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Hi Folks,

Good Tuesday to you. NBA and NHL may be peaking, but we've got the NFL News and Notes you need so let's get to it.

J

SITE NEWS

A. Detailed Stat Projections
The foundation of everything we do at Footballguys is our Detailed Stat Projections. We take every player that matters and project every stat that matters. Down to the last yard. Our David Dodds has the first cut of our 2016 Projections here. Dive in.

B. Footballguys Insider Early Bird Discount Winding Down
For just a little while longer, our Footballguys Insider PRO will be available for just $27.95. Jump on it at the Early Bird Discount and get the edge you need this season.

INSIDE THIS ISSUE

1. BUF - WR Sammy Watkins has broken bone
2. SF - Chip Kelly impressed with QB Blaine Gabbert
3. NFL - Tom Coughlin ready to return?
4. TEN - QB Zach Mettenberger waived
5. NYJ - RB Matt Forte not ready to slow down
6. SEA - WR Doug Baldwin focused on hands
7. SEA - More running for Seattle?
8. BUF - Shaq Lawson out 5-6 months
9. NE - WR Danny Amendola recovering
10. DEN - Paxton Lynch, Trevor Siemian to see more reps
11. WAS - No worries with RB Matt Jones
12. DEN - QB Mark Sanchez underwent surgery
13. DEN - TE Virgil Green wants to prove himself
14. SF - RB Carlos Hyde praised by head coach
15. BAL - QB Josh Johnson to Ravens
16. ARI - S Tyrann Mathieu near extension

1. BUF - WR Sammy Watkins has broken bone

Source: NFL Network - Ian Rapoport

Buffalo Bills WR Sammy Watkins (foot) suffered a broken small bone in his foot and had a screw inserted, according to a source. According to Rapoport, he should still be ready for training camp, however.

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We think the training camp timeline from Rapoport is incredibly optimistic. We think Watkins won't play in the preseason and will only sparingly see time in practice late in August. The team wants him ready for Week 1 of the regular season, and he should be ready unless Watkins suffers a setback during his recovery.

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2. SF - Chip Kelly impressed with QB Blaine Gabbert

Source: 49ers.com

San Francisco 49ers QB Blaine Gabbert has impressed new head coach Chip Kelly with his athleticism in offseason workouts. 'He's extremely athletic,' Kelly began. 'It's interesting, the three of them, if you look at Driskel, Blaine and Kap, they're all 6-4 plus, and all can run. All of them are at 4.6 (seconds in the 40-yard dash) or under 4.6, which is kind of rare to have three guys that can do the same thing. It's beneficial to you.'

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Weep for the 49ers football fans. A rich history at QB which includes all-time greats like Joe Montana and Steve Young is now entrusted to....Blaine Gabbert. Perhaps Gabbert can fit in the Kelly system, but we are doubtful about his ability to be a quality starter. When healthy, Colin Kaepernick will be able to push Gabbert for the starting job.

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3. NFL - Tom Coughlin ready to return?

Source: ESPN.com

Former New York Giants head coach Tom Coughlin said he's already considering a return to coaching and that his 'motor is starting to run again.' 'We'll see,' Coughlin said. 'It'll take two to tango. The 70-year-old man stuff will be a factor, and I'm sure they'll know this would be a three- and four-year thing.'

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Forget popcorn, get your Werther's Originals ready. Coughlin has been an interesting head coach with the Jaguars and the Giants. He won two Super Bowl championships leading the Giants, but it will be interesting to see if any team wants to add him as Coughlin is no spring chicken.

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4. TEN - QB Zach Mettenberger waived

Source: ESPN.com - Field Yates

Tennessee Titans QB Zach Mettenberger was waived Monday, May 16.

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Mettenberger has a big arm, but he can't throw it into the ocean standing on the beach. Some thought the Titans would trade away Mettenberger after they selected Marcus Mariota with the second-overall pick in the 2015 NFL draft. They signed Matt Cassel to back up Mariota, so Mettenberger became expendable.

