 kickoff.

D. Top 300 Players
Just what it says - the Footballguys Top 300 Players from our David Dodds. We highlight the players we have ranked significantly higher or lower than their current ADP.

E. Top 300 Players - PPR
Just what it says - the Footballguys Top 300 Players from our David Dodds. We highlight the players we have ranked significantly higher or lower than their current ADP. This one is for PPR scoring formats.

F. Draft List
The Draft List is the list that's closest to what we'd actually draft with. Our David Dodds takes our Top 300 and factors in ADP to get this list.

G. Draft List - PPR
The Draft List is the list that's closest to what we'd actually draft with. Our David Dodds takes our Top 300 and factors in ADP to get this list. This one is for PPR scoring formats.

H. Average Draft Position
To maximize your draft, you need to know where players are likely to be drafted. Our Average Draft Position (ADP) data gives you that info.

I. Average Draft Position - PPR
To maximize your draft, you need to know where players are likely to be drafted. Our Average Draft Position (ADP) data gives you that info. This one is for PPR scoring formats.

J. Most Significant Veteran Movement: WR
The Footballguys Staff dives deep into breaking down which veteran WR moves will have the most impact.

K. Most Significant Rookie Addition: QB
The Footballguys Staff dives deep into breaking down which rookie QBs will have an impact.

L. Player Spotlight: Carson Palmer
Our Footballguys Player Spotlights look hard at a player to predict what they'll do this season. In this one, our Steve Holloway looks at Carson Palmer.

M. Player Spotlight: The Ravens' Backfield
Our Footballguys Player Spotlights look hard at a player or situation to predict what they'll do this season. In this one, our Daniel Simpkins looks at the Ravens Backfield.

N. Player Spotlight: Jalen Ramsey
Our Footballguys Player Spotlights look hard at a player to predict what they'll do this season. In this one, our Daniel Simpkins looks at Jalen Ramsey.

O. Player Spotlight: Myles Jack
Our Footballguys Player Spotlights look hard at a player to predict what they'll do this season. In this one, our Daniel Simpkins looks at Myles Jack.

P. Player Spotlight: Keanu Neal
Our Footballguys Player Spotlights look hard at a player to predict what they'll do this season. In this one, our Daniel Simpkins looks at Keanu Neal.

INSIDE THIS ISSUE

1. TB - QB Jameis Winston undervalued
2. IND - QB Andrew Luck signs extension
3. BAL - Michael Campanaro healthy
4. CLE - QB Johnny Manziel to go sober?
5. CIN - Tyler Boyd expected to help offense
6. DET - Jim Caldwell talks two-point attempts
7. BAL - Coach impressed with WR Mike Wallace
8. NYG - QB Eli Manning expects more points
9. TEN - WR Justin Hunter needs to produce
10. TEN - Dorial Gree-Beckham has been studying
11. MIN - WR Cordarrelle Patterson admits to slacking
12. NFL - Eugene Monroe taking his time
13. SEA - WR Doug Baldwin incredibly effective
14. DAL - RB Darren McFadden story revised
15. DAL - Jaylon Smith's nerve hasn't improved
16. TEN - WR Justin Hunter fighting for a spot
17. TEN - WR Harry Douglas showing leadership
18. KC - Young WRs working with WR Jeremy Maclin
19. SEA - QB Tarvaris Jackson unlikely to return
20. SEA - Trevone Boykin charged with assault
21. NYG - RB Orleans Darkwa playing catch-up

1. TB - QB Jameis Winston undervalued

Source: USA TODAY Fantasy Sports

Tampa Bay Buccaneers QB Jameis Winston amassed more than 4,200 total yards and 28 total touchdowns in his rookie campaign last year.

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Winston's 4,042 passing yards were the third-most of any rookie quarterback in NFL history, behind only Cam Newton and Andrew Luck. He's capable of making plays as a passer from the pocket, but Winston can also use his legs to keep plays alive if he needs to. This year, Winston's targets aren't going to change so he may not be able to take that next step--yet. He's still likely to be a top-15 fantasy QB, but he may not make it into the top-10 this year.

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2. IND - QB Andrew Luck signs extension

Source: NFL Network - Albert Breer

Indianapolis Colts QB Andrew Luck signed a five-year extension through 2021 Wednesday, June 29.

