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Hi Folks,

It's a Labor Day Weekend. College Football's kicking off. And the NFL is just days away. Sweet. We've got the News and Notes you need plus new content so let's get to it.

J

SITE NEWS

A. Footballguys Insider PRO is the Edge You Need To Access All This Content
If you're serious about Fantasy Football, The Footballguys Insider PRO is the best $34.95 you'll spend this season.

Get access to all this content we're highlighting below. It's that simple. And It's everything you need to dominate your season long league and everything you need to excel with DFS. We'll produce upwards of 70,000 pages of next level content all with one purpose - to help you win. Plus there's zero risk with our 30 day Money Back guarantee. Make the decision to win.

B. Just 1179 teams left in the Footballguys Players Championship
The 2016 season brings a midstakes $250,000 Grand Prize, $2,000 in league prizes, and championship round payouts all the way down to 650th place. The overall prize pool exceeds $1.8 million.

We have live draft commissioners to ensure that every draft runs smoothly and all prizes are placed in our industry-exclusive attorney escrow account.

Here are the open draft times left available for this event (all times Eastern). Also note the Draft-A-Thon dates are marked with **.

** Friday, September 2nd - 10am, 12pm, 2pm, 4pm, 5pm, 6pm, 7pm, 8pm, 9pm, 10pm, 11pm, 11:59pm
** Saturday, September 3rd - 10am, 12pm, 2pm, 4pm, 6pm, 7pm, 8pm, 9pm, 10pm, 11pm, 11:59pm
** Sunday, September 4th - 10am, 1pm, 3pm, 5pm, 6pm, 7pm, 8pm, 9pm, 10pm, 11pm, 11:59pm
** Monday, September 5th - 10am, 12pm, 2pm, 4pm, 6pm, 7pm, 8pm, 9pm, 10pm, 11pm, 11:59pm
Tuesday, September 6th - 10am, 1pm, 3pm, 5pm, 6pm, 7pm, 8pm, 10pm, 11pm, 11:59pm
Wednesday, September 7th - 10am, 1pm, 3pm, 5pm, 6pm, 7pm, 8pm, 10pm, 11pm, 11:59pm
Thursday, September 8th - 10am, 12pm, 2pm, 4pm, 6pm

C. True Fantasy Points: 2016 Wide Receiver Projections
Our Danny Tuccitto with a stats-based guide for separating skill from luck in wide receiver projections.

D. Final ADP for FFPC and FPC
Our Clayton Gray with an indepth look at ADP from 192 recent FPC drafts. Find out where some of the best fantasy owners on the planet are drafting players in the $350 entry fee Footballguys Players Championship.

E. Skill Position Injury Overview (QB, RB, WR, TE, PK) September 1
Our Mark Wimer with an overview of injuries currently being treated/rehabbed by fantasy-relevant players at the offensive skill positions prior to the final Thursday slate of preseason games.

F. Interactive Value Chart: Yahoo
Our Maurile Tremblay with a DFS lineup optimizer that accounts for player salaries and uses projections to maximize expected points. This one is for Yahoo.

G. Interactive Value Chart: FantasyAces
Our Maurile Tremblay with a DFS lineup optimizer that accounts for player salaries and uses projections to maximize expected points. This one is for FantasyAces.

H. Interactive Value Chart: DraftDay
Our Maurile Tremblay with a DFS lineup optimizer that accounts for player salaries and uses projections to maximize expected points. This one is for DraftDay.

I. Interactive Value Chart: RTSports
Our Maurile Tremblay with a DFS lineup optimizer that accounts for player salaries and uses projections to maximize expected points. This one is for RTSports.

INSIDE THIS ISSUE

1. KC - RB Jamaal Charles unlikely to start opener
2. MIA - RB Jay Ajayi disappoints in preseason finale
3. DEN - WR Emmanuel Sanders praises QB Trevor Siemian
4. DET - RB Ameer Abdullah expects to carry load
5. NYJ - QB Bryce Petty goes to locker room
6. ATL - QB Matt Ryan worked on deep throws
7. TB - TE Austin Seferian-Jenkins yells at coach
8. NYJ - WR Jeremy Ross's returns could save spot
9. NYJ - TE Jace Amaro may not make team
10. DAL - Dallas adds QB Jerrod Johnson
11. DAL - QB Tony Romo must fully heal
12. NE - WR Aaron Dobson on the way out?

1. KC - RB Jamaal Charles unlikely to start opener

Source: ESPN.com - Adam Teicher

Kansas City Chiefs RB Jamaal Charles (knee) is unlikely to start the first game of the season, and if he plays, it won't be a big load, according to beat writer Adam Teicher.