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5. NYJ - RB Matt Forte not ready to slow down

Source: New York Post - Steve Serby

New York Jets RB Matt Forte said he wants break the older running back stereotype, and his goal is to rush for 1,000 yards and catch as many passes as the offense allows.

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The Jets offense is going to have questionable QB play--even if Ryan Fitzpatrick returns to the team. They should feature Forte as the centerpiece of the offense. Jets OC Chan Gailey should be able to find the best ways to use Forte as a runner and receiver. We see Forte as at least a low-end RB1 with his new team.

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6. SEA - WR Doug Baldwin focused on hands

Source: ESPN.com - Jim Trotter

Seattle Seahawks WR Doug Baldwin wants to focus on his catch rate for next season, ideally hauling in any catchable target.

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It will be difficult for Baldwin to duplicate the TD numbers he posted last year. Before last year, Baldwin had scored 15 TDs in four years...in 2015 he had 14 TDs. That number could be cut in half this year, and fantasy owners need to realize how Seattle is going to get back to dominating on the ground. Baldwin only dropped two passes in 2015 while catching 78 balls, 14 of which were touchdowns.

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7. SEA - More running for Seattle?

Source: ESPN.com - Jim Trotter

Seattle Seahawks RBs Thomas Rawls, Christine Michael and C.J. Prosise could be called on early and often in 2016, according to WR Doug Baldwin. Baldwin said the Seahawks are going to go back to the run game and not pass as much this season.

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The Seahawks certainly emphasized the RB position in the draft by taking three players at the position. Prosise was the first of the three backs they selected, and he's a good all-purpose back who is still learning the position after starting his college career at Notre Dame as a WR. Alex Collins (Arkansas) was the team's choice in the fifth round, and we like his one-cut style, power and ability to get to the second level of the defense. Seventh-round pick Zac Brooks has good measurables but may need some development on the practice squad. Fantasy owners need to note the glut of RBs in Seattle and how that could negatively impact the production of Rawls at the top of the depth chart.

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8. BUF - Shaq Lawson out 5-6 months

Source: ESPN - Adam Schefter

Updating a previous report, Buffalo Bills DE Shaq Lawson (shoulder) is expected to be out five to six months.

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This is different from earlier reports that suggested Lawson would be ready for the start of the regular season. We're in mid-May, so five months would be sometime in October. Chances are good that the team's 2016 first-round pick begins the regular season on the PUP list. That would force Lawson to miss the first six weeks of the year. After that, the Bills would have three weeks to decide whether or not to activate him or put him on season-ending Injured Reserve.

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9. NE - WR Danny Amendola recovering

Source: Boston Herald - Jeff Howe

New England Patriots WR Danny Amendola (knee, ankle) is recovering from a pair of offseason surgeries that could prevent him being ready for the start of the 2016 season. Amendola had surgery on a troublesome left knee and another surgery to remove a bone spur in his ankle, according to a source. Both surgeries happened early this offseason.

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Amendola accepted a pay cut earlier this year...and for good reason. He's got to spend quite a bit of time recovering from these injuries before he's ready for the 2016 season. It's still too early to know when Amendola will be fully recovered, but his knee will demand a longer recovery schedule than his ankle.

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10. DEN - Paxton Lynch, Trevor Siemian to see more reps

Source: NFL.com - Kevin Patra

Denver Broncos QBs Paxton Lynch and Trevor Siemian will see all the snaps in organized team activities with QB Mark Sanchez (thumb) expected to miss the start of workouts after having surgery on his left thumb.

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Lynch is the player to highlight here. The team wanted to see if he'd be ready to assume the starting job in Week 1 against the Carolina Panthers. The Broncos have not been shy about mentioning how they're going to push Lynch to see if he can handle a starter's workload this year. This injury to Sanchez opens a huge door for the rookie passer.