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The Colts know that Luck can be the best QB in the league, and it's no surprise they would lock him up at this point. Per ESPN's Adam Schefter, Luck's five-year extension is actually a six-year deal. It is worth a little more than $139 million in total, which is a new NFL record. It also comes with $87 million in guaranteed money, also an all-time record. With new contract in hand, Luck should be in for a high-end QB1 season for fantasy owners.

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3. BAL - Michael Campanaro healthy

Source: BaltimoreRavens.com - Ryan Mink

Baltimore Ravens WR Michael Campanaro (calf) said he has completely recovered from the calf injury he suffered this offseason and is looking forward to training camp. He likely will have to compete with WRs Kaelin Clay and Keenan Reynolds for a roster spot.

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Campanaro is a player we're monitoring in deep dynasty leagues. He's a slot receiver with the quickness to get open on underneath routes. Campanaro is also dangerous after the catch, but he's not a lock for the 53-man roster.

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4. CLE - QB Johnny Manziel to go sober?

Source: SI.com

Free-agent QB Johnny Manziel (Browns) has made it a goal to go sober starting Friday, July 1, and commence training for an NFL return.

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We'd like to believe that Manziel is serious about getting his life back on track. It's going to be a long road for him, and Manziel may not get back in the league even if he sobers up. There's still a domestic violence incident in Texas that needs to be dealt with before teams would even decide whether or not to pick him up. We don't think he plays in 2016, and we'd be shocked if he ever turned out to be more than a cautionary tale.

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5. CIN - Tyler Boyd expected to help offense

Source: ESPN.com - Coley Harvey

Cincinnati Bengals WR Tyler Boyd performed well during offseason workouts and will help in the passing game, but wide receivers coach James Urban wants to see how Boyd does during training camp before making him the No. 2 or No. 3 receiver.

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The Bengals need some help at the WR position after losing both Mohamed Sanu (Falcons) and Marvin Jones (Lions) in free agency. Boyd was the team's second-round pick this year out of PITT. During his college career, Boyd was a sure-handed receiver who was used to a large workload. Over each of the last three years, Boyd had been targeted 124 times or more. We'll see if he can earn the starting job opposite A.J. Green at some point this year.

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6. DET - Jim Caldwell talks two-point attempts

Source: DetroitLions.com - Mike O'Hara

Detroit Lions head Jim Caldwell was noncommittal on his approach to two-point conversions this upcoming season. Caldwell said going for two points or not will depend on the situation. In Caldwell's two years as head coach, the Lions converted zero of their three two-point attempts last year and one of three tries the year before.

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It's going to be interesting to see how the Lions offense looks without superstar WR Calvin Johnson. Caldwell is a conservative coach by nature, so we're not expecting him to go for a two-point conversion that often.

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7. BAL - Coach impressed with WR Mike Wallace

Source: ESPN.com - Jamison Hensley

Baltimore Ravens WR Mike Wallace showed he is a complete receiver during offseason workouts and is expected to be a big part of the offense in 2016, according to head coach John Harbaugh.

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Wallace was a disappointment in his one year with the Vikings. He hasn't been a top-5 fantasy WR since he was with the Steelers in 2010 and 2011, and we're not expecting him to regain his form now that he's back in the AFC North. The Ravens are looking for someone to stretch the field, but Wallace may not be as fast as he used to be. Fantasy owners should consider him a WR6 who could have some splash plays here or there.

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8. NYG - QB Eli Manning expects more points

Source: NFL.com

New York Giants QB Eli Manning said he expects to offense to score more points in 2016 and believes they will be able to score at least 28 points per game. Manning believes the addition of WR Sterling Shepard and the return of WR Victor Cruz and TE Larry Donnell will help the passing game.

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Manning could be correct in his prediction. Everyone knows that Beckham is a superstar, but adding the rookie Shepard to the mix could pay huge dividends for the offense. The dynamic rookie from Oklahoma is tough to get a bead on. He can make defenders miss with ease in the open field, and Shepard is a threat to score anytime he touches the ball. The added weapons in the passing game should help Manning put up good fantasy numbers in 2016. His current ADP is QB11 (9.03) in 12-team PPR leagues.

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9. TEN - WR Justin Hunter needs to produce

Source: TitansOnline.com - Jim Wyatt

Tennessee Titans WR Justin Hunter said he needs to take his production to another level during training camp if he wants to make the 53-man roster 'I am definitely going to have to bring it in training camp. There's a lot of competition, a lot of people fighting for positions and things like that. You can't slack off because another guy is coming for your spot. I have to keep grinding,' Hunter said.

