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Ultimate Strength of Schedule -Defensive Lineman
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Posted 8/15 by Clayton Gray, Exclusive to Footballguys.com
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The advantages offered by the Ultimate Strength
of Schedule (USOS) when compared to traditional SOS displays are numerous and
include (but are not limited to) the following:
- Fantasy points driven
Fantasy football is all about scoring fantasy points, so USOS is based on
fantasy points.
- Removed bias of schedule
Consider the following defenses: Defense A faced the top 16 offenses while
Defense B faced the worst 16 offenses. If
both defenses allowed opposing QBs to average 300 fantasy points last season,
are they equally strong? Of course
not; Defense A is far superior as they faced much better offenses.
This bias of schedule has been removed from USOS.
- Positional breakdown
If you are looking for a WR, it’s much more relevant to see SOS data for WRs.
Explanation of USOS Tables
Below, you will see tables for each positions USOS. Here is a brief explanation of the make-up of
these tables.
The “Tm” Column
This is simply the NFL team.
The Values
Each value in the table is the expected number of fantasy points
on a per game basis.
The Coloring of the
Values
The red values indicate that the team has one of the
eight (seven during the bye weeks) best values in that column. Red was chosen because the team could heat up
statistically. The blue values indicate that the team
has one of the eight (seven during the bye weeks) worst values in that column. Blue was chosen because the team could cool down
statistically.
- Red
is a hot
team with a good schedule
- Blue
is a cold
team with a bad schedule
The “2005” Column
This is the average expected fantasy points allowed by each
team’s opponents for this season.
The “Easy” Column
This is the number of easy opponents each team will face this
season. An easy opponent is defined as
one of the eight (seven during the bye weeks) worst defenses. Obviously, it is preferred to have players with
as many easy games as possible.
The “Tough” Column
This is the number of tough opponents each team will face this
season. A tough opponent is defined as
one of the eight (seven during the bye weeks) best defenses. Obviously, it is preferred to have players with
as few tough games as possible.
The “First5” Column
This is the SOS for the first five weeks of the NFL season
(note that some teams only play four games in this time frame). This value is useful to determine how players
should be expected to open the season. Players with low values could easily
stumble out of the gate.
The “Play” Column
This is similar to the “First5” column except that it is the
SOS for the final five weeks of the
NFL season. This value is useful to determine
how players should be expected to end the season. This is a critical stretch of games as your
fantasy playoffs take place here. Players with high values here are likely to
perform very well during your fantasy playoffs.
The “1” through “17”
Columns
These values are the expected strength of each team’s opponent
for that particular week (Wk1 is Week 17, etc). This is very useful when searching for backups
for your stud players. The key is to locate players with easy opponents when
your star is on a bye.
Ultimate Strength of Schedule
- Defensive Linemen
|
Tm
|
2005
|
Easy
|
Tough
|
First5
|
1
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2
|
3
|
4
|
5
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6
|
7
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8
|
9
|
10
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11
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12
|
13
|
14
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15
|
16
|
17
|
Play
|
| Ari |
20.4
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5
|
5
|
21.4
|
23.1
|
21.4
|
18.4
|
23.7
|
20.5
|
-
|
22.3
|
16.8
|
18.4
|
17.7
|
21.4
|
20.0
|
23.7
|
20.9
|
23.0
|
18.8
|
15.9
|
20.5
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| Atl |
20.1
|
2
|
3
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19.5
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18.8
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18.4
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19.3
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19.2
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21.8
|
20.8
|
18.5
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-
|
21.2
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16.7
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21.5
|
17.7
|
20.5
|
20.8
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25.1
|
21.5
|
20.5
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21.7
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| Bal |
19.4
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3
|
5
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18.6
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15.9
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22.3
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-
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18.5
|
17.7
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19.4
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25.1
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21.3
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16.3
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20.0
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21.3
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16.3
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23.0
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19.0
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16.7
|
19.2
|
19.4
|
19.5
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| Buf |
19.9
|
4
|
3
|
21.7
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23.0
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21.5
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22.2
|
20.8
|
21.2
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18.5
|
14.9
|
21.8
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-
|
18.2
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19.0
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20.5
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21.2
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21.8
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19.0
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16.3
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18.5
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19.3
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| Car |
20.4
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5
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3
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20.4
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20.8
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21.8
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21.2
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16.7
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21.6
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17.7
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-
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19.2
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21.5
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18.5
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25.1
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19.3
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22.2
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21.5
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20.8
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16.8
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22.2
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20.7
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| Chi |
19.6
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2
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5
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18.6
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20.9
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17.7
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16.3
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-
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19.4
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19.2
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20.6
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17.7
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20.8
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23.7
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20.5
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21.5
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16.7
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21.3
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22.2
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16.7
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19.2
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19.2
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| Cin |
20.0
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3
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4
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21.3
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19.4
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19.2
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25.1
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23.0
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20.0
