As of early July, Marion Barber has an ADP of RB27. That means he's a high end RB3 in 12-team leagues, but not considered worthy of being a starter in standard leagues. You could probably get him at the end of the 5th round in standard leagues and at the end of the 6th in PPR leagues. I think a winning strategy in leagues this year will be to come out of the first four rounds with 1 RB, 2 WRs, and either a stud TE or stud QB, followed by selecting Barber in the fifth round.
With Felix Jones and Tashard Choice in the mix, fantasy owners are skeptical about the number of touches Barber will receive in 2010. Drafting Dez Bryant may signal the Cowboys' desire to pass more often in 2010, further limiting Barber's carries. But I think all of the talent on the Cowboys offense will mean two things: Dallas will finish in the top five in touchdowns scored in 2010, and Barber will get at least 10 of those touchdowns.
Over the past 20 seasons, there have been 15 teams to score 55+ offensive touchdowns. Projecting a monster season out of any offense is always a risky proposition -- let's be clear that this is a straight-from-the-gut player point article -- and any statistician will tell you that's not a good strategy for long-term success. But when I read the tea leaves, I see the Cowboys ending up as the next team on that list, and if that's the case, you're going to want to roster their goal-line specialist.
The table below lists the starting QB, RB, TE and top two WRs for each of those 15 teams.
Year |
Team |
TDs |
Quarterback |
Running Back |
Wide Receiver |
Wide Receiver |
Tight End |
2007 |
NWE |
67 |
Tom Brady |
Laurence Maroney |
Randy Moss |
Wes Welker |
Ben Watson |
2000 |
STL |
63 |
Kurt Warner |
Marshall Faulk |
Torry Holt |
Isaac Bruce |
Roland Williams |
2004 |
IND |
61 |
Peyton Manning |
Edgerrin James |
Reggie Wayne |
Marvin Harrison |
Dallas Clark |
1998 |
SFO |
60 |
Steve Young |
Garrison Hearst |
Jerry Rice |
Terrell Owens |
Irv Smith |
1994 |
SFO |
60 |
Steve Young |
Ricky Watters |
Jerry Rice |
John Taylor |
Brent Jones |
2004 |
KAN |
58 |
Trent Green |
Priest Holmes |
Eddie Kennison |
Johnnie Morton |
Tony Gonzalez |
1998 |
MIN |
58 |
Randall Cunningham |
Robert Smith |
Randy Moss |
Cris Carter |
Andrew Glover |
1998 |
DEN |
58 |
John Elway |
Terrell Davis |
Rod Smith |
Ed McCaffrey |
Shannon Sharpe |
2001 |
STL |
57 |
Kurt Warner |
Marshall Faulk |
Torry Holt |
Isaac Bruce |
Ernie Conwell |
2006 |
SDG |
56 |
Philip Rivers |
LaDainian Tomlinson |
Eric Parker |
Vincent Jackson |
Antonio Gates |
2003 |
KAN |
56 |
Trent Green |
Priest Holmes |
Eddie Kennison |
Johnnie Morton |
Tony Gonzalez |
2009 |
NOR |
55 |
Drew Brees |
Pierre Thomas |
Marques Colston |
Devery Henderson |
Jeremy Shockey |
1999 |
STL |
55 |
Kurt Warner |
Marshall Faulk |
Isaac Bruce |
Torry Holt |
Roland Williams |
1993 |
SFO |
55 |
Steve Young |
Ricky Watters |
Jerry Rice |
John Taylor |
Brent Jones |
1991 |
BUF |
55 |
Jim Kelly |
Thurman Thomas |
Andre Reed |
James Lofton |
Keith McKeller |
As long as they stay healthy, Tony Romo, Marion Barber, Miles Austin, Dez Bryant and Jason Witten would be appear to have the talent to join the groups listed above. That's ignoring Dallas' great depth on offense, as Roy Williams makes a great WR3, and Patrick Crayton, Kevin Ogletree and Sam Hurd are solid depth receivers. Felix Jones and Tashard Choice, along with TE Martellus Bennett, enable the Cowboys to attack offenses with a variety of packages and have a ton of speed on the field. Obviously Tony Romo looks to be the big beneficiary of a high-powered offense, but don't forget about Barber. As the backup to Julius Jones, Barber rushed for 14 touchdowns as the short-yardage back for the Cowboys in 2006. In '07, he scored 12 touchdowns while splitting time with Jones. The past two seasons, Barber has failed to live up to his ADP, but he still scored 16 touchdowns in 28 games. Felix Jones and Jason Witten are talented players, but neither has emerged as a touchdown vulture so far. I expect the Cowboys offense to explode this season, and Barber will score more than enough touchdowns to make him a value pick in the fifth or sixth round.
Questions, suggestions and comments are always welcome to [email protected].