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He's been a tease during his pro career, and we can't imagine this would be the year Hunter finally plays up to his potential. The Titans offense is going to run the ball as much as possible, and there are many other WRs we'd put ahead of him on the waiver-wire speed dial.

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10. TEN - Dorial Gree-Beckham has been studying

Source: TitansInsider.com - Terry McCormick

Tennessee Titans WR Dorial Green-Beckham said he's been studying his playbook a lot this offseason and furthering his knowledge on what his assignments are. Head coach Mike Mularkey said Green-Beckham has improved this offseason, but he wants to see more in order for the young receiver to reach his full potential.

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Green-Beckham is far from a finished product, and it's good to hear that he's doing everything he can to improve. From a physical standpoint, Green-Beckham is big, fast and can win at the point of the catch. From a technical point of view, the second-year pro needs to refine his routes and learn how to set up defenders better. The Titans are going to have a run-heavy offense, so the passing game numbers will be limited. Green-Beckham has a current ADP of WR40 (9.01) in 12-team PPR leagues.

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11. MIN - WR Cordarrelle Patterson admits to slacking

Source: St. Paul Pioneer Press - Chris Tomasson

Minnesota Vikings WR Cordarrelle Patterson admitted that after he was the No. 29 overall pick in 2013, he didn't always work as hard as he should have. 'Sometimes you can be here and you feel like you've got to be on the team,' Patterson said. 'You feel like, 'Yeah, I'm a first-round pick, I'm on the team.' Things like that, sometimes they make you not work hard, they make you don't want to do things, make you be lazy.' Patterson had 45 catches for 469 yards in his rookie season but lost his starting job midway through 2014 and had just two catches for 10 yards in 2015.

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Zero surprise here. Patterson has all the physical tools you want in a WR, but he's been a total bust as a player because he lacks the dedication to refine his technique. He's the 4th WR on the depth chart (at best) with the Vikings, and Patterson will likely need a new team to revamp his career...if he can.

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12. NFL - Eugene Monroe taking his time

Source: CSNMidAtlantic.com - Clifton Brown

Free-agent OT Eugene Monroe (Ravens) is still weighing his options and is no rush to sign with a team. 'I don't feel like I have to jump on one of the first opportunities that come up,' Monroe said. 'I'm just trying to be patient, wait on the right opportunity.'

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Monroe could still be an effective starter in the league, and it's wise for him to take his time. When training camps start in the NFL, we feel the market should (and will) heat up for the veteran tackle.

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13. SEA - WR Doug Baldwin incredibly effective

Source: NFL.com - Chris Wesseling

Seattle Seahawks WR Doug Baldwin was one of the most effective pass catchers in 2015. Of the 87 receivers to play at least 25% of their teams' snaps last year and accrue an average depth of target beyond 10 yards, Baldwin's completion rate of 79% was first overall. Baldwin was also the only wideout to have double-digit touchdowns and average at least 10 yards per target.

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Baldwin likely had a career-best season in 2015. Fantasy owners should not be expecting him to duplicate the 14 TDs he had last year. He's still a favorite target of QB Russell Wilson, but we may see second-year pro Tyler Lockett emerge with a larger role. We like Baldwin as a low-end WR2 for fantasy owners.

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14. DAL - RB Darren McFadden story revised

Source: ESPN.com

Updating previous reports, Dallas Cowboys RB Darren McFadden (elbow) said he was injured in a slightly different way than the team, who said McFadden was injured trying to save his cell phone, released to the public. McFadden said his phone was in his hand, but he slipped down and fell on the elbow. He said he still has a few weeks in a brace after June 14 surgery, and it's possible he could miss the season opener.

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He didn't fumble the cell phone! That's McFadden's story and he's sticking to it. No matter the real cause of the fall, McFadden's status for the beginning of the regular season is up in the air. No matter as the Cowboys are going to force-feed rookie RB Ezekiel Elliott the rock in 2016. Veteran Alfred Morris will be Elliott's backup with McFadden down.

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15. DAL - Jaylon Smith's nerve hasn't improved

Source: ESPN - Ed Werder

Dallas Cowboys LB Jaylon Smith (knee) hasn't experienced significant improvement in the injured nerve in his knee, and playing in 2016 seems unlikely.