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22.3
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21.3
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16.7
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20.6
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-
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15.9
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20.6
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21.3
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19.4
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17.7
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19.3
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18.2
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19.2
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| Cle |
19.5
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3
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6
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18.5
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16.3
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16.7
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15.9
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-
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25.1
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20.6
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17.7
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23.0
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22.3
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21.3
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21.2
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19.2
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20.0
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16.3
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14.9
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21.3
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20.6
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18.6
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| Dal |
20.0
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4
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3
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19.5
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19.0
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20.9
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23.7
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14.9
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18.8
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23.1
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18.4
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21.6
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-
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18.8
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17.7
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19.0
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23.1
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18.2
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20.9
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20.5
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21.4
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20.8
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| Den |
19.1
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2
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6
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19.9
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21.2
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19.0
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18.2
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20.0
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20.9
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21.8
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23.1
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18.8
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-
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14.9
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18.5
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16.8
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18.2
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20.6
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19.3
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14.9
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19.0
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18.4
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| Det |
20.2
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4
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4
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21.0
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16.7
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25.1
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-
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21.5
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20.6
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20.5
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19.4
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25.1
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19.2
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21.6
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16.8
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22.2
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19.2
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16.7
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16.3
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20.8
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21.3
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18.8
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| GB |
20.2
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3
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4
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20.0
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17.7
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19.4
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21.5
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20.5
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20.8
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-
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19.2
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16.3
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21.3
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22.2
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19.2
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18.8
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25.1
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17.7
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20.6
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25.1
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18.4
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21.4
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| Hou |
19.8
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4
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5
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19.8
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19.3
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21.3
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-
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16.3
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22.3
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18.4
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15.9
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19.4
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20.0
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15.9
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18.2
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21.4
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20.6
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22.3
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21.6
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20.0
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23.7
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21.6
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| Ind |
20.9
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7
|
2
|
21.2
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20.6
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20.0
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19.4
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22.3
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23.7
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21.4
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23.0
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-
|
21.8
|
23.0
|
16.3
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21.3
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22.3
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20.0
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19.0
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18.4
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21.6
|
20.3
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| Jac |
20.2
|
6
|
4
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17.6
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18.4
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15.9
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18.5
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19.0
