Survivor I - Reggie Wayne Commentary

NOTE: this draft was completed on 7/24

Recent Stats

YR	RSH	RSHYD	RSHTD	REC	RECYD	RECTD	FPT	RANK
2002	0	0	0	49	716	4	95.6	50
2003	0	0	0	68	838	7	125.8	20
2004	1	-4	0	77	1210	12	192.6	8

Positives - Reggie Wayne’s numbers have consistently improved year over year since his entry into the league in 2001. Peyton Manning threw (49) TDs last year. Wayne caught almost 25% of these. Manning is projected to drop 20% in TD production to (40) – that’s a pretty huge anticipated drop, but understandable. But adjust Wayne’s totals accordingly and he still catches 8-9 TDs. That’s still pretty strong. He really seemed to have a better rapore with Manning last year than in previous years. He is also playing for a new contract.

Negatives - Wayne is still considered the #2 WR on the team. So it is difficult to select a #2 WR with a #3 pick even though the production is there. Wayne can also be a little inconsistent where he seems to disappear during certain games for no reason. Also, BYE week problems right off the bat with the WRs having both Harrison and Wayne.

Draft Strategy - I’m sure that I will get stares like I have four heads with this pick! But follow me here. I stated before that “there’s no doubting the offensive fire power of the Colts and it is simply a matter of who is going to catch the TDs.” And, yes, Marvin will get his share. But so will Wayne. And keep in mind the most important thing, in the Survivor format you do not have to start players. Simply your best three WRs scores are taken. In that scenario, Wayne not only becomes insurance for Harrison (if Harrison gets hurt, then Wayne would become more valuable), but if Wayne happens to catch the TDs on a given Sunday, then I am still getting the majority of Manning’s passing TDs (around 60% to be exact). That means if Manning throws (40) TDs as projected, then I would receive (26) of those TDs which averages to just under two per week. Another way to look at it – the best RB left on the board at this point was Rudi Johnson projected for 237 points. Wayne is projected for 272 points. And in the Survivor scoring system, 6 catches by Reggie would equal 60 yards rushing by Rudi.