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There's no doubt that we're rooting for Smith. He was likely a top-10 pick before the injury (sustained on what many think was a dirty play), but now Smith may never be the same player. The Cowboys had to factor in the possibility of Smith missing his rookie season, so this news shouldn't surprise that much. However, it all comes down to next season. We're hoping that Smith can get healthy and become the star NFL player he looked like at Notre Dame.

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16. TEN - WR Justin Hunter fighting for a spot

Source: The Tennessean - Jason Wolf

Tennessee Titans WR Justin Hunter is entering the fourth and final season of his rookie contract. He has yet to record 30 catches or more than 500 yards receiving in a season, and each of his past two years have been cut short by injury. It's likely he'll be fighting for the No. 5 receiver job with WR Harry Douglas.

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Hunter's career will likely always read "what might have been." He's got a tremendous physical skill set, but Hunter has yet to truly play up to his potential. This season, there's no guarantee that Hunter even makes the final roster. Perhaps something will spark him when he lands with another team.

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17. TEN - WR Harry Douglas showing leadership

Source: The Tennessean - Jason Wolf

Tennessee Titans WR Harry Douglas has a long history with head coach Mike Mularkey and offensive coordinator Terry Robiskie from their days together with the Atlanta Falcons. Despite that, a spot on the 53-man final roster is not guaranteed. Despite his leadership during the spring practices, it is believed Douglas will be battling WR Justin Hunter for the fifth receiver spot.

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Unless you get points for leadership, make sure to stay away from Douglas in your fantasy drafts. In fact, the entire Titans passing game should be limited by a run-heavy offense...if their defense can keep them in games.

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18. KC - Young WRs working with WR Jeremy Maclin

Source: The Kansas City Star - Terez A. Paylor

Kansas City Chiefs WR Jeremy Maclin invited WR Chris Conley to work out with him at the team's training facility in the offseason. WR Albert Wilson joined them to lift weights, watch film and work on route concepts four days a week until the team's offseason workout program in mid-April. Conley and Wilson are the team's No. 2 and 3 receivers, and trying to hold off newcomers WR Rod Streater and WR Tyreek Hill.

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Conley is the player to watch here. We love his ability to crisply run the entire route tree. He's got the athleticism to get open with ease, and Conley has the speed to get by defenders quickly. Wilson is a fiery receiver who is built like a running back. No matter who emerges as the 2nd or 3rd WR in Kansas City, there will not be many fantasy points scored. Both Conley and Wilson are players to look at in dynasty leagues only at this time.

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19. SEA - QB Tarvaris Jackson unlikely to return

Source: The Seattle Times - Bob Condotta

Free-agent QB Tarvaris Jackson (Seahawks) is not expected to re-sign with the Seattle Seahawks after serving as the backup there for the past three years. The team has QBs Trevone Boykin and Jake Heaps on the roster as backups to starting QB Russell Wilson.

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Jackson is facing a charge of aggravated assault with a deadly weapon after allegedly threatening his wife with a gun. He's not going to get a look from any team until this serious matter is cleared up. Jackson is likely done playing in the NFL.

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20. SEA - Trevone Boykin charged with assault

Source: The Seattle Times - Bob Condotta

Seattle Seahawks QB Trevone Boykin was charged with assault this week in connection with an incident Dec. 31 in San Antonio. He was arrested after being thrown out of a car, and then he allegedly struck a police officer, according to multiple reports.

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This isn't a new incident, and it's one the team was well aware of when they added Boykin as an undrafted free agent this year. Boykin is in line to win the job as the primary backup behind Russell Wilson in 2016.

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21. NYG - RB Orleans Darkwa playing catch-up

Source: New York Post - Paul Schwartz

New York Giants RB Orleans Darkwa (leg) missed the entire spring practice sessions due to a lower leg injury, and that set him back in the pecking order among the team's tailbacks. He is expected to battle RB Andre Williams for the No. 3 job, while RB Bobby Rainey is also in the mix. The team invested a fifth round pick on RB Paul Perkins, so he is expected to make the team, too.

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It's likely to come down to Darkwa vs Williams for a roster spot...and we'd take Darkwa 10 times out of 10. He's a patient runner who could get on the field for the Giants they get inside the 20-yard line. Fantasy owners should keep an eye on the Giants backfield as it's a bit of a mess, but make sure to keep Darkwa on the waiver-wire speed dial just in case.

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That'll do it for today, Folks. Thanks for reading and thanks for being a part of Footballguys. We'll see you tomorrow with the Update.

Peace,

J