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Hi Folks,

Good Saturday to you and I hope you're headed for a nice weekend. We've got some great new articles for you plus the News and Notes so let's get to it.

J

SITE NEWS

A. The Gut Check No.366: Over-Under, TEs
Our Matt Waldman's first pass at the 2016 tight ends through the lens of average draft position.

B. Dynasty Trade Value Update: Summer Update
Our Dan Hindery looks at quantifying Long-Term Player Value for Dynasty Leagues.

INSIDE THIS ISSUE

1. LA - Jared Goff has a long way to go
2. IND - QB Andrew Luck on the move more?
3. MIA - RB Jay Ajayi to work on pass catching
4. TB - Cameron Brate a red zone weapon
5. JAX - WR Rashad Greene starting in slot
6. CIN - WR Brandon LaFell picking up offense
7. SEA - RB Christine Michael drops weight
8. NO - Michael Thomas impressive during workouts
9. LA - CB Trumaine Johnson injured
10. NYJ - WR Kyle Williams signs with Jets
11. CAR - Michael Oher signs extension
12. CHI - Cody Whitehair improving
13. OAK - Oakland exploring options in return game
14. KC - OLB Dee Ford bothered by knee
15. NE - D.J. Foster tweaked hamstring

1. LA - Jared Goff has a long way to go

Source: NFL.com - Kevin Patra

Los Angeles Rams QB Jared Goff is 'nowhere near being ready to start Week 1,' analyst Steve Wyche said on NFL Network. 'He's only had offseason workout practices, but he's swimming in it. Training camp is vital for him. I spoke to one team official that said they are looking forward to seeing him in pads and preseason games because his ability to improvise is some of his strengths. But do not be surprised - I know the expectation is for him to start Week 1 - but don't be shocked if Case Keenum is the starter.'

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This shouldn't be a shocking report, and it certainly doesn't mean there's something wrong with Goff. The rookie has to get used to the speed and the discipline of the pros...just like Carson Wentz (Eagles) or Paxton Lynch (Broncos). Goff is the future of the team, and he'll be the starter when he's ready. All Keenum is doing is keeping the seat warm.

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2. IND - QB Andrew Luck on the move more?

Source: Colts.com

Indianapolis Colts QB Andrew Luck will be on the move more in 2016, and offensive coordinator Rob Chudzinski and quarterbacks coach Brian Schottenheimer want to design more plays that can use Luck's athleticism outside of the pocket. Protecting Luck remains of utmost importance, though, and the Colts believe they have the personnel to do that. The Colts have used more rollouts in offseason practices.

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The Colts need to do whatever they can to protect Luck. Last year, the O-Line was terrible and Luck was beat up way too often...eventually knocking him out for the year. Having him on the move will help keep the rush away from him. If nothing is there as a passer, Luck has the athleticism to pick up yards as a rusher.

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3. MIA - RB Jay Ajayi to work on pass catching

Source: The Miami Herald - Barry Jackson

Miami Dolphins RB Jay Ajayi said he will work on improving his route running and his pass catching skills during the next month.

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The Dolphins have been looking for an upgrade at the RB position most of the offseason. They added Kenyan Drake in the 2016 NFL draft, but he may only be a change-of-pace back behind Ajayi. Coming out of Boise State, Ajayi was seen as an all-purpose back so improving his ability as a receiver shouldn't be that difficult. We see him as a low-end RB2 or RB3 for fantasy owners this year.

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4. TB - Cameron Brate a red zone weapon

Source: Tampa Bay Times - Rick Stroud

Tampa Bay Buccaneers TE Cameron Brate emerged as a favorite target of QB Jameis Winston last year, and head coach Dirk Koetter has been impressed with the tight end in the red zone this offseason. Brate caught 23 passes for 288 yards last year and scored three touchdowns when TE Austin Seferian-Jenkins was injured. Brate will battle with Seferian-Jenkins for a starting position in training camp.

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Brate is a player fantasy owners in deeper leagues need to take note of. Seferian-Jenkins has been banged up as a pro, and Brate has the ability to make plays if he gets a larger role.

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5. JAX - WR Rashad Greene starting in slot

Source: The Florida Times-Union - Ryan O'Halloran

Jacksonville Jaguars WR Rashad Greene has seen a majority of his reps as the first-team slot receiver, and he said he and QB Blake Bortles are becoming more comfortable working with each other.

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Greene is a fine receiver when healthy. He has the quickness to get open on underneath routes, and he's got a fearless nature when going over the middle. Allen Robinson, Allen Hurns and TE Julius Thomas will get all of the fantasy love so Greene is mainly just a dynasty prospect.

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6. CIN - WR Brandon LaFell picking up offense

Source: The Cincinnati Enquirer - Jim Owczarski

Cincinnati Bengals WR Brandon LaFell has picked up the offense quickly, QB Andy Dalton said, and LaFell said he is ready to take advantage if defenses double team WR A.J. Green.