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This is very concerning to us, as it's the second time in a week Teicher has said something to this effect. We're watching but his current ADP of RB8 and overall ADP of 16 is starting to feel slightly high. We know how deep the backfield is. We could be seeing an RBBC if they want to keep Charles fresh.

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2. MIA - RB Jay Ajayi disappoints in preseason finale

Source: USA TODAY Fantasy Sports

Miami Dolphins RB Jay Ajayi ran for 13 yards on three carries in the team's final preseason game Thursday, September 1, but he also lost a fumble on the first play of the game and committed a drop in the passing game as well.

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Ajayi needed a big night to really secure a split with Arian Foster for carries, but that fumble is going to hurt, as is the drop. When you get a chance to perform, you'd better do so or you won't get another shot easily. Foster is going to see some rest, but Ajayi isn't going to get as many carries as he could have had he been healthy and consistent this summer. This game was just icing on the cake. That said, we still don't love this offense enough to put Foster above an RB3 with upside, which is right where his ADP is. Unfortunately this pushes Ajayi to RB4/RB5 status.

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3. DEN - WR Emmanuel Sanders praises QB Trevor Siemian

Source: NFL.com - Nick Shook

Denver Broncos WR Emmanuel Sanders complimented QB Trevor Siemian, saying he throws a 'very catchable ball' and he 'can make all the throws.' Sanders also said he liked the decision of anointing Siemian the Week 1 starter.

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Sanders is likely just happy to know who will throw the passes. Siemian can't be shakier than Peyton Manning and Brock Osweiler were last season, so the offense should be fine in Denver. However, we wouldn't go all in on Siemian yet. We don't know how he'll perform in a real game, and so we don't know that he will finish the season with the job. We also think the Broncos will lean on the run game a lot, so his production is limited. Draft him as no more than a QB3 this fantasy season.

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4. DET - RB Ameer Abdullah expects to carry load

Source: Detroit Free Press - Dave Birkett

Detroit Lions RB Ameer Abdullah reiterated Wednesday, Aug. 31, that he expects to be the team's every-down back this season, which would mean working in the base three-receiver set and on third downs, as well as in goal-line packages, too. However, head coach Jim Caldwell said Tuesday, Aug. 30, he does not plan to change from his running-back-by-committee approach. 'I think you have to spread it out a little bit,' Caldwell said. 'Backs take a lot of hits in the ball game, and so I don't anticipate (we have) that kind of a guy that gets 30 carries in a ball game. I don't perceive that. Even though maybe it could happen, it wouldn't happen very often.'

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Abdullah won't be the every-down back for a couple of reasons. First, Theo Riddick is a better receiver out of the backfield and should be the team's pass-catching back. Second, Abdullah isn't known as a pile-pusher so any sort of short-yardage of goal-line duty could go to Zach Zenner. Finally, Abdullah isn't built to be a workhorse back. He's small, quick and fast -- so if the team wants him to stay healthy in 2016 they'll make sure to use a rotation of RBs to keep Abdullah fresh.

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5. NYJ - QB Bryce Petty goes to locker room

Source: ESPNNewYork.com - Rich Cimini

New York Jets QB Bryce Petty (shoulder) had to be taken to the locker room with a left shoulder injury during the team's final preseason game Thursday, September 1. He was drilled in the left shoulder on a 44-yard touchdown pass and replaced by QB Christian Hackenberg. Petty is probable to return, according to the team.

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Could this be the famous "fake injured player" who the Jets stash on IR so they can keep all their quarterbacks? We'll see how this plays out, but the only quarterback worth tracking here is Ryan Fitzpatrick who is a decent QB2 this season and tracking as QB20 right now in drafts.

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6. ATL - QB Matt Ryan worked on deep throws

Source: ESPN.com - Vaughn McClure

Atlanta Falcons QB Matt Ryan spent six weeks training with former MLB pitcher Tom House and former college pitcher Adam Dedeaux -- who have also worked with New England Patriots QB Tom Brady, New Orleans Saints QB Drew Brees and Arizona Cardinals QB Carson Palmer, to name a few with -- at the acclaimed 3DQB training facility in working to enhance his ability to throw deep. Ryan firmly believes there's a noticeable difference in his deep ball and WR Julio Jones was the first to say the quarterback's arm strength is much stronger than it was last year.

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The deep targets are going to be there in a Kyle Shanahan offense. The team should run the ball often to set up play-action passing. We'll see if any targets outside of WR Julio Jones can come through for Ryan. The team added Mohammed Sanu in free agency earlier this year, but we're not overly excited by his fantasy potential.