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11. WAS - No worries with RB Matt Jones

Source: 106.7 The Fan - Chris Russell

Washington Redskins RB Matt Jones is expected to stay healthy and secure the football this season, and general manager Scot McCloughan has no concerns that he can do both. McCloughan said Jones has looked great this offseason.

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Jones played in only 13 games last year as a rookie, but he did enough to earn the RB36 spot in standard-scoring leagues. With Alfred Morris (Cowboys) moving on, the team is going to turn Jones as their primary back. That larger workload should catapult him into the low-end RB2 range at least. We'll see if late-round pick Keith Marshall (Georgia) can push Jones for playing time in camp.

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12. DEN - QB Mark Sanchez underwent surgery

Source: ESPN - Adam Schefter

Denver Broncos QB Mark Sanchez (thumb) injured his left thumb in the weight room Thursday, May 12, and underwent surgery Saturday, May 14. He will miss a few organized team activities, according to Mike Kils of 9news.com.

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The Broncos are already microwaving the learning curve of rookie first-round pick Paxton Lynch. This injury to Sanchez is only going to give the rookie more exposure and reps in practice. The team has Trevor Siemian too, but he's just a big arm and clipboard holder. Perhaps while Sanchez is out the Broncos will sign a veteran camp arm.

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13. DEN - TE Virgil Green wants to prove himself

Source: The Denver Post - Troy E. Renck

Denver Broncos TE Virgil Green said he wants to prove in training camp that he can be an every-down tight end. It was reported earlier that Green could have a bigger role in 2016.

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Green is a better receiver than his career-high 12 receptions in 2016 shows. He was a reliable receiver for Colin Kaepernick in college at Nevada, but the Broncos have turned him into a strong blocking TE instead. Now, Green may be the lead TE for the Broncos in 2016 with only second-year TE Jeff Heuerman as his main competition. From a fantasy lens, we could see Green as a low-end TE2 if his production matches what Owen Daniels was able to get last year.

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14. SF - RB Carlos Hyde praised by head coach

Source: NFL.com - Kevin Patra

San Francisco 49ers RB Carlos Hyde was praised by new head coach Chip Kelly recently. 'Carlos is a stud. He's been full-go since we started in the beginning of April,' Kelly said. 'Participated in everything. And he's as advertised. To have someone that size that is that agile, has that vision, it's really impressive to see him work every day. There have been no restrictions on him at all. He's full clear, 100 percent, and he's going. He's really good, we're really excited about him.'

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Hyde is a one-cut back who should work nicely in the inside-zone, outside-zone option offense that Kelly implements. From a fantasy perspective, we see Hyde as a low-end RB2. His current ADP is RB18 (4.07) in 12-team PPR/flex leagues.

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15. BAL - QB Josh Johnson to Ravens

Source: The Baltimore Sun - Jeff Zrebiec

Free-agent QB Josh Johnson (Bills) signed with the Baltimore Ravens Monday, May 16, on an undisclosed deal.

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Johnson is a bit of an odd fit at backup QB for the Ravens. Like former Ravens QB Tyrod Taylor, Johnson is an athletic passer who can make plays on the run. Johnson has been a journeyman for years in the NFL, and he's likely just a camp arm for the Ravens.

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16. ARI - S Tyrann Mathieu near extension

Source: NFL Network - Ian Rapoport

Arizona Cardinals FS Tyrann Mathieu is deep in negotiations for a contract extension Monday, May 16, that could make him the highest-paid safety in the league.

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It's a risky move to sign Mathieu to big long-term money. He's torn his ACL twice since 2013 and is somewhat injury prone dating back to his college days at LSU. If healthy, Mathieu can make plays as a slot corner or a safety. The Cardinals should be creative with the way they get this deal done.

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That'll do it for today, Folks. Thanks for reading and thanks for being a part of Footballguys. We'll see you tomorrow with the Update.

Peace,

J