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We're not buying the LaFell hype. He's a player who has dropped way too many passes dating all the way back to his college career at LSU. LaFell is not consistent, and we're not sure he's going to be the answer opposite Green. Watch to see if rookie Tyler Boyd emerges in the Bengals passing game.

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7. SEA - RB Christine Michael drops weight

Source: The Seattle Times - Bob Condotta

Seattle Seahawks RB Christine Michael said he lost around eight pounds this offseason and feels a little quicker. He currently weighs 217 pounds.

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The weight loss makes for a nice story, but would be even better is if Michael would actually play up to his potential as a pro. The Seahawks added three RBs in the 2016 NFL draft, so Michael's fantasy value could plummet quickly if one or more of those backs move past him on the depth chart. Currently, Michael would have to be considered the primary backup behind starter Thomas Rawls.

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8. NO - Michael Thomas impressive during workouts

Source: New Orleans Times-Picayune

New Orleans Saints WR Michael Thomas made several impressive catches during offseason workouts and was willing to talk with QB Drew Brees after plays in order to learn things.

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Thomas is big, fast and physical. The second-round pick from Ohio State has natural hands and does a good job of winning at the point of the catch. Thomas could beat out Brandon Coleman for the team's WR3 job behind Brandin Cooks and Willie Snead.

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9. LA - CB Trumaine Johnson injured

Source: ProFootballTalk.com - Mike Florio

Los Angeles Rams CB Trumaine Johnson (jaw) was involved in a collision during organized team activities last week but will be ready for the start of training camp, according to head coach Jeff Fisher.

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Johnson signed his one-year franchise tender earlier this year with the hope that he could come to a long-term agreement. This injury isn't going to help that. The two sides have until July 15th to work out any new contract.

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10. NYJ - WR Kyle Williams signs with Jets

Source: NewYorkJets.com - Eric Allen

Free-agent WR Kyle S. Williams (Broncos) signed with the New York Jets on an undisclosed deal Friday, June 17. The Jets waived WR Quenton Bundrage.

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Williams struggles to stay healthy, and he's primarily just a return man...if he can make the team.

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11. CAR - Michael Oher signs extension

Source: ProFootballTalk.com

Carolina Panthers OT Michael Oher was signed to a three-year, $21.6 million extension with $8 million fully guaranteed Friday, June 17.

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Oher has had plenty of ups and downs during his pro career. After his career fell off with both the Ravens and the Titans, Oher signed with the Panthers as a flier. He played well last year in pass-protection (except for the Super Bowl), and the team wanted to keep him around for the near future.

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12. CHI - Cody Whitehair improving

Source: CSNChicago.com - John Mullin

Chicago Bears OG Cody Whitehair has been working with the first-team offense in place of OG Ted Larsen (undisclosed), and Whitehair has been one of the bright spots of the offense, according to sources with knowledge of the situation.

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Whitehair was one of our favorite interior linemen in this year's draft. He has Vise-Grips for hands, and Whitehair has no problem controlling his man at the point of attack. He's got the movement ability to stay with his man laterally or be used effectively as a "sticky blocker" at the second level of the defense.

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13. OAK - Oakland exploring options in return game

Source: CSNBayArea.com - Scott Bair

Oakland Raiders CB T.J. Carrie is currently the frontrunner to return punts and RB Taiwan Jones is the favorite to return kickoffs, special teams coordinator Brad Seely said, but WR Joe Hansley, RB DeAndre Washington and WR Jaydon Mickens have also been receiving reps.

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Jones should be able to get the job done. However, we want to see Washington touch the ball as much as possible. He could push Latavius Murray for touches as a RB, but Washington has the electric skill set to be a good returner as well.

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14. KC - OLB Dee Ford bothered by knee

Source: The Kansas City Star - Terez A. Paylor

Kansas City Chiefs LB Dee Ford (knee) exited practice with a sore knee Wednesday, June 15.

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The Chiefs need to be cautious here. They already have LB Justin Houston returning from a knee injury, but his status for the start of the regular season is up in the air. Tamba Hali is not quite the same player as he used to be, and he's been missing minicamp with his own knee injury. We should see Hali play a smaller role in 2016, so the Chiefs really need Ford to get healthy, stay healthy and make an impact as a pass-rusher.

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15. NE - D.J. Foster tweaked hamstring

Source: CSNNE.com - Phil Perry

New England Patriots WR D.J. Foster (hamstring) had limited opportunities at the end of minicamp after tweaking his hamstring.

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Foster could work his way up the depth chart...if he can stay healthy. The rookie from Arizona State can play RB or WR, and there's a chance he could develop as a Julian Edelman-like prospect for the team. That's why Foster is a player we'll be monitoring closely in our dynasty leagues.

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That'll do it for today, Folks. Thanks for reading and thanks for being part of Footballguys. It's going to be a fun year.

We'll see you tomorrow with the Update.

Peace,

J