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7. TB - TE Austin Seferian-Jenkins yells at coach

Source: ProFootballTalk.com - Michael David Smith

Tampa Bay Buccaneers TE Austin Seferian-Jenkins was observed yelling at head coach Dirk Koetter during the team's preseason finale Wednesday, August 31. He was guided away by WR Russell Shepard from a potential confrontation, but Seferian-Jenkins said there are no hard feelings. 'Sometimes I get emotional,' he said. 'I let my emotions get the best of me. I love my coaches. Coaches love me. We definitely talked and it was what it was.'

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Maybe not a great idea when you're battling for playing time. But these things are often made to be bigger than they really are. The talent is there with Seferian-Jenkins, but motivation and attitude have been problems. We'll see if he can stay healthy, stay out of the coach's doghouse and start playing up to his potential in 2016. He's a lottery ticket TE2 for fantasy owners.

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8. NYJ - WR Jeremy Ross's returns could save spot

Source: New York Post - Brian Costello

New York Jets WR Jeremy Ross is considered to be on the roster bubble, but he could solidify his roster spot as a return man. He did serve as the main returner in training camp.

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The Jets have some banged up players, some of whom (Devin Smith, for one) are on the PUP to start the season which could mean an extra roster spot. On the other hand, the Jets could keep four quarterbacks, which would eat up another spot. Either way, Ross is intriguing only in terms of fantasy for Jets D/Special teams units and he's no Devin Hester.

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9. NYJ - TE Jace Amaro may not make team

Source: New York Post - Brian Costello

New York Jets TE Jace Amaro (groin) is on the final roster bubble, according to Brian Costello of the New York Post. Costello believes TE Kellen Davis is the only player at the position who has secured a roster spot. TEs Zach Sudfeld and Brandon Bostick are also in contention.

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We've said this for a while. There was brief hope this summer when he came into OTAs and had worked with Brandon Marshall to improve his catching. Since then, though, he has struggled to hold onto the ball. The front office which drafted him is gone, so this GM and coach have no reason to keep him around. We don't see the Jets as a team which produces fantasy tight ends worth rostering anyway, so no matter who is there on the roster, they shouldn't be on yours.

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10. DAL - Dallas adds QB Jerrod Johnson

Source: ESPN - Adam Caplan

Free-agent QB Jerrod Johnson (Ravens) signed with the Dallas Cowboys Thursday, Sept. 1. Terms of the contract were not disclosed.

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Good ole 'Double Clutch!' Johnson is a big QB with a rocket arm, but he hesitates to throw under pressure -- and even when he does get rid of the ball he has 'say it don't spray it' accuracy. This doesn't solve anything for the Cowboys, and Johnson is no lock to make the 53-man roster.

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11. DAL - QB Tony Romo must fully heal

Source: Fort Worth Star-Telegram - Clarence E. Hill Jr.

Updating previous reports, Dallas Cowboys QB Tony Romo's (back) injury is different from the one he suffered in 2014 because the compression fracture to his L1 vetebrae must fully heal before he will be allowed to play, according to a source. His timetable is around eight to 10 weeks, and short-term Injured Reserve is a distinct possibility.

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That sounds great but 1) it's still a back injury to a guy with a history of them and 2) it's better to prepare yourself for the "worst case scenario" with his rehab. We'd say the earliest we see Romo is Week 6 but as that's right before the bye week, it's more likely the best case scenario is Week 8. The worst case is around Week 10 or 11. Dak Prescott is likely to be the starter for a long time this year, and we expect the team to protect him with a lot of running, so he'll have less passing production. We see Prescott as no more than a QB3 and a shaky one at that.

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12. NE - WR Aaron Dobson on the way out?

Source: Boston Herald - Ian Logue

The New England Patriots have been shopping WR Aaron Dobson, and they might be ready to move on after what has been a frustrating run for him with the team. Injuries have set him back and kept him from achieving his full potential. Now, beat writer Ian Logue predicts if he does reach his potential it might be somewhere else.

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No team should have interest in Dobson as his tape is poor and his game is in need of a lot of work. The Patriots do a lot of things right, but finding WR talent through the draft is not one of them. Dobson was a second-round pick in 2013 and has done little of note as a pro. The concentration problem that plagued him in college has followed him to the NFL. His propensity to get banged up doesn't help either.

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That'll do it for today, Folks. Thanks for reading and thanks for being part of Footballguys. We'll see you tomorrow with the Update.

Peace,

J