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16.3
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21.3
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-
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21.4
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23.0
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20.6
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22.3
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21.6
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19.4
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15.9
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23.7
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23.0
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22.3
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20.9
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| KC |
19.1
|
3
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4
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17.8
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18.5
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14.9
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19.0
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18.8
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-
|
20.9
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21.2
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19.0
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14.9
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19.3
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23.0
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21.6
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19.0
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16.8
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23.1
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19.0
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16.3
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18.8
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| Mia |
19.8
|
5
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2
|
19.3
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19.0
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18.5
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20.5
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-
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19.3
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21.5
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18.2
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20.8
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22.2
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21.8
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19.4
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14.9
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19.3
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19.0
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18.5
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22.3
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21.8
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20.2
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| Min |
20.4
|
4
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5
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20.2
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21.5
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16.3
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20.8
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22.2
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-
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25.1
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16.7
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20.5
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17.7
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23.1
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16.7
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19.4
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17.7
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21.4
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21.3
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20.6
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25.1
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21.2
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| NE |
19.4
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1
|
3
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19.6
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14.9
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20.5
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21.3
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19.0
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22.2
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19.0
|
-
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19.3
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15.9
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21.2
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20.8
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18.2
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18.5
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19.3
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21.5
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18.5
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21.2
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19.8
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| NO |
20.8
|
5
|
2
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19.7
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20.5
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23.1
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19.2
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19.3
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16.7
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22.2
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21.4
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21.2
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25.1
|
-
|
21.8
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18.5
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21.5
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22.2
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20.5
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17.7
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21.5
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20.7
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| NYG |
19.3
|
2
|
5
|
20.7
|
21.6
|
20.8
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19.0
|
21.4
|
-
|
16.8
|
19.0
|
20.9
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23.7
|
19.2
|
18.8
|
18.4
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16.8
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18.8
|
18.2
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20.9
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14.9
|
17.9
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| NYJ |
20.1
|
3
|
2
|
20.3
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18.2
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21.2
|
20.0
|
20.6
|
21.5
|
19.3
|
22.2
|
-
|
19.0
|
20.5
|
19.0
|
20.8
|
21.8
|
14.9
|
21.2
|
21.8
|
19.3
|
19.8
|
| Oak |
19.7
|
3
|
3
|
18.9
|
21.8
|
18.2
|
18.8
|
16.8
|
-
|
19.0
|
19.3
|
22.3
|
18.2
|
19.0
|
20.9
|
21.2
|
19.0
|
18.5
|
19.4
|
19.0
|
23.1
|
19.8
|
| Phi |
19.8
|
5
|
6
|
19.2
|
22.2
|
23.7
|
14.9
|
18.2
|
16.8
|
-
|
19.0
|
19.0
|
20.9
|
16.8
|
23.1
|
16.7
|
18.4
|
23.1
|
21.4
|
21.6
|
20.9
|
21.1
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| Pit |
19.6
|
4
|
5
|
21.5
|
22.3
|
23.0
|
21.8
|
-
|
19.0
|
20.0
|
16.3
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20.6
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16.7
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19.4
|
20.6
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15.9
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16.3
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25.1
|
19.2
|
19.4
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17.7
|
19.5
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| SD |
18.8
|
2
|
6
|
20.4
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16.8
|
19.0
|
23.1
|
21.8
|
21.3
|
14.9
|
18.8
|
18.2
|
18.5
|
-
|
19.3
|
20.9
|
14.9
|
21.2
|
15.9
|
18.2
|
19.0
|
17.8
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| SF |
20.6
|
6
|
4
|
18.9
|
21.4
|
18.8
|
16.8
|
21.6
|
15.9
|
-
|
20.9
|
21.5
|
23.1
|
25.1
|
18.4
|
22.3
|
21.6
|
18.4
|
20.0
|
21.4
|
23.0
|
20.8
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| Sea |
20.8
|
7
|
3
|
21.2
|
20.0
|
22.2
|
21.6
|
20.9
|
21.4
|
23.0
|
16.8
|
-
|
21.6
|
21.4
|
23.7
|
23.1
|
18.8
|
23.7
|
22.3
|
15.9
|
16.7
|
19.5
|
| StL |
20.5
|
7
|
4
|
21.8
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23.7
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21.6
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22.3
|
23.1
|
18.4
|
15.9
|
20.8
|
20.0
|
-
|
18.4
|
21.6
|
23.0
|
20.9
|
19.2
|
18.8
|
23.7
|
16.8
|
19.9
|
| TB |
20.7
|
5
|
3
|
18.3
|
19.2
|
19.3
|
16.7
|
17.7
|
18.5
|
21.2
|
-
|
23.7
|
20.5
|
20.9
|
22.2
|
25.1
|
20.8
|
20.5
|
21.8
|
22.2
|
20.8
|
21.2
|
| Ten |
19.8
|
4
|
5
|
20.4
|
21.3
|
20.6
|
21.4
|
15.9
|
23.0
|
16.3
|
21.6
|
14.9
|
19.4
|
-
|
20.0
|
23.7
|
15.9
|
23.0
|
18.4
|
21.2
|
20.0
|
19.7
|
| Was |
20.0
|
5
|
4
|
19.8
|
25.1
|
16.8
|
-
|
18.4
|
19.0
|
18.2
|
23.7
|
23.1
|
18.8
|
21.5
|
14.9
|
19.0
|
21.4
|
21.6
|
16.8
|
23.1
|
18.8
|
20.3
|
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